Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Watches in 2008
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood watch at Feb 15, 2008, 11:26 AM CST for 34 counties in Missouri; Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas. It took effect at Feb 16, 2008, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 15, 2008, 11:26 AM CST (17:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 16, 2008, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 17, 2008, 12:00 PM CST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Flood severity
- None
All 37 counties
Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 575 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 67 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 115 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 103 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS63 KSGF 151726 FFASGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1126 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 ...FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY... ...RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY AND INTO MONDAY... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY...THEN THROUGH MISSOURI EARLY SUNDAY...WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COUPLED WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI...WILL LEAD TO THE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS. OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS AROUND AN INCH OF ICE STILL REMAINS ON THE GROUND FROM THE ICE STORM EARLIER IN THE WEEK...THIS WILL ADD TO THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WHEN THIS ICE MELTS AS THE RAINFALL BEGINS. FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS. AREA RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS HAVE BEEN FLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE PAST WEEK...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. ANY RIVER...CREEK OR STREAM HAS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND RUNOFF. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLOODING ARE THE AREAS IN THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVER BASINS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SPECIFICALLY...THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS OF TIFF CITY...CARTHAGE...WACO...GALENA...HAZELGREEN AND JEROME HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF RISING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. YOU CAN MONITOR THIS RIVERS ON THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE. WWW.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND INTERESTS IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160400- /O.NEW.KSGF.FF.A.0002.080217T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 1126 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI... BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE... DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...GREENE...HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER... LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN... NEWTON...OREGON...OZARK...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON... ST. CLAIR...STONE...TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT. * FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME...RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 1.5 TO 3 INCHES...ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO FOUR INCHES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ WISE
6 follow-up statements
000 WGUS63 KSGF 160305 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 905 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 ...FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY... ...RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY AND INTO MONDAY... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND INTO THE OZARKS REGION THIS WEEKEND BRINGING THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO FOUR INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COUPLED WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE ENHANCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS WHERE THE GROUND REMAINS ICE COVERED. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE BEEN FLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE PAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLOODING EXIST IN THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVER BASINS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SPECIFICALLY...THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS OF TIFF CITY...CARTHAGE...WACO...GALENA...HAZELGREEN AND JEROME HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF RISING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. YOU CAN MONITOR THIS RIVERS ON THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE. WWW.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND INTERESTS IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161115- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.080217T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 905 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS * FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP INCLUDING ALONG THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVERS IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ FOSTER
000 WGUS63 KSGF 161015 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 415 AM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY... ...RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY AND INTO MONDAY... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM TEXAS INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREAD INTO THE REST OF THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWEST OF A CASSVILLE TO ROLLA LINE. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COUPLED WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE ENHANCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS WHERE THE GROUND REMAINS ICE COVERED. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE BEEN FLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE PAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLOODING EXIST IN THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVER BASINS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SPECIFICALLY...THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS OF TIFF CITY...CARTHAGE...WACO...GALENA...HAZELGREEN AND JEROME HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF RISING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. YOU CAN MONITOR THIS RIVERS ON THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE. WWW.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND INTERESTS IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161815- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.080217T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 415 AM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN... CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...GREENE... HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES... MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...OZARK... PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...STONE... TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING * WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWEST OF A CASSVILLE TO ROLLA LINE. THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP INCLUDING ALONG THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVERS IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ DSA
000 WGUS63 KSGF 161458 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 858 AM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY... ...RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY AND INTO MONDAY... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM TEXAS INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREAD INTO THE REST OF THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWEST OF A CASSVILLE TO ROLLA LINE. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COUPLED WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE ENHANCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS WHERE THE GROUND REMAINS ICE COVERED. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE BEEN FLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE PAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLOODING EXIST IN THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVER BASINS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SPECIFICALLY...THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS OF TIFF CITY...CARTHAGE...WACO...GALENA...HAZELGREEN AND JEROME HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF RISING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. YOU CAN MONITOR THESE RIVERS ON THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE. WWW.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND INTERESTS IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-162300- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.080217T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 858 AM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN... CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...GREENE... HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES... MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...OZARK... PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...STONE... TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT. * FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING * WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWEST OF A CASSVILLE TO ROLLA LINE. THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP INCLUDING ALONG THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVERS IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ LINDENBERG
000 WGUS63 KSGF 161812 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1212 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY... ...RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM TEXAS INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS EVENING AND THEN SPREAD INTO THE REST OF THE WATCH AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWEST OF A CASSVILLE TO ROLLA LINE. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COUPLED WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE ENHANCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS WHERE THE GROUND REMAINS ICE COVERED. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE BEEN FLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE PAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS IN THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVER BASINS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SPECIFICALLY...THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS OF TIFF CITY...CARTHAGE...WACO...GALENA...HAZELGREEN AND JEROME HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF RISING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. YOU CAN MONITOR THESE RIVERS ON THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE. WWW.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND INTERESTS IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170215- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.080217T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 1212 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...BARRY...BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN... CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...GREENE... HICKORY...HOWELL...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES... MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...OREGON...OZARK... PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...SHANNON...ST. CLAIR...STONE... TANEY...TEXAS...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT. * FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING * WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM THIS EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SATURDAY EVENING NORTHWEST OF A CASSVILLE TO ROLLA LINE. THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP INCLUDING ALONG THE NEOSHO...SAC...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVERS IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ CRAMER
000 WGUS63 KSGF 170154 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 754 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT... ...RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... .PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TRACKS OUT OF TEXAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SUNDAY MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM CASSVILLE TO ROLLA. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL COUPLED WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE BEEN FLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE PAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. YOU CAN MONITOR THESE RIVERS ON THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE. WWW.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND INTERESTS IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171200- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 754 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS * THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING * MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM BRANSON TO ROLLA. THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING MORE INTENSE RAINFALL RATES WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP INCLUDING ALONG THE NEOSHO...JAMES AND GASCONADE RIVERS IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ FOSTER
000 WGUS63 KSGF 171751 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1151 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171900- /O.EXP.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-080217T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG... BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES... ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA... HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD... WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON... BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN... CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE... MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON... NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON... PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA... BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 1151 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MISSOURI WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON. WIDESPREAD FLOODING DOES CONTINUE HOWEVER ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS. MANY LOW WATER CROSSINGS REMAIN FLOODED AND ROADS REMAINED CLOSED DUE TO THE FLOODING. FLOOD WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. REMEMBER TO NEVER DRIVE THROUGH WATER CROSSING THE ROADWAY TURN AROUND DONT DROWN $$ LINDENBERG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Feb 15, 5:29 AM CST, 5 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 5:29 AM CST, 5 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 529 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 ...UPDATE TO AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... EARLY CONCERNS ARE CLOUD COVER AND TEMPERATURES. LOW CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD INTO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CWFA TONIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONT. PROGGED SOUNDINGS FROM THE GFS INDICATE VARYING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE DEPTH THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT BY AND LARGE THEY PAINT A MOSTLY CLOUDY/OVERCAST SCENARIO. SOME LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY OCCUR WITH LIFT OVER THE MO OZARKS TERRAIN EARLY TODAY...BUT NOT EXPECTING A BIG IMPACT ATTM. SFC HIGH CENTER/COLD AIR DOME WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS IA TODAY AND INTO AREAS ALONG NORTH OF THE OH VLY TONIGHT. ONE CONCERN IS PERSISTENT ISENTROPIC LIFT UP THE COLD AIR DOME ON THE 290-300K SFCS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF MO THROUGH TONIGHT. AT THE VERY LEAST WILL SEE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER IF NOT SOME LIGHT PRECIP. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TODAY WITH CLOUDS AND CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION. ATTENTION TURNS TO STORM PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE SATURDAY-SUNDAY. THERE IS PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH NUMERICAL MODELS NOW...WITH A STRONG 500MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF YUMA AZ AT 0800Z PROGGED TO MOVE EAST INTO NORTH TX BY 0000Z SUN...THEN QUICKLY NORTHEAST THROUGH MO SUN MORNING. THE ECMWF IS STRONGER WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM...AND MAYBE JUST SLIGHTLY FASTER VERSUS THE GFS. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE MORE NORTHERLY STORM TRACK WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY RAIN...WITH MAYBE A BIT OF FREEZING PRECIP VERY EARLY SAT MORNING...THEN RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW BRIEFLY IN SOME AREAS SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM EXITS. IN BETWEEN...THE MAIN CONCERN IS RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THE GROUND IS SATURATED FROM RECENT PRECIP...AND EVEN UNDER BETTER CIRCUMSTANCES THE COLD GROUND AND THE LACK OF LIVE VEGETATION IN FEB DOESNT HOLD MUCH MOISTURE ANYWAY...SO POTENTIAL FLOODING IS AN OBVIOUS CONCERN. A DEEP MOISTURE SURGE WILL OCCUR EAST OF THE LOW WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF AROUND AN INCH SAT NIGHT. THE GENERAL MODEL TRENDS SEEM TO KEEP THE HEAVIEST SWATH OF PRECIP ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE SFC LOW TRACK WITH A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF PRECIP WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM...HOWEVER FOLLOWED THE THE LATEST AVAILABLE HPC GUIDANCE WHICH HAS THE HEAVIER QPF ROUGHLY ALONG I-44...BUT WOULDNT BE SURPRISED IF THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL A BIT NORTHWEST OF THIS TRACK. IN ANY CASE...STRONG UPPER DIFFLUENCE...DEEP MOISTURE/LIFT WILL RESULT IN SOME HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE REGION SAT NIGHT REGARDLESS OF WHERE THE HEAVIEST SWATH OCCURS. WE ALREADY HAVE AN ESF/HYDRO OUTLOOK OUT AND WILL UPDATE THAT ALONG WITH HITTING THE HWO A BIT HARDER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. IF TRENDS CONTINUE TO WARRANT...A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE LIKELY DOWN THE ROAD. SOME POTENTIAL FOR DRY SLOTTING AND SOMEWHAT LOWER QPF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY OVER SOUTHERN MO IS MY ONLY CONCERN...BUT GIVEN ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...THIS IS ONLY A MINOR CONCERN ATTM. FOR SUNDAY...COLD AIR WILL DRIVE BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM. THE ECMWF IS A BIT COLDER OVERALL VERSUS THE GFS...BUT I HAVE SOME CONCERN THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIP WILL FALL OVER CENTRAL/NORTHERN MO. GRIDS REFLECT SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION OVER MID MO ON SUNDAY...SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK WITH A SUBSEQUENT WARMING TREND AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES MID/LATE WEEK. DSA && .AVIATION... FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE...PROLONGED MVFR TO IFR CIGS ON TAP FOR THE REGION. POST FRONTAL STRATUS WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION TODAY...MEANWHILE ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS POISED TO MAKE A SURGE NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE AT SGF THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH MVFR AT JLN. BRIEF IMPROVEMENT TO LOW END MVFR CAN BE EXPECTED AT SGF...HOWEVER IFR WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE A RETURN TONIGHT. MVFR VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY LATE MORNING. MVFR VISIBILITY WILL ONCE AGAIN RETURN TONIGHT. WITH A LARGE STORM SYSTEM POISED TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...IT LOOKS LIKE WE ARE HEADED TOWARD A PROLONGED LOW CIG/VIS EVENT THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. GAGAN && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 5:28 AM CST, 5 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 528 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161130- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 528 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SOME VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IMPACT FROM THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY...THEN THROUGH MISSOURI EARLY SUNDAY...WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. THE AREA OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IF RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE DEVELOPS...FLOODING WILL BECOME LIKELY OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD SUNDAY WITH SOME ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) DSA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 3:43 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | SGF | Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton | 17 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2008Flash Flood Watches in Kansas, 2008Every flash flood watch in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.