Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 577

April 7, 200823 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 7, 2008, 3:20 PM EDT for 23 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2008, 3:20 PM EDT (19:20 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2008, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Bay County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Clare County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Tuscola County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1006 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 071921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071920 
MIZ000-072145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0577
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT MON APR 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NE LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 071920Z - 072145Z

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND/OR STRONG GUSTY WINDS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.

WITH MAXIMUM AFTERNOON HEATING TIME NEARING...SATELLITE INDICATES
ENHANCED CU FIELD OVER NE LOWER MI AS COMPACT/INTENSE UPPER LOW AND
ASSOCIATED JET CROSS INTO LOWER MI.  TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO
THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S ALTHOUGH MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 40S.  SBCAPES FORECAST AROUND 500
J/KG AT PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING.  UPPER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA.  THUS...AT THIS TIME...EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ONLY THROUGH MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON.  WATCH UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME ALTHOUGH SITUATION
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

..BOTHWELL.. 04/07/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

43198477 43948521 44648536 45218531 45578506 45788445
45548382 45298346 45048338 44408316 44078313 43658307
43318320 43098355 43088406 43128441

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 11:06 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Bay, Cheboygan and 15 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.