Flash Flood Warning 166, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 071847
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
144 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

MOC009-145-209-213-080000-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0166.000000T0000Z-080808T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STONE MO-NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-TANEY MO-
144 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
BARRY...NEWTON...SOUTHERN STONE AND SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTIES...

AT 139 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING FROM THE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WHICH HAS 
CONTINUED TO DEVELOP IN A BAND FROM COLUMBUS KANSAS TO NEOSHO TO 
CASSVILLE TO SOUTHWEST TANEY COUNTY.

THE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO REGENERATE OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS AND 
HAVE PRODUCED RAINFALL RATES OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES PER 
HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS.

FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED JUST NORTH OF CASSVILLE ALONG HIGHWAY Y 
AND ALSO THROUGHOUT NEOSHO.  ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF HOURS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING OVER 
THESE LOCATIONS.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3650 9408 3675 9408 3676 9461 3705 9462
      3705 9408 3696 9408 3693 9407 3693 9401
      3672 9332 3649 9299

$$

LINDENBERG

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 072345
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
644 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

MOC009-145-209-213-072354-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0166.000000T0000Z-080808T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STONE MO-NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-TANEY MO-
644 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR BARRY...NEWTON...
SOUTHERN STONE AND SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTIES...

HOWEVER AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BARRY 
COUNTY WHERE SOME FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS MAY CONTINUE.

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3650 9408 3675 9408 3676 9461 3705 9462
      3705 9408 3696 9408 3693 9407 3693 9401
      3672 9332 3649 9299

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1207 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN/FLOOD CHANCES TODAY MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE...WITH MEDIUM
RANGE POPS ALSO A CONCERN.

WITH AN EYE ON NW KS TSRA...HAVE OPTED TO DROP FFA AS LOW LEVEL
JET SHOWING NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING PLUS HILLSBORO KS PROFILE
TRYING TO VEER AROUND. WITH THIS SAID...HAVE MAINTAINED POP
CHANCES INTO THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THIRD OF THE CWA
BEFORE SURFACE HIGH NUDGES FRONT AND H8 THETA E GRADIENT SOUTHWEST
OUT OF CWA. SUBSEQUENT DRYING TO BRING PRECIP WATER DOWN TO
1.25 INCHES OVER EVEN FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BY 00Z.

SHORT RANGE MODELS FAIRLY CONSISTENT FOR LATE IN THE
WORKWEEK...THOUGH MODELS HANDLING MEAN EAST COAST TROF AND ENSUING
SHORT WAVES LENDS TO POOR CONFIDENCE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. AS SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS INTO OH VALLEY...FLOW WILL RETURN TO
THE SOUTH WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH UPGLIDE TO WARRANT CHANCE
POPS ON SUNDAY. MADE FEW CHANGES BEYOND THAT.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CWA IN AN AREA OF BETTER MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE AND HIGHER INSTABILITY. DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER
INTO THE CWA FROM THE NORTHEAST AND CONTINUES TO PUSH THIS
MOISTURE AXIS TO THE SOUTH SO CONVECTION WILL LIKELY ONLY LINGER
OVER THE SOUTHEWEST CWA FOR ANOTHER COUPLE TO FEW HOURS. MAIN AREA
OF PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF THE JLN AREA AND HAS
REMAINED SOUTH OF THE SGF TODAY. WILL KEEP IN A TEMPO GROUP FOR
SHOWERS WITH VCTS WORDING IN FOR JLN FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
AT THE ONSET OF THE 18Z TAFS WITH PREDOMINANT P6SM AND TEMPO MVFR
VISIBILITIES. OTHERWISE...CIGS AT JLN FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE FROM AROUND 2500 TO 3500 FEET BEFORE THIS AREA
OF CONVECTION SLIDES MORE TO THE SOUTH. HAVE NOT INCLUDED FOG IN
THE TERMINALS FOR OVERNIGHT. WILL NEED TO MONITOR...ALTHOUGH WE
ARE SEEING DRIER AIR WORKING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE AREA. MAY NEED
TO HAVE MVFR VISIBILITIES ADDED FOR JLN OVERNIGHT AS THEY HAD THE
MOST RAINFALL AND WILL HAVE THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS OVERNIGHT.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
528 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-081030-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
528 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS...40 MPH WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...THEN SOUTH OF A
PITTSBURG KANSAS TO GAINESVILLE LINE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION UNTIL A COLD
FRONT BRINGS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR...AND AN END TO THE
STORM ACTIVITY. MODEST INSTABILITY AND WEAK WINDS IN THE UPPER
ATMOSPHERE WILL PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY AS
WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH AND INSTABILITY RETURNS TO THE
REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

RUNNELS