Alert archive / Wyoming / Red Flag Warnings in 2008
Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Riverton, WY
NWS Riverton, WY issued this red flag warning at Aug 21, 2008, 4:35 AM MDT for 10 counties in Wyoming. It took effect at Aug 21, 2008, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 21, 2008, 4:35 AM MDT (10:35 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 21, 2008, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Aug 22, 2008, 12:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Riverton, WY
Counties Fremont County, WY, Hot Springs County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Lincoln County, WY, Natrona County, WY, Park County, WY, Sweetwater County, WY, Teton County, WY, Uinta County, WY, Washakie County, WY
The radar
The Riverton/Lander radar (KRIW), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4244 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 22 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 7 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS85 KRIW 211035 RFWRIW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING... .AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL BRING WARM...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN WYOMING THIS EVENING BRINGING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH A SHARP WIND SHIFT. THIS WEATHER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS ACROSS THE NORTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR TO ANY EXISTING FIRES. WYZ277-279-280-289-211845- /O.UPG.KRIW.FW.A.0002.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KRIW.FW.W.0008.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ LINCOLN AND UINTA COUNTIES / LOWER ELEVATIONS- SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA- NATRONA COUNTY / CASPER BLM- GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS- 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHWEST TO WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY POTENTIALLY DIPPING TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ283-211845- /O.UPG.KRIW.FW.A.0002.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KRIW.FW.W.0008.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN / WIND RIVER BASIN- 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHWEST TO WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY DIPPING TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ281-211845- /O.UPG.KRIW.FW.A.0002.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KRIW.FW.W.0008.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ JOHNSON COUNTY / CASPER BLM- 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHWEST TO WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY POTENTIALLY DIPPING TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ140-211845- /O.UPG.KRIW.FW.A.0002.080821T1800Z-080822T0800Z/ /O.NEW.KRIW.FW.W.0008.080821T1800Z-080822T0600Z/ YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK- 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN THE POSSIBILITY OF NEW FIRE STARTS FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING FROM ANY EXISTING FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ276-285>287-211845- /O.UPG.KRIW.FW.A.0002.080821T1800Z-080822T0800Z/ /O.NEW.KRIW.FW.W.0008.080821T1800Z-080822T0600Z/ CODY FOOTHILLS-SOUTH BIGHORN MOUNTAINS- ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS / NORTH SHOSHONE NF-OWL CREEK MOUNTAINS- 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN THE POSSIBILITY OF NEW FIRE STARTS FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING FROM ANY EXISTING FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ288-211845- /O.UPG.KRIW.FW.A.0002.080821T1800Z-080822T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KRIW.FW.W.0008.080821T1800Z-080822T0600Z/ EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF- 435 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN THE POSSIBILITY OF NEW FIRE STARTS FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING FROM ANY EXISTING FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ LIPSON
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS85 KRIW 211802 RFWRIW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING... .AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL BRING WARM...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN WYOMING THIS EVENING BRINGING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH A SHARP WIND SHIFT. THIS WEATHER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS ACROSS THE NORTH AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR TO ANY EXISTING FIRES. WYZ277-279-280-289-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ LINCOLN AND UINTA COUNTIES / LOWER ELEVATIONS- SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA- NATRONA COUNTY / CASPER BLM- GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS- 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...WITH WIND SPEEDS OF OF 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH POTENTIAL OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ283-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN / WIND RIVER BASIN- 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY DIPPING TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH POTENTIAL OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ281-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ JOHNSON COUNTY / CASPER BLM- 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY POTENTIALLY DIPPING TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ140-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK- 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. REMOTE OBSERVATION EQUIPMENT NEAR SYLVAN PASS WERE RECORDING WIND SPEEDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH AT 1130 AM. WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH PREVAILED ACROSS THE REST OF THE PARK. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PARK THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLY IGNITING NEW FIRES. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND POSSIBLE RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ276-285>287-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ CODY FOOTHILLS-SOUTH BIGHORN MOUNTAINS- ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS / NORTH SHOSHONE NF-OWL CREEK MOUNTAINS- 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. REMOTE OBSERVATION EQUIPMENT NEAR SYLVAN PASS WERE RECORDING WIND SPEEDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH AT 1130 AM. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 30 MPH PREVAILED ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLY IGNITING NEW FIRES. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND POSSIBLE RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ288-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF- 1202 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WERE OBSERVED ALONG THE EAST SLOPES AND SOUTH PASS AREA AT NOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON AND COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 15 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ AEM
000 WWUS85 KRIW 212120 RFWRIW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING... .AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE MONTANA/CANADIAN BORDER TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN WYOMING THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL WYOMING LATE TONIGHT. STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WITH A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN WYOMING COULD POTENTIALLY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS. WYZ277-279-280-289-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ LINCOLN AND UINTA COUNTIES / LOWER ELEVATIONS- SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA- NATRONA COUNTY / CASPER BLM- GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS- 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH POTENTIAL OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET ALONG WITH SOME RECOVERY IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ283-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN / WIND RIVER BASIN- 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPH ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH POTENTIAL OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET ALONG WITH SOME RECOVERY IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ281-220300- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ JOHNSON COUNTY / CASPER BLM- 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPH ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BRING A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCLUDING EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH POTENTIAL OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 6 PM AND 8 PM RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ140-220600- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK- 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. REMOTE OBSERVATION EQUIPMENT NEAR SYLVAN PASS WERE RECORDING WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AT 3 PM. WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH PREVAILED ACROSS THE REST OF THE PARK. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE PARK THIS EVENING WITH A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLY IGNITING NEW FIRES. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND POSSIBLE RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ276-285>287-220600- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ CODY FOOTHILLS-SOUTH BIGHORN MOUNTAINS- ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS / NORTH SHOSHONE NF-OWL CREEK MOUNTAINS- 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. REMOTE OBSERVATION EQUIPMENT NEAR SYLVAN PASS AND THE NORTHERN ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS WERE RECORDING WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH AT 3 PM. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLY IGNITING NEW FIRES. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND POSSIBLE RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH THESE WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ288-220600- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF- 320 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WERE OBSERVED ALONG THE EAST SLOPES AND SOUTH PASS AREA AT NOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ AEM
000 WWUS85 KRIW 220259 RFWRIW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR MUCH OF NORTHWEST WYOMING... .AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE MONTANA/CANADIAN BORDER TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN WYOMING THIS EVENING AND INTO CENTRAL WYOMING LATE TONIGHT. STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WITH A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT. WYZ277-279-280-289-220400- /O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ LINCOLN AND UINTA COUNTIES / LOWER ELEVATIONS- SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA- NATRONA COUNTY / CASPER BLM- GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS- 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...AND HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY RISE. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM. $$ WYZ283-220400- /O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN / WIND RIVER BASIN- 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...AND HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY RISE. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM. $$ WYZ281-220400- /O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0300Z/ JOHNSON COUNTY / CASPER BLM- 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...AND HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY RISE. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM. $$ WYZ140-220600- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK- 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 OVER THE PARK. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND POSSIBLE RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ276-285>287-220600- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ CODY FOOTHILLS-SOUTH BIGHORN MOUNTAINS- ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS / NORTH SHOSHONE NF-OWL CREEK MOUNTAINS- 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT RESULTING IN A SHARP WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH THESE WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND POSSIBLE RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ WYZ288-220600- /O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF- 859 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH EXTENSIVE SPOTTING AND RAPID GROWTH OF ANY EXISTING FIRES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
000 WWUS85 KRIW 220557 RFWRIW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 1157 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 WYZ140-220700- /O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK- 1157 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE PARK...WITH A DROP IN TEMPERATURE AND A MARKED INCREASE IN HUMIDITY. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT. $$ WYZ276-285>287-220700- /O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ CODY FOOTHILLS-SOUTH BIGHORN MOUNTAINS- ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS / NORTH SHOSHONE NF-OWL CREEK MOUNTAINS- 1157 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE CODY FOOTHILLS AND MUCH OF THE ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS...WITH A DROP IN TEMPERATURE AND A MARKED INCREASE IN HUMIDITY. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...NORTH WINDS WILL STILL BE BREEZY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. $$ WYZ288-220700- /O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080822T0600Z/ EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF- 1157 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. HUMIDITY HAS INCREASED...BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA...AND THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Riverton, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 21, 4:20 AM MDT, 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 21, 4:20 AM MDT, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 420 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2008 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT UPPER LOW OVER VANCOUVER WITH ITS ASSOCIATED CONVECTION AND LTG STREAMING EAST TO WESTERN MT WILL BE TRACKING EAST ALONG THE CANADIAN MONTANA BORDER THROUGH TONIGHT. DIFFLUENT FLOW AND WEAK CONVECTION WITH THE MOST FAVORABLE TOTAL TOTALS WILL BE PRODUCING SCT THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOUTH OF THIS AREA...WARM...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH RIGHT FRONT QUAD OF THE 110 KNOT JET MAX FORCING THE STRONGER WINDS TOWARD THE SURFACE TODAY. 700MB WINDS PROGGED TO BE WEST SOUTHWESTERLY AT 35 KNOTS TODAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH THAT WAS IN AFFECT TODAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING DUE TO INCREASED WINDS AND LOW RH IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 NOON TODAY THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVE. SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THESE AREAS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT. STRONG WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE DIVIDE TONIGHT. 3 HOURLY SURFACE PRESSURE RISES OF 7MB WILL CAUSE POST FRONTAL WINDS TO BLOW STRONGEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN BIG HORN BASIN AND NORTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY AT 20 TO 30 MPH. THE NORTH WINDS SHOULD EXTEND AS FAR WEST AS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE GUN BARREL FIRE IN PARK COUNTY. WITH THE THREAT OF INCREASED WINDS BEFORE AND AFTER THE FROPA...LIGHTNING STARTS AND A WIND SHIFT...HAVE UPGRADED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A WARNING ACROSS NORTHWEST WY AS WELL AS THE EAST SLOPE OF THE WIND RIVER MTNS...THE OWL CREEK MTNS AND THE SOUTHERN BIG HORNS FROM 12 NOON TODAY THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. BY FRIDAY MORNING...700MB TEMPS WILL DROP TO LESS THAN 1C ACROSS THE FAR NORTH. WITH THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF THE JET MAX AND STRONG PVA PRODUCING LINGERING PRECIP IN NORTHERN WY TONIGHT...SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOULD FALL IN THE NORTHWEST MTNS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH LESS THAN ONE INCH EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS. SKIES WILL CLEAR AFTERWARD LATER FRIDAY MORNING WITH SUBSIDENCE MOVING IN UNDER CONFLUENT FLOW. SOME HIGH LEVEL MONSOON MOISTURE WILL LIKELY STREAM NORTH ON SATURDAY AS A HIGH CENTER ESTABLISHES ITSELF OVER THE 4 CORNERS REGION. SHOULD SEE HIGH BASED ISOLATED T STORM ACTIVITY SNEAK NORTH ACROSS THE WESTERN MTNS LATE SATURDAY. .LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MAJOR MODEL DIFFERENCES IN REGARDS TO POTENTIAL TROUGH TOWARDS THE END OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. GFS DID A TOTAL FLIP-FLOP WITH A STRONG CLOSED LOW FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE ECMWF SHOWS A TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS MONTANA. THE 00Z UKMET IS A COMPROMISE SHOWING A STRONGER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACNW TUE AFTERNOON WHICH DEFINITELY SUPPORTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONGER TROUGH IN THE GREAT BASIN AROUND MIDWEEK. HARD TO SEE WHERE THIS STORM SYSTEM ORIGINATES LOOKING AT THE H5 HEMISPHERIC CHARTS. IT APPEARS TO COME OUT OF THE BERING SEA AREA BUT THE DEVELOPMENT DOESNT BECOME TRACKABLE UNTIL ABOUT SUNDAY. CURRENT FORECAST IS FOLLOWING THE ECMWF UNTIL WE SEE MORE CONSISTENCY WITH WHAT WOULD BE A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE. MODELS STILL DEPICTING A MINIMAL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ROTATING AROUND MONSOONAL HIGH LEADING TO POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED STORMS LATE SUNDAY ACROSS THE S AND CNTRL PORTIONS. HOT...DRY SW FLOW DEVELOPS MONDAY WITH BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOWING +19C AT H7 MONDAY AFTERNOON AROUND THE CENTRAL BASINS. HAVE CONTINUED TREND OF BUMPING UP TEMPS WITH WIDESPREAD 90S EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND 80S OUT WEST. ECMWF SHOWS A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW JUST BRUSHING THE FAR NORTH EARLY NEXT WEEK. PCPN CHANCES SEEM MINIMAL WITH MOST OF THE ENERGY IN MONTANA. HOWEVER...ANY SWD SHIFT OF THIS TROUGH OR FURTHER DIGGING AS INDICATED ON THE UKMET AND GFS WOULD CHANGE THE FORECAST DRAMATICALLY. WILL KEEP SOME ISOLD POPS ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AT TIMES BASED ON ECMWF TIMING. MONDAY SHOULD BE THE HOTTEST DAY WITH SOME MODERATION TOWARD MIDWEEK WITH SEVERAL WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARIES MOVING DOWN FROM THE NORTH AT TIMES ALONG WITH COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS. && .AVIATION... A STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH WILL AFFECT WYOMING THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 30 KTS WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. SOME ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION COULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY NORTH/NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM KJAC TO KCOD TO KGEY. DURING THE EVENING...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. SOME LOW CLOUDS COULD OCCUR ACROSS THE CODY FOOTHILLS/JOHNSON COUNTY AROUND MIDNIGHT OR LATER. && .FIRE WEATHER... A WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST WIND OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL BLOW ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING TODAY ALONG WITH A MINIMUM RELATIVE IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS. THIS HAS PROMPTED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THOSE AREAS TODAY FROM 12 NOON THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING. STRONG WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...THE THREAT OF LIGHTNING STARTS AND AN EXPECTED WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT HAS PROMPTED A RED FLAG WARNING TO BE IN EFFECT TODAY FOR NORTHWEST WY AS WELL AS THE EAST SLOPE OF THE WIND RIVER...THE OWL CREEK AND THE SOUTHERN BIG HORN MTNS TODAY FROM 12 NOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY FALL ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MTNS LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES COOLER EAST OF THE DIVIDE BEHIND THE FRONT FRIDAY. DURING THE WEEKEND SOME HIGH LEVEL MONSOON MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTH WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WESTERN MTNS. && .RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR WYZ277-279>281-283-289. RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR WYZ140-276-285>288. && SHORT TERM...LIPSON LONG TERM...SKRBAC AVIATION...WM FIRE WEATHER...LIPSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 3:40 PM MDT, 12 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 340 PM MDT WED AUG 20 2008 WYZ001>020-022>030-211100- ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS-BIGHORN MOUNTAINS SOUTHEAST- BIGHORN MOUNTAINS WEST-CASPER MOUNTAIN-CODY FOOTHILLS- EAST SWEETWATER COUNTY-FLAMING GORGE- GREEN MOUNTAINS AND RATTLESNAKE RANGE-JACKSON HOLE-LANDER FOOTHILLS- NATRONA COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-NORTH BIG HORN BASIN- NORTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY-OWL CREEK AND BRIDGER MOUNTAINS- ROCK SPRINGS AND GREEN RIVER-SALT RIVER AND WYOMING RANGES- SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHEAST BIG HORN BASIN- SOUTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY-SOUTHWEST BIG HORN BASIN-STAR VALLEY- TETON AND GROS VENTRE MOUNTAINS-UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN- UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN FOOTHILLS-UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN- WIND RIVER BASIN-WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS EAST-WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS WEST- YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK- 340 PM MDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WYOMING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO 40 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF WEST AND CENTRAL WYOMING THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TO PRODUCE EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL WYOMING. A STRONG COLD FRONT ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRE STARTS ACROSS NORTHERN WYOMING ALONG WITH EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR FROM ANY EXISTING FIRES. SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. TEAM RIVERTON
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Wyoming, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.