Flash Flood Warning 62, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 072316
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
612 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

MOC015-029-039-057-059-085-105-125-131-141-161-167-169-185-080300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0062.000000T0000Z-080508T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DADE MO-POLK MO-LACLEDE MO-CEDAR MO-DALLAS MO-PULASKI MO-HICKORY MO-
PHELPS MO-ST. CLAIR MO-CAMDEN MO-MARIES MO-MILLER MO-BENTON MO-
MORGAN MO-
612 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
BENTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...DALLAS...HICKORY...LACLEDE...MARIES...
MILLER...MORGAN...NORTHERN DADE...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI AND ST.
CLAIR COUNTIES...

AT 609 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE  WARNED
AREA TODAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS ON FLASH FLOODING. 

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

LAT...LON 3869 9284 3852 9274 3844 9263 3842 9242
      3834 9240 3830 9166 3816 9164 3816 9153
      3779 9153 3779 9181 3768 9182 3760 9203
      3761 9225 3751 9226 3742 9408 3821 9406
      3822 9353 3851 9352 3854 9308 3870 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 180DEG 0KT 3813 9254

$$

WISE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...

LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG STORM SYSTEM
ROTATING OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH DEEP
MOISTURE AND HAS GENERATED WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF
OUR FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SO
FAR TODAY HAS BEEN FOCUSED ALONG THE 850 MB BOUNDARY EXTENDING
ACROSS CENTRAL MO INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN
REPORTED IN THESE AREAS...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS CONTINUING TO
DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PROPAGATING NORTHEAST TOWARD
SOUTHWEST MO.

MAIN CONCERN WILL BE WITH RAINFALL POTENTIAL TONIGHT. BASED ON
CURRENT RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS AS WELL AS MODEL/HPC QPF...WILL
BE CARRYING HIGH PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS UPPER LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MO. COULD POTENTIALLY SEE OVER 4 INCHES OF PRECIP ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 WITH WIDESPREAD ONE TO THREE INCHES
OVER THE REST OF THE AREA. THUS WILL BE CONTINUING THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST OF THE OZARKS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND SURFACE LOW SHIFTS INTO SOUTHEAST MO...WILL CONTINUE TO
TAPER POPS FROM WEST TO EAST WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGE BRIEFLY BUILDING
INTO THE AREA.

PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL QUICKLY USHER IN ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO THE
OZARKS ON FRIDAY. STILL NOT SEEING NEARLY AS MUCH MOISTURE
INTERACTING WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE 20-30
PERCENT PRECIP CHANCES.

NEXT UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MOISTURE RETURN
LOOKS A LITTLE BETTER WITH THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER EXPECT MOST OF
THE PRECIP TO HOLD OFF UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

WE SHOULD SEE ANOTHER BREAK IN PRECIP CHANCES ON MONDAY...BEFORE
A LARGE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. IN
RESPONSE TO BUILDING RIDGE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST. THE GFS AND
ECMWF ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE DEEPENING TROUGH SO WILL
EXPECT COOLER AND WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.

TERRY

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...HAVE KEPT IFR TO LIFT CEILINGS GOING THROUGH
MOST OF FORECAST FOR BOTH SPRINGFIELD AND JOPLIN AS AIRMASS
REMAINS HIGHLY SATURATED AHEAD OF ADVANCING UPPER LOW CURRENTLY
OVER WEST TEXAS. WILL KEEP TEMPO GROUPS GOING THROUGH MID TO LATE
EVENING AS ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE AIRPORTS. THEREAFTER
WILL CARRY VICINITY THUNDER AND LET LATER SHIFTS GET MORE SPECIFIC
WITH STORM TIMING OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1209 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-081715-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1209 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
  RAINFALL...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.

  A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
  IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...AND
  POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES.

  TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AND FLASH
  FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
  AREA. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI...OR SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAMAR TO ROLLA.

  DISCUSSION:

 NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE
 SAME AREAS TODAY AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TRACKS OUT OF THE
 SOUTHERN PLAINS. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE EMBEDDED
 WITHIN THE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO
 THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE
 THUNDERSTORMS.

 THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS
 AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS WIND SHEAR INCREASES IN
 ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM...AND SURFACE LOW
 PRESSURE TRACKS INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. A LINE OF STRONG
 TO SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE OUT OF OKLAHOMA AND INTO
 SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOCALIZED
 DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS
 WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...AN
 ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...PARTICULARLY IF
 TEMPERATURES CAN WARM INTO THE 70S IN ADVANCE OF THIS
 THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

 IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD
 WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES LIKELY. LOCALIZED
 AMOUNTS TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH
 OF INTERSTATE 44. FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL BE
 LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
 OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

 FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND RIVERS MAY
 BE ONGOING THURSDAY.

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. A
 FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
 EVENING ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
216 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LEBANON                 37.68N 92.66W
05/07/2008  M2.00 INCH       LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING IN LEBANON

&&

JLT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
217 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BENNETT SPRINGS         37.73N 92.86W
05/07/2008  E2.50 INCH       LACLEDE            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            ESTIMATED RAINFALL REPORT AT BENNETT SPRINGS

&&

JLT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
336 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 E HASTAIN             38.21N 93.11W
05/07/2008                   BENTON             MO   PUBLIC

            VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVER REPORTED THE LOW WATER
            CROSSING OVER KNOBBY CREEK ON HWY DD FLOODED.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
342 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SHELDON                 37.66N 94.29W
05/07/2008                   VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS SECONDARY ROADS ARE REPORTED FLOODED AND
            IMPASSABLE DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. SINCE THIS
            MORNING...SHELDON MEASURED 3.00 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
            BRONAUGH REPORTED 4.00 INCHES.

&&

JLT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
422 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NW BUFFALO            37.69N 93.14W
05/07/2008                   DALLAS             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            STATE HIGHWAY C NORTHWEST OF BUFFALO CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
436 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WNW ASBURY            37.28N 94.63W
05/07/2008                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RECUE IN PROGRESS AT THE INTERSECTION OF 110TH ST.
            AND SCAMMON RD.

&&

KARDELL