Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 101722
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1222 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

KSC011-037-101800-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0210.000000T0000Z-080510T1800Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
1222 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTIES...

AT 1219 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR PAWNEE STATION...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF FORT
SCOTT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTIES.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3779 9495 3803 9462 3758 9462 3752 9495
TIME...MOT...LOC 1722Z 243DEG 39KT 3773 9470

$$

ANGLE

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 101738
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1237 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

KSC011-037-101747-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0210.000000T0000Z-080510T1800Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
1237 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND
SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN WHILE EXITING NORTHEASTERN
CRAWFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3779 9495 3803 9462 3758 9462 3752 9495
TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 243DEG 39KT 3781 9451

$$

ANGLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
626 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS.
THIS HAS ALLOWED LIGHT WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WHERE FOG
HAS DEVELOPED THIS MORNING. SLIGHTLY STRONG WINDS AND HIGH CLOUDS
HAS LIMITED THE FOG ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA. THE FOG SHOULD
QUICKLY BURN OFF THIS MORNING AS THE SUN RISES AND SOUTHERN WINDS
INCREASE.

TODAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH TO THE EAST. AS A RESULT SURFACE LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED OVER COLORADO WILL GET KICKED TO THE EAST TRAILING A COLD
FRONT BEHIND IT. AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE AREA...SURFACE WINDS
WILL SHIFT AND INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TODAY. AS A RESULT GULF
MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA...WITH DEWPOINTS INCREASING INTO
THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA BY THIS EVENING. THE AREA WILL
INITIALLY BE FAIRLY CAPPED THIS MORNING AS WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE
IN PLACE ALOFT. AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL ALOFT WEAKENING THE CAP. ELEVATED CONVECTION
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS IN
AN AIR OF WARM AIR ADVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CWA LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE FAR WESTERN CWA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THEN ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. THERE WILL BE MODERATE INSTABILITY OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG OF
CAPE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA. THERE WILL
ALSO BE SIGNIFICANT SHEAR IN PLACE WITH 0-6KM BULK SHEAR VALUES
OVER 50KTS ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH MAKES THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THE BETTER CHANCES
OF SEVERE WEATHER STILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE CWA IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
WHERE A 120KT JET STREAK WILL PUSH INTO A MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS
BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
60 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH EAST OUT OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT. A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SET UP ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
ON SUNDAY BEHIND THE STRONG AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE RESULTING
IN WINDY CONDITIONS BOTH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. AS THE LOW MOVES
OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...THERE WILL BE A
POSSIBILITY FOR WRAP AROUND LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL
MISSOURI.

COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO
LOWER 60 AND LOWERS IN THE LOWER 40S. THE COOL DOWN WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA TO START THE
WORK WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE 70S. ANOTHER STORM
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
MOISTURE WILL BE SOME WHAT LIMITED ACROSS THE AREA...DUE TO THE
GULF NOT FULLY RECHARGING AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED
TODAY. SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO DEVELOP SOME CONVECTION BUT SHOULD
LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...STRATUS AFFECTING MUCH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING
WITH CEILINGS AT JLN/SGF FROM 500 TO 800 FEET. STRATUS LAYER IS
FAIRLY THIN BASED OFF OF THE REAL-TIME 12Z SGF SOUNDING DATA SO
THE STRATUS SHOULD BEGIN TO BURN OFF BY MID MORNING. EXPECTING
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AT BOTH
JLN/SGF BETWEEN 20Z AND 22Z AS THE CAP BEGINS TO WEAKEN. FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH BY 00Z-02Z WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING
THIS EVENING.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
820 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
820 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO 60
  MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING AND
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
  SMALL HAIL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

  LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN
  PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...THEN SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE
  EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
  CORRIDOR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  QUARTERS AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 AND
  EAST OF HIGHWAY 65 COULD SEE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS...WINDS TO 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

  DISCUSSION:

  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDWEST AND
  STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST. LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN
  COLORADO WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
  PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST
  THROUGH THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. AS THE
  LOW PRESSURE PUSHES EAST...GULF MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE
  REGION RESULTING IN MODERATE INSTABILITY. SIGNIFICANT SHEAR
  WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THIS STRONG STORM SYSTEM. IF STORMS
  CAN BECOME SURFACE BASED...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE
  AMOUNT OF SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. THE BEST AREAS FOR THIS TO
  OCCUR WILL BE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 65 AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44
  CORRIDOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

 WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
 SUNDAY AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE OHIO
 RIVER VALLEY REGION.

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER
 STORM SYSTEM AFFECTS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
 EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1134 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 AM     HAIL             MOUNT VERNON            37.10N 93.82W
05/10/2008  E0.25 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1143 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1139 AM     HAIL             BATTLEFIELD             37.12N 93.37W
05/10/2008  E0.25 INCH       GREENE             MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1147 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 AM     HAIL             STOTTS CITY             37.10N 93.95W
05/10/2008  E0.50 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1202 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1202 PM     HAIL             MILLER                  37.21N 93.84W
05/10/2008  E0.25 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

&&

HATCH