River Flood Warning 10, NWS Pueblo, CO

000 
WGUS85 KPUB 180259
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
859 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR LAS ANIMAS AFFECTING BENT COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS 
CAUSED THE PURGATOIRE RIVER TO SWELL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT. HYDROLOGIC FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THAT MINOR
FLOOD STAGES WILL BE REACHED BY MONDAY EVENING. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  
DURING A FLOOD...SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO 
POTENTIALLY DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND 
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  THE WEB SITE FOR THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO IS WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  YOU CAN 
LINK TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON THE LIGHT BLUE RIVERS AND 
LAKES TAB NEAR THE TOP OF THE PAGE. 

COC011-181459-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0010.080819T0000Z-080820T0600Z/
/LAPC2.1.ER.080819T0000Z.080819T1200Z.080819T1800Z.UU/
859 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR LAS ANIMAS.
* FROM MONDAY EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY MIDMORNING TUESDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 
  9.3 FEET ON JUNE 7 1983.

$$

000 
WGUS85 KPUB 180746
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
146 AM MDT MON AUG 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR LAS ANIMAS AFFECTING BENT COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS 
CAUSED THE PURGATOIRE RIVER TO SWELL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT. HYDROLOGIC FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THAT MINOR
FLOOD STAGES WILL BE REACHED BY THIS EVENING. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  
DURING A FLOOD...SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO 
POTENTIALLY DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND 
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  THE WEB SITE FOR THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO IS WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  YOU CAN 
LINK TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON THE LIGHT BLUE RIVERS AND 
LAKES TAB NEAR THE TOP OF THE PAGE. 

COC011-181946-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0010.080819T0000Z-080820T0600Z/
/LAPC2.1.ER.080819T0000Z.080819T1200Z.080819T1800Z.UU/
146 AM MDT MON AUG 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR LAS ANIMAS.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  1:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY MIDMORNING TOMORROW. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 
  9.3 FEET ON JUNE 7 1983.

$$

000 
WGUS85 KPUB 181354
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
754 AM MDT MON AUG 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR LAS ANIMAS AFFECTING BENT COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS 
CAUSED THE PURGATOIRE RIVER TO SWELL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT. HYDROLOGIC FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THAT MINOR
FLOOD STAGES WILL BE REACHED BY THIS EVENING. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  
DURING A FLOOD...SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO 
POTENTIALLY DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND 
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  THE WEB SITE FOR THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO IS WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  YOU CAN 
LINK TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON THE LIGHT BLUE RIVERS AND 
LAKES TAB NEAR THE TOP OF THE PAGE. 

COC011-181424-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080820T0600Z/
/LAPC2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
754 AM MDT MON AUG 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR LAS ANIMAS.
* AT  7:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 8.4 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 
  8.3 FEET ON AUGUST 7 1929.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
108 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND MONDAY)

TONIGHT THE UPR LOW WL CONTINUE ITS SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK...AND
IT WL BE CENTERED OVR SERN CO.  DURING THE EVENING THERE WL STILL BE
SOME GOOD UPR LIFT OVR ERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT AS
THE LOW DRIFTS SEWRD...THE UPR LIFT WL ALSO SHIFT SEWRD AND OUT OF
THE AREA MON MORNING. OCCASIONAL BANDS OF HEAVIER PCPN WL STILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING SO WL LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT
FOR THE EVENING...BUT THEN LATER TONIGHT THE CHANCES FOR PCPN WL BE
DECREASING...AND LIKELY ENDING OVR WRN AREAS. CANNOT RULE OUT A
COUPLE SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING...WITH BEST CHANCES BEING FROM
JUST E OF THE SERN MTS AND WESTWARD.  BY LATE MON AFTERNOON THE UPR
LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO BE OVR ERN PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE.
SOME WRAP AROUND PCPN IS STILL EXPECTED MON OVR THE FAR SERN
PLAINS.  THE REST OF THE AREA WL HAVE ENOUGH MSTR AND INSTABILITY
THAT ISOLD TO MAYBE SCT STORMS WILL DEVELOP.  TEMPS ON MON ARE A BIT
OF A CHALLENGE OVR THE SERN PLAINS.  THE MET GUIDANCE IS SEVERAL
DEGREES COOLER THAN THE MAV.  WITH THAT UPR LOW OVR THE
PANHANDLES...IT COULD STILL BE QUITE CLOUDY OVR THE FAR SERN PLAINS
MOST OF THE DAY.  HAVE DECIDED TO GO IN BETWEEN THE MAV AND MET. /44

.LONG TERM...
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)

BY MON NIGHT...THE UPPER LOW SHOULD BE MOVING THRU THE PANHANDLES
AND PRETTY MUCH OUT OF THE FCST AREA. WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF PRECIP FOR THE EXTREME SERN CORNER OF THE STATE AS SOME BANDS OF
SHOWERS CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW.

TUE THROUGH THU...A RETURN TO SEASONABLE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED AS
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW. HAVE TAPERED BACK
POPS A BIT TO REFLECT A MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERN WITH ISOLD STORMS
OVR THE HYR TRRN IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVE. BY WED AND THU H7
TEMPS SOAR TO THE UPPER TEENS AND WE COULD ONCE AGAIN SEE SOME HIGH
90S OVR THE PLAINS...QUITE A TURNAROUND FROM THE RECENT STRING OF 60S.

FRI AFTERNOON THERE IS GOOD CONSENSUS FOR A TROUGH TO MOVE IN
THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES...AND A COLD FRONT WILL BACK IN TO THE
PLAINS AND ERN MTNS SOMETIME FROM FRI AFTERNOON THRU FRI EVE.
THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE FRONT WILL DETERMINE HOW WARM WE
END UP ON FRI. WILL KEEP AVERAGE TEMPS OVR THE SRN AND SERN
ZONES...WHILE THE MTNS AND NRN ZONES SHOULD SEE SLIGHTLY COOLER
WX DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY THE FRONT ARRIVES. HAVE BOOSTED POPS A
BIT AS WELL...ESPECIALLY OVR THE ERN MTS AND PLAINS. AT LEAST THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND SHOULD SEE A SLIGHT COOLING TREND. THEN
ANOTHER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW FOR WARMER WX TOWARDS THE END
OF THE MONTH. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE ABILITY TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN THRU THIS EVENING...AND THERE WILL BE A LOT OF LOW CLOUDS.
LATER TONIGHT PCPN SHOULD END OVR WRN AREAS AND DECREASE IN THE E.
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MSTR OVR ERN AREAS TONIGHT WL LIKELY STILL
MEAN A LOT OF LOW CLOUD COVER THRU THE NIGHT. BY MID TO LATE
MORNING ON MONDAY...THE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK UP.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR COZ072>089-
093>099.

&&

28/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
708 AM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

COZ058>089-093>099-181315-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
708 AM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL...AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. ONE OR TWO STORMS MAY BE STRONG
TO SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREAT BEING HAIL UP TO GOLF
BALL SIZE...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...A BRIEF WEAK TORNADO OR FUNNEL
CLOUD...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...MAINLY FROM THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY TO THE SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS TO LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL...ALSO...BE POSSIBLE WITH AN
INCREASED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...AS THE SOIL IS FAIRLY
SATURATED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST QUARTER OF COLORADO.

OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THE MOUNTAIN PEAKS TODAY.
MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE LIKELY GENERALLY ABOVE 12000 FEET
TODAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY WITH ISOLATED
MAINLY MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS PROJECTED FROM TUESDAY INTO SATURDAY.

THE PRIMARY METEOROLOGICAL THREATS FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE PERIOD WILL BE HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH AT TIMES LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
659 PM MDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     TORNADO          2 N BOONE               38.28N 104.26W
08/17/2008                   PUEBLO             CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            WELL DEVELOPED ROPE LIKE FUNNEL CLOUD VIEWED FROM OFFICE.
            APPEARED MORE THAN 40-50 PERCENT DOWN TO THE GROUND.
            FUNNEL CLOUD WAS VIEWED FROM THE WFO FROM 612 PM TO 620
            PM

&&

SHODANIS