River Flood Warning 40, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 011137
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
636 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
  
.HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO 1.5 INCHES FELL ACROSS THE SPRING
RIVER BASIN ON MONDAY THAT CAUSED THE RIVER LEVEL TO 
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LAST NIGHT. RUNOFF IS NOT COMPLETE WHICH WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THE SLOW RISE THIS MORNING...BEFORE CRESTING. MORE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEK WHICH WILL LEAD TO POSSIBLE MORE
FLOODING ALONG THE SPRING RIVER BASIN. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-020236-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080403T0140Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.080401T0745Z.080401T1200Z.080402T0140Z.NO/
636 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. IN 
  ADDITION...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37...EAST OF 
  CARTHAGE...BETWEEN AVILLA AND REEDS. 

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 011403
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 

.SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE OSAGE AND GASCONADE
RIVER BASINS ON MONDAY. RUNOFF WAS NEARLY COMPLETE ON THE SAC
RIVER...BUT CONTINUES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE RIVER BASINS.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY
OCCUR ACROSS THESE RIVER BASINS LATER THIS WEEK WHICH WILL LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL FLOODING AND HIGHER CRESTS. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-020503-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080403T1800Z/
/TBNM7.1.ER.080401T1441Z.080401T1800Z.080402T1800Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 12.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE HAPPY 
  HOLLOW PICNIC AREA. 

$$

MOC217-020502-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-080405T0939Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080331T2110Z.080401T0945Z.080404T0939Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD NEAR 24 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT
  BEFORE SLOWLY FALLING. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE COUNTY ROAD...WEST OF 
  THE GAGE SITE...TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. 

$$

MOC039-020502-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080402T1512Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.080331T1925Z.080401T0130Z.080401T1512Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE... 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

MOC097-020502-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080402T2100Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.080401T0745Z.080401T1300Z.080401T2100Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. IN 
  ADDITION...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37...EAST OF 
  CARTHAGE...BETWEEN AVILLA AND REEDS. 

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 011811
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
111 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY

.SEVERAL INCHES OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE SAC AND SPRING
RIVER BASINS ON MONDAY. AS OF THIS AFTERNOON...THE RUNOFF WAS NEARLY
COMPLETE AND ALLOWED THE RIVER LEVELS TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
PLEASE BE AWARE THAT ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED LATE
WEDNESDAY...AND INTO THURSDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE RIVERS TO
RISE AGAIN...AND POSSIBILITY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. 

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC039-011841-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080402T1655Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.080331T1925Z.080401T0130Z.080401T1716Z.NO/
111 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:15 PM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.9 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE, 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

MOC097-011841-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080402T2100Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.080401T0745Z.080401T1300Z.080401T1659Z.NO/
111 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:00 PM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. IN 
  ADDITION...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37...EAST OF 
  CARTHAGE...BETWEEN AVILLA AND REEDS. 

$$

JLT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1140 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

VERY ACTIVE DAY ACROSS THE OZARKS. SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO
CONGEAL ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS JUST NOW
ENTERING WESTERNMOST MISSOURI. SUBSTANTIAL WIND RISK ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SQUALL LINE WITH WINDS UP TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE.

TONIGHT...PRIMARY CONCERNS ARE TIMING THE ONGOING SQUALL LINE.
WILL LIKELY NEED TO MAKE ALTERATIONS POST PACKAGE ISSUANCE TO MORE
PROPERLY ASSESS RAINFALL POTENTIAL. WILL MOST LIKELY BE CUTTING
POPS OVER WESTERN ZONE FURTHER AS THE COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO
MAKE PROGRESS EAST. WILL NEED TO MONITOR CLOUD COVERAGE
TONIGHT...SOME CLEARING IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
ZONES. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA WILL STILL BE PRONE TO
TRAPPED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND CYCLONIC FLOW WITH THE DEPARTING
SFC LOW. GENERALLY HELD AT MAV WHERE CLOUDS WILL LINGER AND A
LITTLE LOWER WHERE CLEARING IS EXPECTED.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...925/850MB THERMAL TROUGH MOVES
OVERHEAD TUESDAY. MAY STILL BE A LINGERING STRATUS ISSUE FOR
NORTHERN COUNTIES EARLY ON...BUT CLEARING SHOULD OCCUR BY THE
AFTERNOON. INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT.
GENERALLY HELD CLOSE TO MAV FOR HIGHS AND BELOW FOR LOWS WHICH
WILL FLIRT WITH THE FREEZING MARK...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN ZONES.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...UNFORTUNATELY...OUR ACTIVE PATTERN LOOKS
TO CONTINUE. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE OVER THE REGION
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WARM FRONT WILL ONCE AGAIN MOVE INTO THE
REGION AND ANOTHER SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE NATION. MULTIPLE ROUND OF SHRA/TSRA WILL ONCE AGAIN
LEAD TO ANOTHER SIZABLE RISK OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. CANNOT
RULE OUT SEVERE STORMS EITHER WITH THE DEVELOPMENT AND PASSAGE OF
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES OF RAIN
APPEAR LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE CURRENT ESF
HANDLES THE SITUATION WELL. HAVE INCREASED POPS A BIT FOR THIS
TIME FRAME GIVEN WET MODELS AND STRONG SIGNALS FROM THE ENSEMBLE
AVERAGE POP. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE TRICKY AND DEPENDENT ON
WARM FRONT LOCATION...HELD CLOSE TO WARMER MAV NUMBERS. WHICH ARE
AT OR ABOVE AVERAGE SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND BELOW AVERAGE NORTH OF
THE FRONT.

IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...CONSIDERABLE
MODEL DIFFERENCES FROM THE 00Z SUITE SEEM TO BE CONVERGING A BIT
WITH THE 12Z SOLUTIONS...ALTHOUGH TRUST IN THIS REMAIN TENUOUS.
THE UPPER PATTERN SHOULD EVOLVE TO A MORE ZONAL ORIENTATION...
BUT A FEW RIPPLES IN THE FLOW ARE STILL POSSIBLE. STORM SYSTEM
RESPONSIBLE FOR WED/THUR RAINS SHOULD BE EXITING STAGE EAST EARLY
FRIDAY. BEYOND FRIDAY...HAVE KEPT ANY RAIN CHANCES ON THE LOW
SIDE DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN TIMING ANY PARTICULAR WAVES. AT
THIS POINT...PRESENT INDICATIONS POINT TO NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

GAGAN

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...STRATUS STILL AFFECTING THE SGF TERMINAL
LOCATION WITH AROUND 1800 FOOT CEILINGS...HOWEVER A CLEARING LINE
IS JUST TO THE WEST OF SGF WHICH JLN IS CURRENTLY IN AT 0430Z. A
SECOND AREA OF STRATUS IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS SLOWLY EDGING TO THE EAST AND WILL LIKELY AFFECT BOTH
JLN/SGF OVERNIGHT. GENERALLY HAVE AROUND 2500 FOOT CEILINGS GOING
AT JLN AND AROUND 1500 FOOT CEILINGS FOR SGF. COULD SEE BRIEF
CLEARING AT SGF FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE THE SECOND ROUND OF
STRATUS MOVES IN.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1238 AM CDT TUE APR 1 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020545-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1238 AM CDT TUE APR 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WHILE THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON MANY
STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE OUTLOOK AREA ALONG AND NORTH OF A STALLED FRONT. THERE WILL
BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1024 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NIXA                    37.04N 93.29W
03/31/2008                   CHRISTIAN          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROAD FLOODED AT TRACKER ROAD WEST OF 160. TWO FEET OF
            WATER OVER ROAD.

&&

GCLAYCOM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1112 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0244 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONETT                  36.92N 93.93W
03/31/2008                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEMI BLOWN OVER ON SOUTH 37 HIGHWAY. DAMAGE ALSO REPORTED
            AT A TRUCK STOP, THE ROOF OF THE NAZARENE CHURCH AND THE
            BAPTIST CHURCH, THE EISENHOWER BUILDING, AND RESIDENTIAL
            BUILDINGS. TREES ALSO DOWN ON RAILROAD TRACKS.

&&

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1113 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N GAINESVILLE         36.65N 92.43W
03/31/2008                   OZARK              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO HOUSE AND MILK BARN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 107.

&&

LINDENBERG