Tornado Warning 12, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 051939
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
338 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

NCC163-051948-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080405T1945Z/
SAMPSON NC-
338 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY EXPIRES AT 345
PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF SOUTHEASTERN 
SAMPSON COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3474 7831 3478 7820 3475 7819 3473 7814
      3473 7812 3471 7813 3466 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 238DEG 20KT 3478 7813

$$

JFB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
252 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THIS EVENING AS A WEAK SURFACE LOW
APPROACHES FROM SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT. AFTER
THE PASSAGE OF THIS SURFACE LOW... A COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA EARLY SUNDAY. A MOIST AND COOL
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 230 PM SATURDAY...

THE MAIN PROBLEM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT CONTINUED TO BE TURNING
MORE TOWARD HEAVY RAIN... WITH TRAINING OF CONVECTION IN OUR
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS... ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... AND
MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF CENTRAL NC (FAYETTEVILLE TO
GOLDSBORO).

AS PREVIOUSLY NOTED... MODELS DID A VERY POOR JOB WITH THE
CONVECTION FROM LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THUS... THE PLACEMENT
OF THE MAIN LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER HAS
BEEN MISSED BY THE MODELS. THE INITIAL BOUNDARY (LEFT OVER FROM
FRIDAY NIGHTS CONVECTION) HAS FOCUSED TRAINING CONVECTION (SHOWERS
WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS) THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON OVER THE
SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN. THE FAYETTEVILLE STORM TOTAL AS OF 18Z
WAS 2.69 INCHES WHILE LUMBERTON TOTALED 3.16 INCHES.

THIS LEAD BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PLAY THE MAJOR ROLE IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AS IT HAD STALLED JUST SOUTH OF FAYETTEVILLE AND GOLDSBORO
THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY THE AIR MASS WAS VERY MOIST
(DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S) WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW.
NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY... THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES NE-E AND MUCH
MORE STABLE. THE AIR MASS ON THE STABLE SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY HAD
ALSO BEEN OVERTURNED BY LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY. THE
LEAD CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY EXTENDED SW THROUGH COASTAL SC/GA AND FL...
WITH SEVERAL WAVES NOTED AT 18Z. AS THESE WAVES COME NE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT... THERE WILL BE CONTINUED TRAINING SHOWERS
WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS RIDING UP THE FRONT.

IN THE MID LEVELS... THE WATER VAPOR LOOP INDICATED THE MAIN
SHORTWAVE WAS STILL BACK OVER EASTERN TEXAS... WITH THE BASE OF THE
MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST STATES. THIS TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE PUSHING NE AND REACH CENTRAL NC LATE TONIGHT...
AIDING LARGE SCALE LIFT. THIS WILL INDUCE A WEAK SURFACE LOW TO
DEVELOP ALONG THIS LEAD SURFACE BOUNDARY... AND PUSH NE THROUGH
EASTERN GA... SC... AND EASTERN NC TONIGHT. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO FOCUS ALONG THE BOUNDARY... AND NEAR THE TRACK OF THE
SURFACE WAVE. IT APPEARS LIKELY NOW THAT THE MAIN BOUNDARY WILL
REMAIN AROUND THE FAYETTEVILLE TO GOLDSBORO AREAS... WITH THE SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS REMAINING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THERE.

THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT... WITH TRAINING OF CONVECTION WILL EXTEND SW
TO NE OVER THE SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN... ALONG AND JUST NORTH
OF THE BOUNDARY. THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY EXTEND NORTHWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT... AS THE FINAL SURFACE
WAVE... NOW SEEN OVER NW FL... IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NE THROUGH
EASTERN SC AND NC LATE TONIGHT. ONCE THIS WAVE PASSES... THE THREAT
OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE.

ADDITIONAL QPF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENT (ENDING LATE
TONIGHT) SHOULD TOTAL 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OVER THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS... WITH LOCALLY 2 INCH AMOUNTS. LESSER TOTALS EXPECTED TO THE
NW (OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT). THIS WOULD BRING AREAS OF THE
SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN INTO THE 3-5 INCH STORM TOTAL RANGE FOR
THIS EVENING.

SINCE THE REGION REMAINS IN A DROUGHT... EVEN WITH ABOVE NORMAL
RAINS IN THE PAST 5-6 WEEKS... FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES REMAIN
FAIRLY HIGH (3 HOUR TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 1.5 INCHES AND 12 HOUR
TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES). ANY FLASH FLOODING SHOULD REMAIN VERY
LOCALIZED AND A WATCH WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
TRAINING OF CONVECTION MAY PRODUCE VALUES CLOSE TO THESE
THRESHOLDS... AND THIS FORECAST WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT (SLIGHT RISK) WILL BE MAINTAINED IN THE SE AS
MENTIONED ABOVE. THE MAIN TIME OF CONCERN WOULD BE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHT AS THE SURFACE WAVE APPROACHES.

CATEGORICAL POP WILL BE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
ENDING FROM THE WEST LATE. AFTER THE SURFACE WAVE PASSES... THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NE WILL BE A MOIST AND CHILLY ONE. THEREFORE...
LOW STRATUS... FOG... AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY. LOWS LATE TONIGHT 48 NW TO 55 SE. -BADGETT

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 155 PM SATURDAY...

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN THE DEEP SOUTH WILL
LIKELY STILL BE IN THE COASTAL PLAIN ON SUNDAY MORNING...WITH A GOOD
CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE MORNING HOURS (BEST CHANCE ALONG/EAST OF
HIGHWAY 1)...ENDING BY LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY AS
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. THIS
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND THE ASSOC FRONTAL ZONE IS EXPECTED TO STALL
A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE DELMARVA DURING THE DAY MONDAY. IN
THE WAKE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SUNDAY AFTERNOON...SFC RIDGING
ASSOC/W STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN FAR NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN QUICKLY BUILDING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST...WITH COOLER TEMPS AND
CONTINUED MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE AREA AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FROM THE ATLANTIC IS BROUGHT INTO THE AREA VIA NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
GFS IS A BIT MORE AGGRESSIVE THAN THE NAM WITH THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...AND AS A RESULT...IS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR
DRIZZLE/SPRINKLES FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY
MORNING (PERHAPS INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON)...PRIMARILY IN NORTHEAST
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA (RWI/RZZ).

GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...ACCUMULATING RAINFALL SHOULD GENERALLY BE
ENDING BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT LATEST IN EAST/NE PORTIONS OF
THE AREA...WITH SPRINKLES OR DRIZZLE PERHAPS CONTINUING THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...PRIMARILY IN NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF
THE AREA.

HIGH TEMPS ON SUNDAY WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE MORNING HOURS IN
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS
NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC...WITH AFTERNOON/EVENING TEMPS FALLING
AS FLOW TURNS AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST AS THE LOW DEPARTS AND RIDGING
BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. LOW TEMPS SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER TO
UPPER 40S ACROSS THE AREA WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY OR CLOUDY SKIES AND A
STEADY NORTHEAST BREEZE. GIVEN CONTINUED MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LOW
LEVEL NORTHEAST FLOW IN ASSOC/W STRONG SFC RIDGING FROM THE
NORTH...HIGH TEMPS ON MONDAY SHOULD BE BELOW NORMAL...RANGING FROM
THE UPPER 50S (NE) TO LOWER 60S (S/SW). LOW TEMPS ON MONDAY NIGHT
LOOK SIMILAR TO SUNDAY NIGHT...RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S
ACROSS THE AREA. -VINCENT

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM SATURDAY...

SUMMARY:
EXPECT A DRY FORECAST TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
SURFACE OR UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS AFFECTING THE AREA...WITH
TEMPERATURES INCREASING A FEW DEGREES EVERY DAY...FROM THE MID 60S
AND LOWER 70S ON TUE TO THE MID/UPPER 70S BY THU/FRI. BASED ON THE
LATEST LONG RANGE MODELS...THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN APPEARS TO BE
NEXT WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
THE SFC HIGH CENTER IS PROGGED TO MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM NEW
ENGLAND BY TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH SFC RIDGING FROM THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE IT DISSIPATES. AS A
RESULT OF THE WEAKENING SFC RIDGING AND LOW LEVEL NORTHEAST
FLOW...EXPECT CLOUD COVER TO DECREASE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY OR MOSTLY CLEAR BY SUNSET TUE EVENING. TEMPS
ON TUE ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND GIVEN THE DECREASING CLOUD COVER...
WEAKER NORTHEAST COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL FLOW...AND RIDGING ALOFT
BUILDING OVER THE AREA...WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S. LOW TEMPS TUE NIGHT IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT PASSES EAST OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...WITH
UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMING UNIDIRECTIONAL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC. VERY WEAK SFC RIDGING WILL LIKELY REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA ON WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA
WILL BE DEVELOPING ALL THE WAY ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE CONUS AS A
DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
THEREFORE...A DRY FORECAST WILL PERSIST ON WEDNESDAY OVER CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA WITH HIGH TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN TUESDAY...
IN THE 70-75F RANGE.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST IS PROGGED
TO TRANSLATE EAST INTO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES ON THURSDAY...WITH A
DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. OVER THE
CAROLINAS...THE GFS/ECMWF SHOW SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDING BACK OVER
THE AREA ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST.
ASIDE FROM SOME UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER MOVING INTO THE AREA IN
ADVANCE OF THE MIDWEST STORM SYSTEM...EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON
THURSDAY WITH HIGH TEMPS A BIT WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY...IN THE MID
70S. LOW TEMPS THU NIGHT A BIT WARMER THAN WED NIGHT...IN THE
LOWER/MID 50S. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THE MIDWEST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON FRI/SAT...HOWEVER...
BOTH ARE TRYING TO SHOW A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE FRIDAY...CROSSING THROUGH THE CAROLINAS ON
SATURDAY AS THE PARENT LOW LIFTS NORTH FROM THE MIDWEST INTO THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST ON FRIDAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS ON...BRINGING
MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND ALLOWING THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS. WILL NOT GO HIGHER THAN LOW CHANCE ON SATURDAY
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY AT THAT TIME RANGE IN ADDITION TO THE
GFS/ECMWF INDICATING THE BEST UPPER LEVEL LIFT REMAINING WELL TO THE
NORTH/NORTHWEST OF OUR AREA. TEMPS ON FRI/SAT WILL DEPEND ON THE
EVOLUTION OF THE MIDWEST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND AT THIS TIME WILL
SHOW HIGHS IN THE 70S. -VINCENT

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM SATURDAY...

MOST OF THE REGION WILL EXPERIENCE IFR TO LIFR CIGS/VSBYS WITH
THE LOW CLOUDS... RAIN AND FOG THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
AS THE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE COMES OUT OF THE NE GULF OF MEXICO
THIS AFTERNOON... AND TRACKS NE THROUGH EASTERN NC TONIGHT...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE INCLUDED IN
THE KFAY AND KRWI FORECASTS. THE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TAPER TO AREAS
OF DRIZZLE LATER TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE WAVE PASSES.

LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS CIGS/VSBYS WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES NE AFTER THE SURFACE WAVE PASSES. ONLY
PATCHY DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED AFTER 12Z SUNDAY.

IFR CIGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT INTO THE IFR THEN MVFR CATEGORY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON... AND MVFR CIGS EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY WITH THE MOIST NE LOW LEVEL FLOW.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL FINALLY BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION LATER
MONDAY AS IT BUILDS DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE FORECAST MONDAY THROUGH MID WEEK. -BADGETT

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BADGETT/VINCENT
NEAR TERM...BADGETT
SHORT TERM...VINCENT
LONG TERM...VINCENT
AVIATION...BADGETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1230 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-061000-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1230 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN SECTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA (FROM FAYETTEVILLE TO
GOLDSBORO) THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PIEDMONT...
SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH TONIGHT...

A NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER THE SANDHILLS AND
COASTAL PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY. FINALLY... A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY
MORNING.

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... WITH
SHOWERS BECOMING WIDESPREAD AGAIN OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS SLIGHT RISK THAT A FEW OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS
OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.... MAINLY FROM NEAR FAYETTEVILLE TO
GOLDSBORO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  THE MAIN THREAT BEING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE MAIN TIME OF THE THREAT WOULD BE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES ALONG THE BOUNDARY
OVER THIS REGION.

IN ADDITION... HEAVY RAIN... ASSOCIATED WITH TRAINING OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS... WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PIEDMONT... SANDHILLS
AND COASTAL PLAIN... WITH LOCALLY 2.5 INCHES POSSIBLE. LESSER
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. THESE RAINS
WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND
POOR DRAINING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING... SOUTH AND EAST OF RALEIGH. SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO MONITOR
THE LATEST CONDITIONS AND REPORT ANY SEVERE OR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS AND STREET FLOODING...
IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.

BADGETT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
107 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

NCZ089-051730-
SAMPSON-
107 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS SAMPSON COUNTY THROUGH 130
PM EDT...

AT 107 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GARLAND...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

AREAS IN CENTRAL SAMPSON COUNTY AFFECTED BY THIS STORM
INCLUDE...LOCATIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 701 AND HIGHWAY 421 BETWEEN THE
TOWNS OF GARLAND AND TURKEY.

GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THESE
WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN LARGE TREE LIMBS. LIGHT OBJECTS
SUCH AS TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND AWNINGS COULD
BE TOSSED AROUND. THIS THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO SHOWING SIGNS OF
ROTATION.

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
247 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

NCZ089-051930-
SAMPSON-
247 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SAMPSON COUNTY THROUGH 330
PM EDT...

AT 247 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 9 MILES
SOUTH OF GARLAND...OR ABOUT 9 MILES EAST OF ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 32 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR HARRELLS AROUND 310 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING ONE INCH DURING THE
NEXT HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH
CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING. NEARLY 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED IN SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY. THIS ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

JFB