Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 2139

August 23, 20084 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 23, 2008, 6:40 AM EDT for 4 counties in Florida. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 23, 2008, 6:40 AM EDT (10:40 UTC)
Expired
Aug 23, 2008, 8:45 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Dixie County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Levy County, FL, Taylor County, FL

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2008-08-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 111 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2008-08-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 312 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
111 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
431 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 231040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231040 
FLZ000-231245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2139
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0540 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN FL INTO THE FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 231040Z - 231245Z

TORNADO POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE INCREASING.  IT IS STILL UNCLEAR
WHETHER THIS WILL BE MORE THAN AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO THREAT
THROUGH MID MORNING...BUT TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY MONITORED. 

AS THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MIGRATE WEST OF
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION...AN INFLUX OF VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
AIR ON SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW OFF THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS
CONTRIBUTING TO DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN A DEVELOPING
CONFLUENCE BAND ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM.  THIS
EXTENDS SOUTH SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTH NORTHWEST OF CROSS
CITY...WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS IN THE
EASTERLY REGIME FARTHER NORTH.  HOWEVER...CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS ARE STILL SIZABLE AND SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADIC
POTENTIAL...PARTICULARLY WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS MOST UNSTABLE
NEAR IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS.

..KERR.. 08/23/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29728367 30268388 30368318 29778289 29258282 29198328

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 8:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 2 more2 hr
Aug 23, 7:18 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Citrus, Columbia, Dixie, Gilchrist, Hamilton and 10 more8 hr
Aug 23, 11:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gilchrist, Hamilton and 9 more115 min
Aug 23, 2:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gilchrist, Hamilton and 9 more2 hr
Aug 23, 5:24 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDixie, Gadsden, Jefferson, Lafayette, Leon, Madison and 2 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.