Flash Flood Warning 58, NWS Blacksburg, VA

000 
WGUS71 KRNK 061350
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
950 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

VAC009-029-680-061700-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080906T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-BUCKINGHAM VA-AMHERST VA-
950 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EDT FOR THE 
CITY OF LYNCHBURG...AMHERST AND BUCKINGHAM COUNTIES...

AT 945 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. THE HEAVIEST BAND 
OF RAIN COVERED MOST OF BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY 
RAIN FURTHER WEST ACROSS AMHERST COUNTY INTO THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINGINA...
PLEASANT VIEW...ORONOCO...NEW GLASGOW...NEW CANTON...LOWESVILLE... 
GOLD HILL...FORKS OF BUFFALO...CLIFFORD...CENTENARY AND ALTO.

RADAR ESTIMATES THAT AROUND 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN 
BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...AND 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS AMHERST COUNTY. 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

LAT...LON 3733 7849 3740 7859 3739 7863 3758 7884
      3740 7907 3737 7920 3746 7922 3747 7919
      3759 7939 3780 7925 3779 7908 3772 7906
      3756 7889 3765 7882 3764 7874 3770 7870
      3769 7867 3776 7863 3778 7849 3769 7825

$$

JJ

000 
WGUS71 KRNK 061531
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1131 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

VAC009-680-061537-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080906T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-AMHERST VA-
1131 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE CITY OF
LYNCHBURG...AND AMHERST COUNTY...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

LAT...LON 3769 7825 3733 7849 3740 7859 3739 7863
      3758 7884 3765 7882 3764 7874 3770 7870
      3769 7867 3776 7863 3776 7850 3778 7849
      3776 7845

$$

VAC029-061700-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080906T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BUCKINGHAM VA-
1131 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EDT FOR
BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...

AT 1122 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT HEAVY RAIN WAS BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF ACROSS BUCKINGHAM COUNTY. 
HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THE MORNING WILL KEEP 
CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS RISING. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF BUFFALO 
ROAD AND STAGECOACH ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. OTHER ROADS IN THE 
COUNTY NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY ALSO FLOOD. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINGINA...NEW
CANTON...GOLD HILL AND CENTENARY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE 
IN THE WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

LAT...LON 3769 7825 3733 7849 3740 7859 3739 7863
      3758 7884 3765 7882 3764 7874 3770 7870
      3769 7867 3776 7863 3776 7850 3778 7849
      3776 7845

$$

JJ

000 
WGUS71 KRNK 061700
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
100 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

VAC029-061709-
/O.EXP.KRNK.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080906T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BUCKINGHAM VA-
100 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...

RAIN HAS EXITED THE AREA. LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS ARE STILL 
EXPECTED TO RISE...SO A FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

LAT...LON 3769 7825 3733 7849 3740 7859 3739 7863
      3758 7884 3765 7882 3764 7874 3770 7870
      3769 7867 3776 7863 3776 7850 3778 7849
      3776 7845

$$

JJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
303 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HANNA WILL ACCELERATE NORTH THIS MORNING THROUGH EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND THEN NORTHEAST THROUGH EASTERN VIRGINIA THIS
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL WILL EXIT THE REGION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE FIRST OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF PCPN SHIELD AND RATES AS
IT PUSHES TOWARD THE BLUE RIDGE THIS MORNING. 06Z RNK SOUNDING
SHOWING PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES. AM A LITTLE WORRIED THE 00Z GFS MAY
BE CLOSE TO RIGHT WITH ITS 3-5 IN MAX QPF AREA OVER PORTIONS OF
THE PIEDMONT. IT APPEARS TO BE PERFORMING WELL BASED ON CRNT
RADAR TRENDS...ALTHOUGH RATES MAY BE HIGH. HAVE PUSHED HIGHER QPFS
FURTHER WEST INTO THE FTHLS BUT WITH MAX AMOUNTS STILL NEAR 4
INCHES IN THE EXTREME EAST. MAY NEED TO EXPAND FFA WESTWARD A
BIT...BUT WILL WAIT FOR NOW.

BACK EDGE OF THE RAIN SHIELD SHOULD FALL WITHIN THE CWA...CLOSER
TO THE I-77 CORRIDOR. ONCE THE SYSTEM GAINS AN EVEN LATITUDE WITH
THE CWA LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTN...SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE
A RAPID WANE IN PRECIP AND CLOUD COVER FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE CWA LATE TONIGHT...STRONGEST
GUSTS...25-35 MPH...OVER SOUTHSIDE VA...CLOSER TO THE STORM TRACK.
WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM WILL REMAIN GUSTY...EVEN ALONG THE
BLUE RIDGE AS STRONGER NORTHWEST CROSS BARRIER FLOW DEVELOPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER FOR SUNDAY INTO THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK. DEWPOINTS MIXING OUT IN THE AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE
LOW TEMPS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60F REGION WIDE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
MORNING. ALTHOUGH OP NAM/GFS ARE SQUEEZING OUT A TOUCH OF PRECIP ON
MONDAY...BUT THIS IS PROBABLY BECAUSE DEWPOINTS ARE TOO WARM. FOR
NOW...JUST HAVE SLT CHC POPS IN THE EXTREME NW NC MOUNTAINS. TEMPS
WILL WARM UP NICELY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD ARRIVE IN
THE LONG TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
EXPECTING FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...NOT EXPLICITLY FOLLOWING LR MODELS...BECAUSE OF THEIR
TYPICAL FAST BIAS WITH COLD FRONTS THIS MANY DAYS AWAY.
THUS...TUESDAY MAY STILL BE A NICE DAY IN THE CENTRAL AND SE
SECTIONS OF THE CWA...PROBABLY THE WARMEST DAY OF THE NEXT SEVERAL
WITH SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE OP GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE TWO
DIFFERENT SIDES...IN RELATION TO THEIR AMPLITUDE IN THE UPPER FLOW
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS HAS HUGE IMPLICATIONS ON THE
EVENTUAL TRACK OF IKE. THE OP GFS IS DEEPEST WITH THE TROUGH AND
HINTS AT A TURN TO THE NORTH..SIMILAR TO HANNA...WHEREAS THE MORE
FLAT ECMWF TAKES IT ACROSS FL AND INTO THE GULF. HARD TO TOTALLY
DISCOUNT THE OP GFS...CONSIDERING THE RIDGING BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST...BUT FOR NOW WILL PLAY THE MIDDLE ROAD BETWEEN THE TWO.
NONETHELESS...ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE CWA AT THE END OF THE FORECAST...AND EITHER THAT MAY BRING
PRECIP OR WHATEVER FORM/LOCATION IKE IS IN IF IT MAKES A TURN
TOWARDS THE SE COAST. THUS...PLACED HIGHEST POPS IN FRIDAY NIGHT.
FOR TEMPS...THE OP GFS WAS THE COLDEST AT H85...AND THE ECMWF THE
COLDEST...SO AGAIN USED VALUES IN BETWEEN FOR H85 ADJUSTMENTS/MAX
MIN TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FIRST SUBSTANTIAL RAINBAND FROM HANNA IS ON THE DOORSTEP OF KDAN
AT 0530Z. EXPECTING THIS BAND TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK INTO THE
REGION WITH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WEAKENING AS IT DOES SO...BEING
NEAR A KBLF-KLWB LINE AROUND 10Z. EXPECTING A MIX OF IFR/LIFR
CIGS/VSBYS TO ACCOMPANY THIS BAND ESPECIALLY IN AREAS EAST OF THE
BLUE RIDGE FOR ABOUT A 2 TO 3 HOUR PERIOD AFTER ITS ONSET.

AFTER A BRIEF BREAK IN THE HEAVIER INTENSITIES IN REGIONS EAST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE N-NE
TOWARDS 12Z AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INTENSIFIES AS THE CENTER OF
HANNA MOVES ALONG THE EAST COAST. SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO 20 KTS
AROUND KLYH AND KDAN ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS
POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATON ALSO IN THIS AREA WILL BE HEAVIEST WITH A
MIX OF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS. AREAS WEST OF KROA WILL MORE LIKELY
SEE MVFR/VFR CONDIONTS BY MID-MORNING.

BY THE AFTERNOON MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION AND SUB-VFR CONDITIONS
WILL HAVE PROGRESSED OUT OF THE AREA. WE WILL STILL NEED TO WATCH
FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION IN THE SE WV MOUNTAINS AS WINDS BECOME
MORE NORTHWEST AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS
CONTINUES HERE. THIS EVENING...A CONTINUATION OF THE NORTHWEST
FLOW AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE MAY ALLOW FOR MVFR VSBYS/CIGS TO
REDEVELOP AFTER 03Z. EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...NORTHWEST
DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR CLEARING SKIES.

MOUNTAIN AND RIVER VALLEY IFR/MVFR FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
THIS WEEKEND.

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A RETURN OF SHRA/TSRA ON TUESDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR VAZ035-044>047-058-
     059.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NCZ005-006.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JS
NEAR TERM...JH/JS
SHORT TERM...JS/KM
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...DS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
442 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

NCZ005-006-VAZ035-044>047-058-059-070845-
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-AMHERST-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
442 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING TO THE REGION THIS MORNING.

GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM THE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL THAT IS OCCURRING...WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO
35 MPH TODAY WILL LIKELY DOWN TREES WITH WEAK ROOT SYSTEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004-020-VAZ022>024-032>034-043-070845-
STOKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
HENRY-
442 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA MAY BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE REGION THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>045-070845-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-
WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-
BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
442 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
452 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SOUTH BOSTON            36.70N 78.90W
09/06/2008                   HALIFAX            VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RAILROAD AVE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING OF SMALL CREEK IN THE
            AREA.

&&

JSTEWART