Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Springfield, MO

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
551 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE WITH THE STORM SYSTEM TO
AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS EXTENDING DOWN INTO TEXAS. THIS BAND OF
PRECIPITATION WAS BEGINNING TO PUSH INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND
SHOULD BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. PW VALUES OF
AN INCH TO INCH AND A QUARTER ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS THE
RAIN MOVES IN SO WILL LIKELY SEE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT.
RIVERS ALREADY FLOWING PRETTY QUICKLY AND SURFACE IN GENERALLY
FROZEN TO ABOUT A 2 INCH DEPTH SO MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY RUNOFF TONIGHT/SUNDAY. STILL EXPECTING RAINFALL FROM 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS WESTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY RISE TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA. AS
LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI TOWARDS 12Z COLDER AIR
WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE LOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI INTO WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. COULD SEE A CHANGE-OVER TO
LIGHT SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING IN THESE AREAS WITH UP TO AN
INCH IN SNOWFALL. THE COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN A BIT LATER FURTHER
EAST CHANGING PRECIPITATION OVER TO SNOW BY THE AFTERNOON OVER THE
INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED IN
THESE AREAS. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY RACE NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BAND EXPECTED TO AFFECT NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF MISSOURI. WINDS WILL BE ANOTHER CONCERN ON SUNDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD SEE SOME GUSTS OVER 35 MPH.

ANOTHER UPPER WAVE WILL PUSH THROUGH ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND COULD
SQUEEZE OUT SOME SNOW FLURRIES OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
CWA. CLEARING SHOULD BEGIN BY MONDAY WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED BY MONDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...

EXTENDED PERIOD LOOKS TO BE UNSETTLED.  UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST
OF THE AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH MORE OF A
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPING AND MORE OF A SPLIT FLOW WITH THE
SOUTHERN STREAM MORE PREDOMINANT FOR THE FORECAST AREA.  SEVERAL
WAVES OF ENERGY WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS UNSETTLED
WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEARLY EVERY DAY.  THE BEST CHANCE
APPEARS TO BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS AN UPPER WAVE SWINGS
THROUGH THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES AT THIS TIME LOOK TO BE WARM ENOUGH
TO KEEP PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN AS MAIN COLD AIR WILL
REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE VISIBILITY WILL BE VARIABLE AND LOWER
BELOW 3 MILES IN HEAVY RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE
JOPLIN AND SPRINGFIELD VICINITIES. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE EVENING AS A STORM SYSTEM TRACKS OUT OF TEXAS. WINDS
WILL VEER TO THE WEST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
614 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
614 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY RESULT IN
FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND OTHER POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

RAIN WILL LIKELY CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW LATE SUNDAY MORNING FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND DURING THE
AFTERNOON ALONG THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS.

AREAS OF FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY BE
ONGOING SUNDAY. RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO LIKELY DEVELOP.

WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
903 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 PM     FLOOD            SPRINGFIELD             37.20N  93.29W
02/16/2008                   GREENE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MINOR FLOODING ON ROADS. NO CLOSURES.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
905 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0903 PM     FLOOD            2 E LEBANON             37.68N  92.63W
02/16/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MINOR FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 32 ROUGHLY 2 MILES EAST OF
            TOWN. HIGHWAY STILL OPEN.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
911 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     FLOOD            NEOSHO                  36.87N  94.37W
02/16/2008                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW STREETS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER

&&

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
915 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0913 PM     FLOOD            4 SE OZARK              36.98N  93.15W
02/16/2008                   CHRISTIAN          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MINOR FLOODING ALONG FREEMONT ROAD SOUTH OF HIGHWAY CC
            INTERSECTION.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
918 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     FLOOD            4 E CAPE FAIR           36.73N  93.44W
02/16/2008                   STONE              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 76 BETWEEN CAPE FAIR AND REEDS
            SPRING. MAGNITUDE OF FLOODING NOT KNOWN.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
936 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     FLOOD            2 SE PLEASANT HOPE      37.44N  93.25W
02/16/2008                   POLK               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING OVER COUNTY ROADS 215 AND 526 IN THE GOODNIGHT
            AREA SOUTHEAST OF PLEASANT HOPE.

&&

FOSTER