Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Pueblo, CO

April 29, 200818 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Apr 29, 2008, 12:05 PM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Apr 30, 2008, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 28 hr. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2008, 12:05 PM MDT (18:05 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 30, 2008, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
May 1, 2008, 4:00 PM MDT
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 1, 9:45 AM MDTSNOW 12 Ene Monument, COSNOW STARTED 8 AM MDT
May 1, 9:58 AM MDTSNOW 22 N Black Forest, COESTIMATED START TIME 0800
May 1, 10:00 AM MDTSNOW 22 N Black Forest, COSNOW STARTED AROUND 8 AM
May 1, 10:15 AM MDTSNOW 23 N Colorado Springs, COSTART TIME 0730 MDT. MOST SNOW FELL 45 MINUTE PERIOD BETWEEN 0900-1000 MDT.
May 1, 10:20 AM MDTSNOW 3.56 E Monument, COAPPROXIMATE START TIME 0730 MDT. STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY.
May 1, 11:00 AM MDTSNOW 22 Ene Monument, COTWO INCH STORM TOTAL. ADDITIONAL INCH SINCE 0945 REPORT.
May 1, 12:31 PM MDTSNOW 32 Ene Black Forest, CO
May 1, 12:45 PM MDTSNOW 44 Se Monument, COSNOW STARTED AROUND 8 AM

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2008-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2008-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3691 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 291805
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1205 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING AND FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS... HIGH
HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS...

.FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME CRITICAL THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING AS BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY
AS DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST AND WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM.

COZ221-222-224>237-301015-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0012.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
1205 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS.

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME FIRE WEATHER
ZONES FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HIGH HAINES INDICES
AND DRY FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES...HAINES OF 5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL
CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SAME
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ON BOTH DAYS DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
EXIST. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD
BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
9 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 292150
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
350 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING AND FROM NOON
TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS... HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS...

.FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CRITICAL THIS EVENING AS WINDY
CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY AS DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST AND
WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM.

COZ221-222-224>237-301400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
350 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT... EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY... OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS.

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME FIRE WEATHER
ZONES FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY
FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF
5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
THAT COULD RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA
THIS EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE
EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 300245
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
845 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH THE
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR WEDNESDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CRITICAL THIS
EVENING AS WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6. CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN MORE DANGEROUS ON WEDNESDAY AS DRY
CONDITIONS PERSIST AND WINDS BECOME STRONGER AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM.

COZ221-222-224>237-301845-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
845 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...
EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...
OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND DRY FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35
TO 45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF 5 OR
6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS AND
RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE EXTREMELY
ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

METZE
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 301455
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
855 AM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...
222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...
FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...
CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR TODAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING AS WINDY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER
SYSTEM...WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND HAINES INDICES OF 5 TO 6.

COZ221-222-224>237-010300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.080430T1800Z-080501T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
855 AM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...
EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...
OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...HIGH HAINES INDICES AND
DRY FUELS.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
35 TO 45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF
5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
AND RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL BE
EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 302154
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
354 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221... 222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY... FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS... CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 4 PM THURSDAY...FOR
LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS...AND
STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS EXTENDED THE RED FLAG
WARNING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN REGION CONTINUES TO MOVE 
INTO WESTERN COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS SHIFTING TO WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST AND REMAINING
GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT. 

COZ221-222-224>237-011400-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
354 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...
EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...
OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...CONTINUES THROUGH 4 PM THURSDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS AND STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
35 TO 45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF
5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
AND RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS
THROUGH TONIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS NORTHWEST
COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST OF 20 TO
30 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. IF FIRES START...THEY
WILL BE EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 302228 CCA
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
426 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221... 222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 4 PM THURSDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS...AND STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS EXTENDED THE RED FLAG
WARNING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN REGION CONTINUES TO MOVE 
INTO WESTERN COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND REMAINING
GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT.

COZ221-222-224>237-011445-
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
426 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...
EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...
OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...CONTINUES THROUGH 4 PM THURSDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS AND STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
35 TO 45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF
5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS
AND RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS NORTHWEST
COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST OF 20 TO
30 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. IF FIRES START...THEY WILL
BE EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD BE UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 010432
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1032 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...AND 224 THROUGH 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT...EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA
COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 4 PM THURSDAY...FOR
LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS...AND
STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...IS CONTINUING THE RED FLAG
WARNING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN REGION
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO WESTERN COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST TO
NORTHWEST AND REMAINING GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT.

COZ221-222-224>237-011445-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
1032 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY. 

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...
AND 224 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...
EL PASO...TELLER...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...
OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY..

THE COMBINATION OF WESTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
35 TO 45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...HAINES OF
5 OR 6...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST COLORADO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
EASTERN COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH GUSTY WEST TO
NORTHWEST OF 20 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. IF
FIRES START...THEY WILL BE EXTREMELY ERRATIC AND COULD BE
UNMANAGEABLE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 011039
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
439 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...225...229...230...233 AND 237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES...THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 4 PM TODAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...IS CONTINUING THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR TODAY. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY AND THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...AND 
FOR THE SOUTHEAST FOOTHILLS AND THE SOUTHERN BORDER AREA.

COZ221-226>228-231-232-234>236-011145-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-
439 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

$$

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-237-012200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
439 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...225...229...230...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES
INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS
AND BACA COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW
9000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY.

THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45
MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...AND DRY FUELS WILL
CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. IF FIRES START...THEY
COULD RAPIDLY SPREAD.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 011554
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
954 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...225...229...230...233 AND 237...INCLUDING THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 4 PM TODAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
THE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...IS CONTINUING THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR TODAY. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...
AND FOR THE SOUTHEAST FOOTHILLS AND THE SOUTHERN BORDER AREA.

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-237-012200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
954 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...
229...230...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...FREMONT...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES...THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY.

THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO
45 MPH...HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT...AND DRY FUELS
WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. IF FIRES
START...THEY COULD RAPIDLY SPREAD.

A COOL FRONT MOVED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION LAST EVENING...BUT IS
QUICKLY RETREATING NORTHWARD THIS THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG WEST
WINDS WERE BLOWING ACROSS THE WET MOUNTAIN...SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS AND THE ADJACENT EASTERN PLAINS. THESE STRONG WEST WINDS
WILL THEN WORK EASTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF LAS ANIMAS AND BACA
COUNTIES LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. BY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON...ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BLAST SOUTHWARD DOWN
THE PLAINS. ONCE THIS FRONT MOVES THROUGH...RH VALUES WILL
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY...ALTHOUGH THE WINDS NORTHWEST WILL REMAIN
QUITE STRONG INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 012138
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
338 PM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...225...229...230...233 AND 237...INCLUDING THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS RACING TOWARDS THE COLORADO AND NEW 
MEXICO BORDER AT 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE
SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE BETWEEN 4 AND 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER
THE FRONT GOES BY...RH VALUES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.
HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN A GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 30
MPH...BUT WILL DECREASE BY EARLY TO MID EVENING. 


COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-237-012245-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080501T2200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
338 PM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230...233 AND
237...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES... THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS
BELOW 9000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS RACING TOWARDS THE COLORADO AND NEW 
MEXICO BORDER AT 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE
SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE BETWEEN 4 AND 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER
THE FRONT GOES BY...RH VALUES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.
HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN A GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 30
MPH...BUT WILL DECREASE BY EARLY TO MID EVENING. 

$$

HODANISH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 29, 11:43 AM MDT, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 11:43 AM MDT, 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1143 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

.UPDATE...
UPDATE FOR FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO RED FLAG WARNING WEDNESDAY
ISSUING A MIDDAY FORECAST UPDATE TO SPEED UP TEMPERATURE WARM UP
OVER MOST AREAS AND TO BRING IN SOME 12Z MODEL DATA FOR FIRE
WEATHER AND TO UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON WEDNESDAY TO A
RED FLAG WARNING. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WINDS DEVELOPING OF FORECAST
AREA AND WITH LOW RH...HIGH HAINES AND CRITICAL FUELS NO SENSE IN
WAITING UNTIL THIS AFTERNOONS PACKAGE. ONLY DELIBERATION WAS WHAT
TO DO WITH FW ZONE 223. HELD OFF ON RED FLAG IN THAT AREA
CONSIDERING THAT AREA OF CRITICAL FUELS IS THE SMALL AREA BELOW
9000 FEET WITH AMPLE SNOW COVER OVER THE REST. -FORTUNE-

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008/

SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

..VERY WARM TODAY WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER...

CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AS VERY WARM AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. H7 TEMPS SOAR TO
AROUND 10 DEG C BY LATE AFTERNOON AS W TO SW FLOW BEGINS TO
INCREASE AHEAD OF ADVANCING STORM. THIS WILL SUPPORT TEMPS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S OVR THE SE PLAINS...AND RH WILL CONSEQUENTLY
BE VERY LOW...GENERALLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OR LOW TEENS.
WINDS MAY ONLY MEET CRITICAL LEVELS FOR A COUPLE HOURS IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVE HOURS...BUT VERY LOW RH AND HAINES OF
5 OR 6 JUSTIFY A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

A VERY WEAK WAVE WILL RIPPLE THROUGH THE FLOW AS THE UPPER
RIDGE MOVES EWRD DURING THE AFTERNOON. NAM REACTS BY PRODUCING SOME
VERY LIGHT QPF OVR THE MTS LATE AFTERNOON. HAVE CHOSEN TO LEAVE ZERO
POPS INTACT...AS ATMOSPHERE REMAINS TOO DRY AND NAM IS LIKELY
OVERREACTING TO INCREASED INSTABILITY. COULD POTENTIALLY SEE SOME
BUILDUPS OVR THE MTS DURING THE AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT COOLING
WILL BE LIMITED E OF THE MTS AS FLOW INCREASES ALOFT. WILL
LIKELY SEE WARM BANANA BELT DEVELOP OVR THE E SLOPES. 44

LONG TERM...
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)

MAIN CONCERNS INCLUDE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR WED AND THEN
PCPN CHANCES WITH UPR TROF WED NIGHT THRU FRI...INCLUDING SNOW
AMOUNTS. ON WED THE NEXT UPR TROF WL BE OVR WRN MT EXTENDING SWRD
INTO NRN UT. WINDS OVR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WED LOOK A
LITTLE STRONGER THAN TODAY...AND AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES WILL
AGAIN BE BELOW 15 PERCENT...HAINES INDICES WL ALSO BE 5 OR 6. THUS
HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA AS THE RED FLAG WARNING TODAY...WHICH
INCLUDES THE SERN PLAINS...SERN MTS AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. IT
LOOKS LIKE IT WL GENERALLY BE DRY UNTIL EVENING. WED EVENING A
FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS AND THE UPR TROF WL BE ADDING
MSTR TO WRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE ARE STILL SOME
MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO EXACTLY WHERE THIS NEXT SYSTEM
IS GOING TO TRACK. BY 12Z THU THE GFS HAS A CLOSED LOW OVR SWRN
WY...WHILE THE NAM HAS AN OPEN WAVE OVR WRN WY EXTENDING SOUTH
ALONG THE UT/CO BORDER...AND THE ECMWF HAS A CLOSED LOW CENTERED
IN NWRN CO. THRU WED NIGHT WL KEEP PCPN CHANCES MAINLY FOCUSED OVR
NRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WL PROBABLY SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OVR THE CENTRAL MTS...AND OVR PORTIONS OF TELLER
COUNTY AND PIKES PEAK. BY 00Z FRI THE GFS HAS THE LOW CENTERED OVR
NORTH CENTRAL NE...THE NAM HAS IT OVR THE NE PANHANDLE...AND THE
ECMWF OVR SWRN NE...A LITTLE FARTHER S AND E OF THE NAM POSITION.
THE GFS IS THE FARTHEST NORTH LEAVING MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
DRY...BUT AT THIS POINT WL LEAN MORE TOWARD A FARTHER SOUTH
SOLUTION AND CONTINUE WITH HIGH POPS OVR NRN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA FOR THU...DECREASING AS YOU GO SOUTH. BY 12 FRI THE
GFS POSITION OF THE LOW IS OVR NORTH CENTRAL NE ALONG THE SD
BORDER...THE ECMWF IS OVR SOUTH CENTRAL NE...AND THE NAM IN
BETWEEN THE TWO. IN GENERAL THIS WL MEAN STILL A CHC FOR PCPN OVR
NRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT DRY SOUTH FOR LATE THU
NIGHT AND EARLY FRI. THEN AS THE LOW MOVES EVEN FARTHER E THRU THE
DAY FRI PCPN WL LIKELY END. FOR SAT THE GFS HAS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO THE ERN CO PLAINS TURNING THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
EASTERLY. A SHRTWV TROF ALSO MOVES INTO THE AREA...AND THERE IS A
CHC FOR PCPN ACRS THE MTS AND HIGH PLAINS. THEN ON SUN ANOTHER
SHRTWV TROF IS FORECAST BY THE GFS TO MOVE OVR THE AREA WITH UPSLOPE
FLOW CONTINUING OVR THE SERN PLAINS AND CHANCES FOR PCPN. HOWEVER
THE ECMWF HAS AN UPR LOW DROPPING INTO SRN CA AND NO SHRTWV TROF
MOVING ACRS THE AREA. THE GFS THEN ALSO HAS AN UPR LOW DROPPING
INTO AZ MON. TOO MANY UNCERTAINTIES...SO WL NOT MAKE FORECAST CHANGES
BEYOND FRI.

AVIATION...
VFR ALL THREE TAF SITES (AND ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO) NEXT 24
HOURS. COULD SEE SOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30
KT RANGE BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EXTENDING INTO EARLY EVE.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ221-222-
224>237.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR COZ221-222-224>237.

&&

21/06
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 6:30 AM MDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
630 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

COZ058>089-093>099-301230-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
630 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THIS AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WILL FALL
BELOW 15 PERCENT...AND WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ALONG WITH HIGH HAINES INDICES. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS...COMBINED
WITH THE DRY FUELS...WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT ARE CONDUCIVE TO
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY...POTENTIAL WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES...COMBINED
WITH DRY FUELS...WILL CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR. A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY FRIDAY. SOME SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW
OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...PIKES PEAK...AND PORTIONS OF TELLER
COUNTY. THERE IS ALSO THE CHANCE FOR SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY EVENING OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND OVER PORTIONS OF
EL PASO COUNTY...AND TELLER COUNTY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 5:52 AM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Baca, Bent, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley and 12 more6 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.