Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 18, NWS Springfield, MO

March 2, 2008Pulaski County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 2, 2008, 7:59 PM CST for Pulaski County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 3, 2008, 5:30 PM CST. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 2, 2008, 7:59 PM CST (01:59 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 3, 2008, 5:30 PM CST
Expired: Mar 5, 2008, 10:14 AM CST
In force: 41 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Flood severity: Minor

County Pulaski County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 2, 7:42 PM CST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 7:42 PM CST, 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
742 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.UPDATE...

A SEVERE TSTM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR OUT THREE SE KS COUNTIES
UNTIL 08Z. QUICK LOOK AT THE KSGF 00Z SOUNDING STILL SHOWS A CAP
JUST ABOVE 700 MB. PROGGED WRF AND GFS SOUNDINGS DO SHOW SOME
WEAKENING OF THE CAP WITH THE APPROACH OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. BUT EVEN WITH THAT
WEAKENING...INSTABILITY IS FAIRLY WEAK BY MID/LATE EVENING...BUT
SHEAR PROFILES ARE POTENT...WITH 50-55KT SOUTHERLY JET AT
850MB...BECOMING MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WITH TIME. BOW SEGMENT
DEVELOPED ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER SE KS THIS EVENING
AND WILL HAVE TO WATCH ITS EVOLUTION. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY
CONTINUE ALONG THE FRONT WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL FORCING AND STRONG
WIND FIELDS. THE LACK OF INSTABILITY WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR TO
THE OVERALL THREAT.

MAIN HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL OCCUR ALONG AND MOSTLY BEHIND THE
FRONT AS IMPRESSIVE DEEP LIFT DEVELOPS WITH IMPRESSIVE UPPER
DIFFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION TO A JET SEGMENT OVER
EASTERN KS. DEEP MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN THE
NEIGHBORHOOD OF 1.25 INCHES 06Z-12Z WILL LEAD TO HEAVY RAINFALL
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT. FLOOD WATCH
OUT ALREADY...AND THIS IS POTENTIALLY VERY SERIOUS GIVEN THE
ALREADY WET SOIL. HEAVIEST RAIN SEEM TO BE FOCUSED ALONG AND SOUTH
OF I-44 WITH 1-3 INCHES EASILY POSSIBLE.

INTERESTING WINTER WEATHER SCENARIO POSSIBLE WITH THE WRF AND GFS
TURNING THE PRECIP TO SNOW OVER THE WESTERN CWA SOMETIME MONDAY
MORNING..AND INTO THE SPRINGFIELD AREA LATE IN THE
MORNING. THAT COULD BE INTERESTING. ANOTHER AREA OF SNOW WILL ALSO
OCCUR WITH THE UPPER LOW AS IT FINALLY MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN MO
LATE MON NIGHT TUE MORNING. HAVENT LOOKED TO CLOSELY AT TO SEE
HOW REASONABLE THE THERMO PROFILES LOOK FOR MONDAY YET...BUT WILL
BE WATCHING 00Z GUIDANCE CLOSELY. DSA

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 0000 UTC KSGF/KSGF TAFS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO SW MO TOWARD MIDNIGHT...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE MO OZARKS
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WE WILL PROBABLY SEE A GRADUAL LOWERING OF CEILINGS
INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY RIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT THE BULK OF
THE PRECIP SHOULD BE BEHIND THE FRONT. CEILINGS SHOULD QUICKLY
DROP TO LOW END MVFR THEN IFR BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT.
PRECIP WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO SLEET...SNOW...FREEZING DRIZZLE
MONDAY MORNING WITH CONTINUED LOW CEILINGS THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.
DSA

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-068>071-079>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 2, 7:09 PM CST, 50 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 2, 6:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	36 hr
Mar 2, 6:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	49 hr
Mar 2, 6:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar	82 min
Mar 2, 7:59 PM CST	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	62 hr
Mar 2, 10:19 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, Barton, Cedar, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence and 4 more	59 hr
Mar 2, 11:34 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Benton, Camden, Christian, Dallas, Douglas, Greene and 12 more	60 hr
Mar 3, 2:11 AM CST	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Dent, Howell, Maries, Miller, Oregon, Phelps and 2 more	60 hr
Mar 3, 4:15 AM CST	Winter Storm Warning	SGF	Barry, Christian, Dent, Douglas, Greene, Howell and 13 more	34 hr
Mar 3, 4:15 AM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	SGF	Barton, Camden, Cedar, Dade, Dallas, Hickory and 6 more	29 hr
Mar 3, 8:15 AM CST	River Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar	23 hr
Mar 3, 5:42 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Barton	14 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008 Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.