Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 1421

June 16, 200844 counties in New York; 27 counties in Pennsylvania; 11 counties in Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 16, 2008, 2:41 PM EDT for 44 counties in New York; 27 counties in Pennsylvania; 11 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2008, 2:41 PM EDT (18:41 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2008, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 82 counties

Albany County, NY, Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Erie County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 571 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
571 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
732 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 161841
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161841 
VTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-161945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0141 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PA/NY INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 550...

VALID 161841Z - 161945Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 550
CONTINUES.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS
MUCH OF NY AND NORTHERN PA.  35-45 KNOT EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES HAVE
HELPED STORMS MAINTAIN CELLULAR MODE...WITH SEVERAL STORMS SHOWING
SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS.  LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN LIKELY WITH
STRONGER CELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  A FEW CLUSTERS IN THIS REGION
MAY ALSO ORGANIZE UPSCALE WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS.
 

STORMS MAY ALSO BEGIN TO DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO MUCH OF VT DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.  A LOCAL WATCH EXTENSION TO ADD THIS REGION IS
UNDERWAY.

..HART.. 06/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

43537730 44787409 44967209 42677279 41407539 40977797
40367993 40738069 41478058 42347907 43147859

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 10:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Allegany, Bronx, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga and 39 more2 hr
Jun 16, 11:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua and 42 more10 hr
Jun 16, 12:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more2 hr
Jun 16, 1:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 4 more10 hr
Jun 16, 5:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung and 25 more67 min
Jun 16, 6:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Dutchess, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange and 6 more87 min
Jun 15, 9:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Beaver, Crawford, Lawrence, Mercer, Washington97 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Vermont, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.