Severe Thunderstorm Warning 178, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1013 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

.DISCUSSION...

HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE ZONES IN WORDING...CHANCES OF RAIN...
LOCATION OF SEVERE POSSIBILITY FOR THE 1ST AND 2ND PERIODS. ALSO
MADE SOME WIND CHANGES. THE COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH DURING THE
NIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ADVANCING WITH IT. SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE OVER THE NORTH TONIGHT AND OVER THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTH ON MONDAY. /06/

&&

.AVIATION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY SAG S THROUGH OK AND NE TX LATE TONIGHT AND
OVERNIGHT. MVFR/IFR CIGS WILL FORM OVER THE NORTH BEHIND THE WEATHER
ASSOC. W/ THIS SLOW MOVING FRONT FROM 06-12Z.  RIGHT NOW...HEAVY
CONVECTION W/ SOME SVR...ONE INCH HAIL...ONGOING ALONG THE RED RIVER
VALLEY FROM JUST NORTH OF KPRX...TO KDEQ AND DROPING SOUTHWARD TO
KTXK B/T 03-06Z.  NORTH GUSTS TO 25KTS BEHIND RAIN AREA AND S/SW 10
TO 20 KTS AHEAD OF THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  THIS FEATURE MAY BE
LONG LIVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT.  IN
ADDITION...EXPECT DEVELOPING SCT TSTMS IN THE VC OF THE SLOW
SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT ACROSS E TX/N LA ALONG/S OF I-20 TUESDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WITH IMPROVING CIGS BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS
SHIFT TO N/NE AROUND 10 KTS 15Z TO 21Z ACROSS THE AREA. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  63  73  54  68 /  70  70  20  10
MLU  63  73  55  69 /  60  70  20  10
DEQ  58  65  49  62 /  80  50  20  50
TXK  61  67  50  64 /  80  50  20  20
ELD  62  67  49  67 /  80  70  20  20
TYR  62  72  55  70 /  70  40  20  10
GGG  62  74  54  69 /  70  50  20  10
LFK  66  81  60  78 /  50  50  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COLUMBIA...HEMPSTEAD...HOWARD...LAFAYETTE...LITTLE
     RIVER...MILLER...NEVADA...AND SEVIER.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BIENVILLE...BOSSIER...CADDO...CLAIBORNE...DE
     SOTO...NATCHITOCHES...RED RIVER...SABINE LA...AND WEBSTER.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     MCCURTAIN.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ANGELINA...BOWIE...CAMP...CASS...CHEROKEE...FRANKLIN...GREGG...
     HARRISON...MARION...MORRIS...NACOGDOCHES...PANOLA...
     RED RIVER...RUSK...SABINE TX...SAN AUGUSTINE...
     SHELBY...SMITH...TITUS...UPSHUR...AND WOOD.

&&

06/24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
906 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-011100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
906 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS THROUGH THE NIGHT...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR. A SLIGHT RISK WILL CONTINUE FOR
MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE FOUR STATE REGION EXCEPT FOR
THE FAR SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PARTS.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE HAIL GREATER THAN NICKEL
SIZE IN DIAMETER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND STRONG AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT
IN PONDING OF WATER IN STREETS...ROADS...AND LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE IS A RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY
AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTER GROUPS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT.

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1222 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1159 PM     HAIL             2 NW TEXARKANA          33.47N 94.04W
03/31/2008  M1.75 INCH       BOWIE              TX   PUBLIC

            I-30 AND STATE LINE RD

&&

STEVENS

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