Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WWUS41 KRLX 121824
WSWRLX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
124 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ085>087-WVZ005>009-016>019-121930-
/O.EXP.KRLX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080212T1800Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...
SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...
VIENNA...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...
PENNSBORO
124 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARM UP TO ABOVE FREEZING...AND THE
THREAT FOR FREEZING RAIN HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...THERE MAY STILL
LOCALIZED AREAS OF ICE IN ROADS AND OTHER COLD SPOTS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION. 

$$

OHZ066-067-130230-
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080213T0500Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT
124 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LIKELY LOWER BELOW FREEZING LATER TONIGHT.
THESE WILL CAUSE PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION BACK TO SNOW OR
FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW...AND ICE
ACCUMULATION OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KRLX 121924
WSWRLX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
224 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

OHZ066-067-122030-
/O.CAN.KRLX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080213T0500Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT
224 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. 

TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORMER WARNING AREA HAVE REACHED AROUND 35
DEGREES AND CONTINUE RISING SLOWLY. THEREFORE...THE THREAT FOR ICE
AND HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS NO LONGER EXIST AND THE WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
636 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.  A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY PASSES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
THURSDAY AND MOST OF FRIDAY.  A WEAK FRONT CROSSES FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SSE DOWNSLOPE FLOW EVEN OVERTOP OF COLD BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO
CONTRIBUTE TO DISSIPATION PF PRECIPITATION AS IT COMES INTO WV OUT
OF E KY.  WSW-ENE ORIENTED SOUTHERN EDGE OF WARM ADVECTION
PRECIPITATION TENDS TO BECOME MORE SW-NE OVER WV AS A RESULT.  THIS
ALONE LIMITS SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF WINTER WEATHER
HAZARD...NOTWITHSTANDING WHAT HAPPENED LAST EVENING BEFORE
AFOREMENTIONED FLOW DEVELOPED.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES CREEP UP VERY SLOWLY THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD
RISE ABOVE FREEZING MOST EVERYWHERE BY THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE
WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH AND S TO SSE FLOW BREAKS THROUGH TO THE
SURFACE.  WARMEST LAYER ALOFT ALREADY ABOVE FREEZING FOR SOUTHERN
NEARLY TWO THIRDS OF AREA AND CONTINUES TO WARM AHEAD OF SURFACE
TEMPERATURES...EXCEPT INTERIOR SE OH WHERE THE LAG IS MUCH LESS.
HAVE LEFT WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES AS ARE WHICH LINE UP WELL WITH
SOUTHERN EDGE OF PRECIPITATION AS DESCRIBED.

MODELS AND HPC QPF WERE CLOSE.  USED GFS40 WHICH NOSED THE HALF INCH
PER 6-HR AMOUNTS FARTHEST NE JUST W OF THE OH RIVER.  USED OBSERVED
AND WRFARW AMOUNTS FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TO ARRIVE AT SNOW AND
ICE TOTALS FOR THE EVENT THROUGH TODAY.  ICE AMOUNTS LOOK A LITTLE
LOW FOR THE ONGOING WARNING INTERIOR SE OH BUT SNOW AMOUNTS WERE
ACTUALLY CLOSE.  GIVEN SOME EVER PRESENT TRANSITION UNCERTAINTY LEFT
WARNING AS IS AS WELL.  ALL OF THIS EXPIRES AT NOON TODAY.

SEE HYDRO SECTION FOR FLOOD WATCH WHICH TAKES OVER AT NOON TODAY FOR
MOST OF OUR OH AND KY COUNTIES FOR OHIO TRIBUTARIES W OF THE OHIO
AND FROZEN GROUND RESULTING IN ALMOST PURE RUNOFF INITIALLY.  TOTAL
LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FALL SHORT OF ALL FFG VALUES.

ENDED UP CLOSEST TO THE MET ON HIGHS TODAY WHICH OCCUR LATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
BAROCLINIC ZONE MEANDERS THROUGH THE FCST AREA TONIGHT.  0Z NCEP
CHAIN ARE SLOWER THAN 24HRS AGO...SO CONTINUED CAT POPS FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT.  BL TEMPS SUPPORT ALL RAIN THIS EVENING UNTIL
COLD AIR FILTERS FM THE W.  SN IS FIRST INTRODUCED OVER SERN OH
CLOSE TO MDNGT.  THE COLD AIR MAKES LTL PROGRESS EAST DURING THE
PREDAWN HRS WITH RA STILL SLATED FOR THE I-79 CORRIDOR AT 12Z.
HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NRN MTNS SWITCH OVER TO SN TOWARD DAWN.
SNOW ACCUM OVERNIGHT WILL BE AROUND AN INCH.  TEMPS ARE TRICKY THIS
EVNG AS SRLY WINDS ALLOW FOR A WARM EVNG IN THE MTNS.  ROLLED WITH
M-U 40S FROM WIL - CKB E...WHILE PERRY COUNTY WILL BE IN THE U30S.
AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON...A MORE UNIFORM TEMP SCHEME DEVELOPS WITH 30S
COMMON.

HIGH PROB OF PCPN CONTS FOR WED WITH THE H5 TROF CROSSING.  GFS
ILLUSTRATES AN AREA OF PVU 1.5 PRES ADV PASSING WED AFTN ONT HE BACK
SIDE OF THE TROUGH...WHICH COULD YIELD A QUICK BURST OF SN FOR THE
MTNS.  LITTLE IF ANY RECOVERY IN TEMPS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. SFC
HIGH BUILDS IN FM THE TN VLY WED NGT...BUT CLOUDS ARE SLOW TO CLEAR
IN THE MTNS AND ADJACENT LLNDS.  THE LAST OF THE STRATOCU WILL
DEPART THE NRN MTNS CLOSE TO DAWN.  UNTIL THEN CAN NOT RULE OUT SHSN
AND SW-- PER WEAK UPSLOPE AND ABUNDANT LLVL RH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDES DRY WX THUR/THUR NGT.  ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A WEAK FRONT CROSSING FRI AFTN/EVNG...WHICH IS
SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS.  THEREFORE...SLOWED DOWN PCPN ONSET FROM
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THIS WEEKEND AS FRONT MOVES
E OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND DOES NOT BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE WV
MTNS.  AS A RESULT...SFC ANTICYCLONE SERVES UP DRY WX THIS WKND.
MSTR RIDES N SUN NGT AHEAD OF A CYCLONE EJECTING FROM THE GULF.  THE
LOW TRACK IS NOW WEST OF THE MTNS OFFERING ALL RAIN AND NO MIXED
PCPN.  COLD FRONT CROSSES EARLY MON MRNG CHANGING RA TO SNOW.  A
FULL LATITUDE TROF CONTINUES TO BE ADVERTISED NEXT WEEK WITH COLD
AIR AND SCT SHSN.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WORST CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE CONFINED TO PKB WHERE
IFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW WILL OCCUR AT TIMES.  CKB COULD SEE IFR IN
SNOW AGAIN THOUGH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL MIX IN AS WELL.
HTS...CRW AND EKN WILL BE ON SOUTHERN EDGE OF FREEZING RAIN THIS
MORNING..CRW MOST LIKELY REMAINING DRY... WHILE BKW REMAINS DRY.

PRECIPITATION GOES TO ALL RAIN BY NOON HTS-PKB-CKB AND THAT RAIN
SPREADS E ACROSS REMAINING SITES LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING WITH
MVFR CONDITIONS...IFR POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER RAIN MAINLY WESTERN SITES
LATER TODAY.  LIGHT E FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BECOME A BIT STRONGER
OUT OF THE S THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN W LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
ARRIVES.  THAT FRONT COULD CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION TO SNOW AS FAR E
AS HTS AND PKB BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

AVIATION OUTLOOK /AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY...IFR PSBL IN CEILINGS AND
RAIN CHANGING BACK TO A RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE WED MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE COMBINATION OF SNOW MELT AND 1.5 INCHES OF QPF WARRANTS A FLOOD
WATCH FOR THE WET GROUNDS OF SERN OH AND PARTS OF NERN KY.  RIVERS
ARE RUNNING CLOSE TO ACTION STAGE ALREADY AND GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
RAIN FCST...THE MUSKINGUM/HOCKING/AND SMALL STREAMS COULD APPROACH
BANKFULL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR WVZ005>011-
     013-014-016>020-029>032-040.
OH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR OHZ076-083-
     085>087.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     OHZ067-075-076-083>087.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR OHZ066-067-075-
     084.
KY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR KYZ101>103-
     105.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     KYZ101>103.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRM/29
NEAR TERM...TRM
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM...29
AVIATION...TRM
HYDROLOGY...FWM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

OHZ067-075-084-130930-
MORGAN-ATHENS-VINTON-
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PART OF SOUTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ101>103-OHZ076-083-085>087-130930-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ105-WVZ005>011-013-014-016>020-029>032-040-130930-
LAWRENCE KY-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-
LINCOLN-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-
HARRISON-TAYLOR-BARBOUR-
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A SMALL PORTION OF NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ003-004-WVZ015-024>028-033>039-046-047-130930-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-KANAWHA-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-MCDOWELL-
WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ066-130930-
PERRY-
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A SMALL PART OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

TRM / 29