River Flood Warning 38, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1116 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK COLD FRONT HAS NUDGED TO THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE REGION
THROUGH MID-MORNING...WITH THE FRONT EXTENDING FROM DEEP E TX INTO
CNTRL LA/MS/AL. HOWEVER...VERY LITTLE TEMPERATURE CHANGE IS
OBSERVED BEHIND THE FRONT...ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED OUT
QUITE A BIT IN WAKE OF IT...MORESO THAN MODELS HAVE PROGGED.
HOWEVER...CLOUDS ARE GONNA BE HARD TO COME BY...OTHER THAN CIRRUS
SHIELD JUST S OF THE AREA OVER SE TX/SRN LA...AND CIRRUS THAT WILL
SPREAD E INTO THE REGION FROM THE W BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
NEXT SUBTLE SHORTWAVE NOW DIVING SE THROUGH MT/WY ATTM.
HOWEVER...DID MAKE SKY CONDITIONS MOSTLY SUNNY AREAWIDE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND LOWERED GRIDDED DEWPOINTS. GOING FORECAST MAX
TEMPS LOOKS GOOD...BUT DID MAKE VERY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE GRIDDED
TEMPS...WHICH WILL NOT AFFECT THE TEXT ZONES.

OTHERWISE...CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

UPDATE ALREADY OUT.

15

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CATEGORIES SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH 23/1800 UTC.  A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...EMBEDDED IN THE NW FLOW ALOFT...IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY.  THIS FEATURE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO
BRING A LITTLE BIT OF CLOUD COVER...WITH BKN CIGS POSSIBLY AS LOW AS
FL120-150.  /BUTTS/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  73  46  61  41 /   0   0  20  10
MLU  73  45  62  37 /   0   0  20  10
DEQ  71  42  59  31 /   0  10  20  10
TXK  72  44  59  38 /   0   0  20  10
ELD  72  42  59  35 /   0   0  20  10
TYR  74  47  60  41 /   0   0  30  20
GGG  73  45  60  39 /   0   0  30  20
LFK  76  48  65  41 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

15/21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
612 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221700-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
612 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA DURING EASTER SUNDAY...AS A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPS SOUTHEAST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
LIKEWISE DURING THE WORK WEEK...OTHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL MOVE OVERHEAD LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY AND DURING
MUCH OF FRIDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS  AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER...HAM RADIO OPERATOR...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL ACTIVATION...WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

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