Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 1721

July 7, 200810 counties in Illinois

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 7, 2008, 10:21 PM CDT for 10 counties in Illinois. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2008, 10:21 PM CDT (03:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2008, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2008-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3226 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2008-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1042 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.7
Supercell composite
16.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 080321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080321 
ILZ000-080445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 PM CDT MON JUL 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NE IL...INCLUDING CHICAGO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 080321Z - 080445Z

LINE OF TSTMS...SPANNING AN AREA FROM SE WI ACROSS NW IL INTO SE
IA...HAS BECOME ORIENTED MORE SW-NE OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. 
PERUSAL OF VWP/PROFILES SUGGESTS THE GEOMETRY OF THE LINE WITH
RESPECT TO THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS MADE FOR AN UNFAVORABLE SITUATION
FOR SUSTAINED BOWS.  IN FACT...SITUATION HAS NEARLY BECOME
ANAFRONTAL ACROSS EC IA.  AS A RESULT...AS THE LINE PROGRESSES INTO
THE ROCKFORD AND LA SALLE TOWARD THE CHICAGO METRO AREA THROUGH
04-06Z...THE SVR THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL...SAVE FOR AN ISOLD DMGG WIND
GUST OR TWO.  THUS...A NEW WW DOWNSTREAM IS UNLIKELY.

..RACY.. 07/08/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...DVN...

41938956 42398893 42398812 42098766 41758768 41418821
41238923 41348994

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 7:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess30 min
Jul 7, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Rock Island, Stephenson, Whiteside4 hr
Jul 7, 8:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Kane, Lee and 5 more88 min
Jul 8, 1:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFord, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Knox, Livingston and 10 more3 hr
Jul 8, 1:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 35 more93 min
Jul 8, 1:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 34 more7 hr
Jul 8, 4:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 25 more53 min
Jul 8, 6:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 25 more58 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.