Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 920

May 14, 200836 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 14, 2008, 6:42 AM CDT for 36 counties in Texas. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2008, 6:42 AM CDT (11:42 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2008, 7:45 AM CDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 36 counties

Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Robertson County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Travis County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2008-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3961 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2008-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3961 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
681 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 141143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141142 
TXZ000-141245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0920
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 AM CDT WED MAY 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 318...

VALID 141142Z - 141245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 318
CONTINUES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 318 CONTINUES UNTIL 15Z...WITH A RISK OF
DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.

PRIMARY SHORT TERM CONCERN ACROSS WW 318 IN CENTRAL TX IS CURRENT
MCV-AIDED BOW HEAD CIRCULATION NEARING I-35 ABOUT 5-10 MILES SOUTH
OF TEMPLE AS OF 1130Z. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS CIRCULATION...A 48
KT GUST WAS MEASURED AT FTHOOD/KILLEEN AS OF 1052Z. THREAT FOR
ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE AND/OR PERHAPS A TORNADO WILL CONTINUE IN THE
SHORT TERM WITH THIS STORM EAST OF I-35 AMIDST AMPLE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR/A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...ALTHOUGH A SOMEWHAT MORE
STABLE/RAIN-COOLED AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM PUTS THE LONGEVITY OF THIS
STRONG LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN QUESTION OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.
THESE UNCERTAINTIES AND THE EXPECTED ISOLATED NATURE OF ANY TORNADO
THREAT SUGGESTS A TORNADO WATCH UPGRADE MAY NOT BE NEEDED...HOWEVER
WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS EARLY THIS
MORNING.

..GUYER.. 05/14/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

31049930 31699686 31879576 30539544 29459622 29579837
29949953

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 7:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPanola2 hr
May 13, 8:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Clay, Coleman, Comanche, Cooke, Denton and 10 more85 min
May 13, 8:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Concho, Edwards and 15 more91 min
May 13, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke and 56 more7 hr
May 13, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Caldwell, Comal, Fayette and 5 more6 hr
May 13, 11:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brazos, Burleson and 18 more94 min
May 14, 12:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Armstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Childress, Clay and 26 more85 min
May 14, 1:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Dimmit and 19 more56 min
May 14, 1:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Dimmit, Edwards and 12 more6 hr
May 14, 2:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 58 more92 min
May 14, 2:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 26 more91 min
May 14, 3:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 25 more6 hr
May 14, 5:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 29 more92 min
May 14, 5:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Edwards, Frio, Kerr and 7 more97 min
May 14, 7:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos and 34 more119 min
May 14, 7:50 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Cherokee and 28 more7 hr
May 14, 10:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos and 34 more97 min
May 14, 12:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Dawson, Gaines, Terry, Yoakum93 min
May 14, 12:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Dawson and 22 more6 hr
May 14, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Edwards, Kerr, Kimble, Kinney, Menard and 5 more27 min
May 14, 3:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Blanco, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coleman and 37 more7 hr
May 14, 3:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Falls and 9 more92 min
May 14, 5:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrange63 min
May 14, 6:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Crosby and 27 more67 min
May 14, 6:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more95 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.