Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 849

May 9, 200828 counties in North Carolina; 6 counties in South Carolina; 5 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2008, 11:37 PM EDT for 28 counties in North Carolina; 6 counties in South Carolina; 5 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2008, 11:37 PM EDT (03:37 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2008, 12:30 AM EDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 39 counties

Alexander County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Cherokee County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, York County, SC, Blount County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Sevier County, TN

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2008-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 189 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2008-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
189 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-195 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 100337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100337 
NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-100430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0849
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1037 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN TN...WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 290...

VALID 100337Z - 100430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 290
CONTINUES.

OVERALL WEAKENING TREND CONTINUES AS MAIN CONVECTION SPREADS ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS...WITH SVR THREAT APPARENTLY ENDING OVER ERN TN. 
HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENT EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY SUPPORT RENEWED
DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION AS THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD INTO THE WRN NC
AND FAR NWRN SC.  CONTINUE VALID PORTIONS OF WW.

MUCAPE AROUND 500 J/KG IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS WW WITH
EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 40 KT.  SURFACE PARCELS APPEAR TO BE CAPPED
LATE THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH EVENING SOUNDINGS INDICATE REGION
REMAINS UNDER VERY STEEP ELEVATED MIXED-LAYER WITH H7-H5 LAPSE RATES
IN EXCESS OF 7.5-8 C/KM.  IN ADDITION REGION IS LIKELY BEING
IMPACTED BY SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
ATTM.  POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN FOR STRONGER CORES TO REINTENSIFY OR
NEW DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR AS TAIL END OF DEEPER ASCENT OVERSPREADS
EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL.

..EVANS.. 05/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

35008447 35628429 36168353 35978043 34658058

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 8:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 24 more4 hr
May 9, 10:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Carteret, Chatham, Craven, Cumberland and 23 more64 min
May 9, 11:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Carteret, Chatham, Craven and 40 more4 hr
May 10, 2:02 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Carteret, Chatham, Craven, Cumberland and 21 more88 min
May 10, 5:25 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Colleton and 8 more95 min
May 10, 12:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Hampton, Jasper3 hr
May 10, 2:10 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 8 more7 hr
May 10, 4:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 7 more2 hr
May 10, 5:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 40 more115 min
May 10, 5:27 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCChester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson and 9 more10 hr
May 10, 7:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Lauderdale, McNairy, Madison and 2 more83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.