Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 976

May 22, 20084 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 22, 2008, 6:46 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2008, 6:46 PM CDT (23:46 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2008, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 100 counties

Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Buffalo County, NE, Chase County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Alfalfa County, OK, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Major County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Childress County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Foard County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2008-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1191 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2008-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1191 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-320 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1232 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 222346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222346 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-230045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0976
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NEB...KS...OK...TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 335...336...337...

VALID 222346Z - 230045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
335...336...337...CONTINUES.

LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL CO WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING
ESEWD ACROSS NWRN KS THROUGH NRN KS TO CENTRAL MO.  DRY LINE...AIDED
BY STRONG SSWLY GRADIENT WINDS...HAD SHIFTED EWD INTO NERN CO AT
INTERSECTION WITH WARM FRONT AND THEN EXTENDED SWD THROUGH WRN KS TO
THE ERN TX PANHANDLE. 

...WW/S 335 AND 337...
MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR COMBINED WITH 40-60 KT OF SWLY
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VECTORS REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.  LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
INDICATED VERY STRONG EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES /300-600 M2/S2/ EXTENDING
FROM NWRN KS THROUGH SWRN NEB TO NERN CO...ALONG NOSE OF 40 KT SSELY
LLJ...AND BACKED LOWER LEVEL WINDS IN VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT. 
THIS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED TORNADO THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF WW 335
AND 337...INCLUDING THOSE REGIONS JUST N OF THE WARM FRONT WHERE
EFFECTIVE PARCELS REMAIN SURFACE BASED.

...WW 336...
ASCENT ATTENDANT TO SRN EXTENT OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW CENTERED
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OF NERN CO/WRN NEB...WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SRN EXTENT OF THE DRY LINE. 
MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF
40-50 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 100-200 M2/S2 REMAIN VERY
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ACROSS FAR ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO
WRN OK.  PARTICULAR CONCERN EXISTS WITH THE DEVIANT MOVING /EWD
STORM MOTION/ OF THE SUPERCELL NOW LOCATED OVER ROGER MILLS COUNTY
WHERE PARAMETERS ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES.

FARTHER S OF THE ROGER MILLS SUPERCELL...WEAKER ASCENT WITH SWD
EXTENT ALONG VORTICITY LOBE APPEARS TO BE LIMITING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT INTO NW TX AT THIS TIME.  IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...SRN
PARTS OF WW 336 MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO WATCH EXPIRATION OF 03Z.

..PETERS.. 05/22/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...BOU...

41020019 41059870 39109852 38749899 38209850 36989827
36149809 33479801 33400054 34480099 37750115 38290207
40390204 41390210 41370026

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 7:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGrant, Haskell, Meade, Morton, Seward, Stanton and 1 more118 min
May 22, 3:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin, Jackson and 12 more97 min
May 22, 1:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Clark, Comanche, Decatur, Finney, Ford and 16 more61 min
May 22, 1:52 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarber, Cheyenne, Clark, Comanche, Decatur, Edwards and 33 more10 hr
May 22, 4:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Cheyenne, Clark, Comanche, Decatur, Edwards and 31 more58 min
May 21, 8:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel, Kimball and 3 more65 min
May 21, 10:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff25 min
May 22, 12:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Kimball9 hr
May 22, 2:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Deuel, Frontier and 9 more61 min
May 22, 3:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCChase, Deuel, Frontier, Hayes, Keith, Lincoln and 1 more7 hr
May 22, 3:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 15 more7 hr
May 22, 2:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche and 15 more7 hr
May 22, 5:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha, Sequoyah57 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.