Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 85, NWS Springfield, MO

May 27, 2008Cedar County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at May 27, 2008, 8:24 AM CDT for Cedar County, Missouri. It took effect at May 28, 2008, 3:39 AM CDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2008, 8:24 AM CDT (13:24 UTC)
In effect from
May 28, 2008, 3:39 AM CDT
Expired
May 28, 2008, 4:07 PM CDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Cedar County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Sac River near Caplinger Mills (CMZM7).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06919900, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KSGF 271324
FLWSGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
824 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...AND MISSOURI...

  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY
  
.HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF THREE INCHES OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS 
CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS LIKELY THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT...AND MAY CAUSE FLUCTUATIONS IN FUTURE RIVER CREST
FORECASTS.

THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND LIVESTOCK ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO 
MONITOR RIVER CONDITIONS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

KSC011-280124-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0084.080527T1800Z-080529T1905Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.080527T1800Z.080528T0600Z.080528T1905Z.NO/
824 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 40.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 40.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW AREAS ON 
  HAPPY HOLLOW ROAD, MAPLE ROAD AND 2ND STREET NORTH AND WEST OF 
  DOWNTOWN FORT SCOTT. 

$$

MOC039-280123-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0085.080528T1545Z-080530T1536Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T1545Z.080529T0000Z.080529T1536Z.NO/
824 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.  THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$
7 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 271736
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MISSOURI...
 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO
RISE TO NEAR...OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ACROSS THE LITTLE
OSAGE...OSAGE...SAC AND MARMATON RIVER BASINS. SINCE MONDAY
MORNING...AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS THE
BASINS WHICH WILL LEAD TO FLOODING ALONG THE LITTLE OSAGE...OSAGE...SAC
AND MARMATON RIVER BASINS THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACROSS THESE BASINS WILL LIKELY ADJUST THE OVERALL CRESTS AND THE
LENGTH OF THE FLOOD. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC217-280836-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080531T2112Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.080527T0436Z.080528T1200Z.080530T2112Z.NO/
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 44.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 

$$

KSC011-280835-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0084.080527T2314Z-080529T1905Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.080527T2314Z.080528T0600Z.080528T1905Z.NO/
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:55 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 40.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 40.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW AREAS ON 
  HAPPY HOLLOW ROAD, MAPLE ROAD AND 2ND STREET NORTH AND WEST OF 
  DOWNTOWN FORT SCOTT. 

$$

MOC217-280835-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080601T1200Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080527T0805Z.080528T0600Z.080531T1200Z.NO/
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE,
  WEST OF NEVADA. 

$$

MOC217-280835-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0083.080528T0408Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.080528T0408Z.080529T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE MAIN ROAD OF THE 
  SCHELL-OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA TO BECOME IMPASSABLE EAST OF 
  CONSERVATION AREA MAIN OFFICE. IN ADDITION, THE NORTH CAMPGROUND IN
  THE SCHELL-OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA BECOMES FLOODED. 

$$

MOC039-280835-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0085.080528T1545Z-080530T1536Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T1545Z.080529T0000Z.080529T1536Z.NO/
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

JLT
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 271912
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...KANSAS...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
  
.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO
RISE TO NEAR...OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ACROSS THE LITTLE OSAGE...OSAGE...SAC 
AND MARMATON RIVER BASINS. SINCE MONDAY MORNING...AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO 
INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS THE BASINS WHICH WILL LEAD TO FLOODING ALONG 
THE LITTLE OSAGE...OSAGE...SACAND MARMATON RIVER BASINS THROUGH TONIGHT. 
ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACROSS THESE BASINS WILL LIKELY ADJUST THE OVERALL 
CRESTS AND THE LENGTH OF THE FLOOD. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC217-281012-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080531T1848Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.080527T0436Z.080528T0600Z.080530T1848Z.NO/
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 43.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 

$$

KSC011-281011-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0084.080527T2142Z-080529T1513Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.080527T2142Z.080528T0600Z.080528T1513Z.NO/
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:04 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 40.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 40.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW AREAS ON 
  HAPPY HOLLOW ROAD, MAPLE ROAD AND 2ND STREET NORTH AND WEST OF 
  DOWNTOWN FORT SCOTT. 

$$

MOC217-281011-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080601T1610Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080527T0805Z.080528T1200Z.080531T1610Z.NO/
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE,
  WEST OF NEVADA. 

$$

MOC217-281011-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0083.080528T0508Z-080602T1200Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.080528T0508Z.080530T1800Z.080601T1200Z.NO/
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  1:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE MAIN ROAD OF THE 
  SCHELL-OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA TO BECOME IMPASSABLE EAST OF 
  CONSERVATION AREA MAIN OFFICE. IN ADDITION, THE NORTH CAMPGROUND IN
  THE SCHELL-OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA BECOMES FLOODED. 

$$

MOC039-281011-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0085.080528T1800Z-080529T1800Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T1800Z.080528T1800Z.080528T1800Z.NO/
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 280843
FLSSGF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MISSOURI...

  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY  
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC217-282343-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080531T0123Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.080527T0436Z.080528T0745Z.080530T0123Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

KSC011-282343-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-080529T0651Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080528T0000Z.080528T0651Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.4 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 38.0 FEET...THIS IS THE OFFICIAL FLOOD STAGE OF THE 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT, KANSAS. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG 
  MILL CREEK NORTH OF TOWN DUE TO BACKWATER EFFECTS OF THE MARMATON 
  RIVER. FLOOD WATERS ALSO BEGIN TO SPILL ACROSS THE FIELD BY THE RED
  BARN RESTAURANT, ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TOWN, AT THE NEW HIGHWAY 69 
  BRIDGE. 

$$

MOC217-282342-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080601T0142Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080527T0805Z.080530T0000Z.080531T0142Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE COUNTY ROAD, WEST OF 
  THE GAGE SITE, TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. 

$$

MOC217-282342-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0083.080528T1131Z-080601T2159Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.080528T1131Z.080530T1200Z.080531T2159Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 31.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW LYING AREAS
  WEST OF SCHELL CITY, ALONG THE OSAGE RIVER BASIN. ALSO, FLOOD 
  WATERS AFFECT THE FOUR RIVER CONSERVATION AREA APPROXIMATELY 10 
  MILES WEST OF SCHELL CITY.  

$$

MOC039-282342-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0085.080528T0839Z-080529T2324Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T0448Z.080528T1200Z.080528T2324Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* FROM EARLY THIS MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 280912 CCA
FLSSGF

FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MISSOURI...

  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY  
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC217-282343-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080531T0123Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.080527T0436Z.080528T0745Z.080530T0123Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

KSC011-282343-
/O.COR.KSGF.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-080529T0651Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080528T0000Z.080528T0651Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.4 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 38.0 FEET...THIS IS THE OFFICIAL FLOOD STAGE OF THE 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT, KANSAS. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG 
  MILL CREEK NORTH OF TOWN DUE TO BACKWATER EFFECTS OF THE MARMATON 
  RIVER. FLOOD WATERS ALSO BEGIN TO SPILL ACROSS THE FIELD BY THE RED
  BARN RESTAURANT, ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TOWN, AT THE NEW HIGHWAY 69 
  BRIDGE. 

$$

MOC217-282342-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080601T0142Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080527T0805Z.080530T0000Z.080531T0142Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE COUNTY ROAD, WEST OF 
  THE GAGE SITE, TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. 

$$

MOC217-282342-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0083.080528T1131Z-080601T2159Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.080528T1131Z.080530T1200Z.080531T2159Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 31.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW LYING AREAS
  WEST OF SCHELL CITY, ALONG THE OSAGE RIVER BASIN. ALSO, FLOOD 
  WATERS AFFECT THE FOUR RIVER CONSERVATION AREA APPROXIMATELY 10 
  MILES WEST OF SCHELL CITY.  

$$

MOC039-282342-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0085.080528T0839Z-080529T2324Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T0448Z.080528T1200Z.080528T2324Z.NO/
343 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* FROM EARLY THIS MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 281133
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
633 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 72 HOURS HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC039-290233-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080529T1950Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T0448Z.080528T1030Z.080528T1950Z.NO/
633 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 281255
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
755 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 72 HOURS HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC217-290355-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080531T0112Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.080527T0436Z.080528T1030Z.080530T0112Z.NO/
755 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER NEAR HORTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

MOC217-290354-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080601T0300Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080527T0805Z.080530T0600Z.080531T0300Z.NO/
755 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE COUNTY ROAD, WEST OF 
  THE GAGE SITE, TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. 

$$

MOC217-290354-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-080601T1912Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.080528T2159Z.080530T0600Z.080531T1912Z.NO/
755 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 31.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW LYING AREAS
  WEST OF SCHELL CITY, ALONG THE OSAGE RIVER BASIN. ALSO, FLOOD 
  WATERS AFFECT THE FOUR RIVER CONSERVATION AREA APPROXIMATELY 10 
  MILES WEST OF SCHELL CITY.  

$$

MOC039-290354-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080529T1905Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T0448Z.080528T1030Z.080528T1905Z.NO/
755 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 282107
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
406 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY
 
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC039-282136-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080529T1905Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.080528T0448Z.080528T1345Z.080528T1737Z.NO/
406 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* AT  3:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:37 PM WEDNESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 7.8 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 27, 7:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 7:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
713 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

.DISCUSSION...

STORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS OUR WESTERN COUNTIES EARLY THIS
MORNING...AND PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER
HOUR AND WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH. THESE STORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE
PLAINS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON EAST OF A DRYLINE OVER THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE AND SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT OVER KANSAS. SOUNDING
DATA AND HOURLY LAPS ANALYSIS OVER THE OZARKS INDICATE THE STORMS
ARE NO LONGER ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS SHOULD HELP MAINTAIN
THEM AS THEY SPREAD EAST OVER THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH MID MORNING.

FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...THE MAIN ISSUES INCLUDE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES AND CONTINUATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HAVE BASED POPS
FOR THIS MORNING ON MOVEMENT OF ONGOING MCS. DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WILL KEEP HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS GOING AS A SLOW
MOVING FRONT TO OUR NORTH FINALLY DROPS SOUTH INTO OUR NORTHERN
COUNTIES. THE FRONT ALONG WITH RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
EARLY MORNING STORMS COULD FOCUS ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION OVER
OUR AREA LATER TODAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OVER AN INCH...SO EXPECT STORMS OVER THE AREA TO BE VERY
EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS. ALSO...AS MENTIONED IN SPC DAY ONE
OUTLOOK...IF WE CAN GET SOME CLEARING OVER THE AREA TODAY...SEVERE
STORM THREAT WILL INCREASE. PLAN TO EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
THROUGH 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR LINGERING CONVECTION THIS
EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WILL BE DECREASING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES AS THE FRONT SHIFTS SOUTH OF THE ARKANSAS STATE LINE...AND
WE FINALLY GET OUT OF THE OVERNIGHT MCS TRACK. PLAN TO KEEP 20-30
PERCENT GOING OVER OUR SOUTHERN ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY
DIP INTO THE 50S OVER MOST AREAS AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SOUTH
FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. RETURN FLOW SETS UP BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH A LEE SIDE TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...WARMING TEMPERATURES BACK UP INTO THE 80S OVER MUCH OF
THE CWA.

FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THE WESTERLIES WILL SHIFT FROM A TROUGH
WEST/RIDGE EAST PATTERN TO A MORE ZONAL TO NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN
AS THE UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS OVER THE SOUTHERN U.S. AND EXPANDS
WESTWARD. THIS WILL HELP PUSH THE LEE SIDE TROUGH THROUGH THE
AREA QUICKLY LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY.

TERRY

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z KSGF/KJLN TAFS...CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
PRIMARY ISSUE FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO
REDEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING...AND WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE ARE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. HAVE INCLUDED VCTS IN THE TAFS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SCATTERED
NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
DAY TIME HOURS...WITH MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

WISE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 5:31 AM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
531 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
531 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

 THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
 FLASH FLOODING...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO
 60 MPH.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
 MISSOURI THIS MORNING...AND OVER ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND
 SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

 FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS
 AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

  DISCUSSION:

 STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER THE
 AREA THROUGH LATE MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EXITS THE
 AREA.

 LATER TODAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
 AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE OZARKS AND INTERACTS WITH
 THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION. IF CLOUD COVER
 CLEARS OUT OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...INSTABILITY WILL
 INCREASE...LEADING TO A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
 DEVELOPMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

 STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY WEDNESDAY
 MORNING.

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT TO
 SATURDAY NIGHT...WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
 MISSOURI...AND OVER ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST
 KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

 STORM SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF FLOODING TO THE
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 2:47 AM CDT, 5 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
247 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 AM     HAIL             5 E CARTHAGE            37.18N  94.22W
05/27/2008  E0.70 INCH       JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

WISE
Special weather statement, May 27, 3:41 AM CDT, 4 hours 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
341 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

MOZ079-080-091-270915-
WEBSTER MO-POLK MO-DALLAS MO-
341 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER...SOUTHEASTERN
POLK AND SOUTHERN DALLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

AT 339 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PLEASANT HOPE...OR 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BOLIVAR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 33 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BUFFALO BY 410 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF OLIVE...FOOSE AND MARCH ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 105 AND 109.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

WISE
Special weather statement, May 27, 4:18 AM CDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
418 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

MOZ091-092-270945-
WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-
418 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SOUTHERN WEBSTER AND WEST CENTRAL
WRIGHT COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 413 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF FORDLAND...OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST
OF AVA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DIGGINS BY 430 AM CDT.
  SEYMOUR BY 435 AM CDT.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

WISE
Local storm report, May 27, 6:37 AM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
637 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FORT SCOTT              37.84N 94.71W
05/27/2008                   BOURBON            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS CLOSED THROUGHOUT BOURBON
            COUNTY.

&&

BARJENBRUCH
Local storm report, May 27, 6:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
639 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAMAR                   37.49N 94.28W
05/27/2008                   BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE CITY.

&&

BARJENBRUCH
Local storm report, May 27, 7:31 AM CDT, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
731 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LAMAR                   37.49N 94.28W
05/27/2008  M3.00 INCH       BARTON             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR PRECIPITATION TOTAL.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 1:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarton5 hr
May 27, 2:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade38 min
May 27, 6:41 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBarton, Vernon6 hr
May 27, 12:50 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBarton, Vernon24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.