Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Pueblo, CO

April 21, 200810 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Apr 21, 2008, 4:36 AM MDT for 10 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Apr 21, 2008, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 21, 2008, 4:36 AM MDT (10:36 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 21, 2008, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
Apr 21, 2008, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 304 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2008-04-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2008-04-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
5029 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS85 KPUB 211036
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
436 AM MDT MON APR 21 2008

..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...
224 AND 225...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT
COUNTY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM 
MDT TODAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING.
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN DEVELOP OVER THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY.
CONSEQUENTLY...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS
FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TODAY.

COZ222-224-225-220245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0008.080421T1700Z-080422T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0011.080421T1700Z-080422T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
436 AM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

ONCE AGAIN...LOW HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 40 MPH
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT
COUNTY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000
FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY. THESE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

LW
3 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 212116
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
316 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...
224 AND 225...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM MDT TODAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 224
THROUGH 233...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...
HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES...AND THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING.
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ON TUESDAY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE AGAIN EXPECTED IN THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A 5...AND THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE WIND GUSTS TO BE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THUS THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH AREA LAND MANAGEMENT
AGENCIES...HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH AREA
LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS ALSO ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR WEDNESDAY MIDMORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...IT ALSO
INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WARNING AREAS AND THERE WILL BE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND HIGH HAINES INDICES OF 5 AND 6 ALONG WITH THE DRY
FUELS.

COZ224-221330-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0009.080422T1800Z-080423T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080422T0300Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
316 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. ANOTHER FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE IN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...AND THEN THE WINDS WILL BEGIN
DECREASING AND THE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT.

ON TUESDAY THE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT AGAIN BY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL REMAIN THIS WAY INTO THE EVENING. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON OF 25 TO 30
MPH...BUT THERE IS A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME. THE HAINES
INDICES ARE ALSO FORECAST TO BE AROUND 5 IN THE AFTERNOON.

ON WEDNESDAY IT LOOKS LIKE THE WINDS WILL BE VERY STRONG AND THE
HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN BE BELOW 15 PERCENT. HAINES INDICES ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE 5 OR 6.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

COZ222-225-221330-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080422T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
316 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

HUMIDITIES WILL BE BELOW 15 PERCENT...AND WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WILL BE SEEN INTO THIS EVENING. THEN LATER TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL DECREASE AND THE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE.

ON WEDNESDAY...HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 AND STRONG
WINDS AT 20 TO 30 WILL DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH.
HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EITHER 5 OR 6 ON WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

COZ226>233-221330-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
316 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

ON WEDNESDAY...HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 AND STRONG
WINDS AT 20 TO 30 WILL DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH.
HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EITHER 5 OR 6.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 212154 CCA
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
346 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...
224 AND 225...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM MDT TODAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 224
THROUGH 233...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...
HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES...AND THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING.
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ON TUESDAY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE AGAIN EXPECTED IN THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A 5...AND THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE WIND GUSTS TO BE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THUS THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH AREA LAND MANAGEMENT
AGENCIES...HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH AREA
LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS ALSO ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR WEDNESDAY MIDMORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...IT ALSO
INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WATCH AREA AND THERE WILL BE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND HIGH HAINES INDICES OF 5 AND 6 ALONG WITH THE DRY
FUELS.

COZ224-221415-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0009.080422T1800Z-080423T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080422T0300Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
346 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. ANOTHER FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE IN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...AND THEN THE WINDS WILL BEGIN
DECREASING AND THE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT.

ON TUESDAY THE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT AGAIN BY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL REMAIN THIS WAY INTO THE EVENING. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON OF 25 TO 30
MPH...BUT THERE IS A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME. THE HAINES
INDICES ARE ALSO FORECAST TO BE AROUND 5 IN THE AFTERNOON.

ON WEDNESDAY IT LOOKS LIKE THE WINDS WILL BE VERY STRONG AND THE
HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN BE BELOW 15 PERCENT. HAINES INDICES ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE 5 OR 6.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

COZ222-225-221415-
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080422T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
346 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

HUMIDITIES WILL BE BELOW 15 PERCENT...AND WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WILL BE SEEN INTO THIS EVENING. THEN LATER TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL DECREASE AND THE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE.

ON WEDNESDAY...HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 AND STRONG
WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35
MPH. HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EITHER 5 OR 6 ON WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

COZ226>233-221415-
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
346 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

ON WEDNESDAY...HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 AND STRONG
WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH.
HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EITHER 5 OR 6.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$
000 
WWUS85 KPUB 220300
RFWPUB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
900 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222... 224 AND
225...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY... THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...FOR LOW
HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND
224 THROUGH 233...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO... HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO
COUNTIES...AND THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW
8000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...STRONG WIND GUSTS...HIGH HAINES
AND DRY FUELS...

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222... 224 AND
225...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY... THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM.

ON TUESDAY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE AGAIN EXPECTED IN THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A 5...AND THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE WIND GUSTS TO BE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THUS THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH AREA LAND MANAGEMENT
AGENCIES...HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...HAS ALSO ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY MIDMORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...
IT ALSO INCLUDES FREMONT...EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS
ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WATCH AREA AND THERE WILL BE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND HIGH HAINES INDICES OF 5 AND 6 ALONG WITH THE DRY
FUELS.

COZ224-221900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080422T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0009.080422T1800Z-080423T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
900 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE
224...WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY.

ON TUESDAY THE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT AGAIN BY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL REMAIN THIS WAY INTO THE EVENING. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON OF 25 TO 30
MPH...BUT THERE IS A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME. THE HAINES
INDICES ARE ALSO FORECAST TO BE AROUND 5 IN THE AFTERNOON.

ON WEDNESDAY IT LOOKS LIKE THE WINDS WILL BE VERY STRONG AND THE
HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN BE BELOW 15 PERCENT. HAINES INDICES ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE 5 OR 6.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

COZ222-225-221900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080422T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
900 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND
225...INCLUDING FREMONT COUNTY... THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...WILL
EXPIRE AT 9 PM.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND
225...INCLUDING FREMONT COUNTY... THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY.

ON WEDNESDAY...HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 AND STRONG
WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35
MPH. HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EITHER 5 OR 6 ON
WEDNESDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

COZ226>233-221900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0010.080423T1500Z-080424T0300Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
900 PM MDT MON APR 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 224
THROUGH 233. THIS WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET
AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY... IT ALSO INCLUDES FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY AND OTERO
COUNTIES.

ON WEDNESDAY...HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 AND STRONG
WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
35 MPH. HAINES INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EITHER 5 OR 6.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

HODANISH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 21, 3:50 AM MDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 21, 3:50 AM MDT, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
350 AM MDT MON APR 21 2008

.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS...ALSO AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE
LATER TODAY CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TO PALMER DIVIDE...

MAIN CONCERN TODAY IS CONTINUED HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS BELOW 8000 FEET.  ONCE AGAIN
TODAY...A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS
WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS WILL BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING...IN EFFECT FROM
11AM TO 9PM MDT.

ELSEWHERE...CONDITIONS OVER THE PLAINS ADJACENT TO THE MOUNTAINS...
ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR...COULD GET CLOSE TO CRITERIA BY LATE
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL PROBABLY COME UP SHORT.  A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
IS CURRENTLY PUSHING UP AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS.  BEHIND THE
FRONT...THE AIRMASS IS COOLER AND SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST THAN THE AIR
AHEAD OF IT.  ALSO...WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHTER.  THIS FRONT IS
FORECAST TO BACK UP AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH MOST OF THE
DAY...POSSIBLY RETREATING A LITTLE LATE IN THE DAY...RIGHT ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS.  THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OVER THE PLAINS SOUTH OF
PUEBLO...ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR FROM WALSENBURG TO TRINIDAD.  THIS
AREA COULD SEE INCREASING WINDS AND DROPPING HUMIDITIES LATE IN THE
DAY.  HOWEVER...AT THIS POINT...I THINK IT WILL COME UP SHORT OF
CRITERIA BOTH IN TERMS OF METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS AND LONGEVITY.
SO NO WARNING FOR THIS AREA AT THIS TIME.

ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS EL PASO COUNTY.  WHILE THIS AREA LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL SEE HUMIDITIES REMAIN ABOVE CRITERIA FOR MOST OF THE
DAY...LATE IN THE DAY IT COULD COME CLOSE.  SOME OF THE MOST
PESSIMISTIC GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT 15% RELATIVE HUMIDITY BY LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD PUT IT RIGHT AT THE THRESHOLD FOR A
WARNING.  ALSO...THE WINDS WILL BE PRETTY BRISK ACROSS EL PASO
COUNTY...POSSIBLY GUSTING OVER 25 MPH AT TIMES.  HOWEVER...ONCE
AGAIN...I THINK WELL STAY BELOW CRITERIA IN TERMS OF BOTH WEATHER
PARAMETERS AND LONGEVITY.  SO...WHILE IT WILL BE CLOSE TO HITTING
CRITICAL CRITERIA...THERE IS NOT ENOUGH FOR A WARNING.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE PLAINS...HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND LIGHTER WINDS
SHOULD BRING A GENERAL REPRIEVE IN THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT TODAY.
HOWEVER...FUELS ARE STILL VERY DRY SO CAUTION NEEDS TO CONTINUE.

ASIDE FROM THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AN
ISOLATED AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORM...EXTENDING FROM THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EASTWARD ACROSS TELLER AND NORTHERN EL PASO
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE PALMER DIVIDE.  THE NAM12 CONTINUES TO
INDICATE A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN COLORADO DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...TRIGGERING SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION.
A CHECK OF LAPSE RATES AND LIS INDICATES PLENTY OF INSTABILITY TO
ALLOW CONVECTION.  PLUS...THE SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT IS MOVING
THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL BE BACKED UP AGAINST
THE MOUNTAINS AS THE WAVE MOVES ONTO THE PLAINS LATE IN THE DAY.
THE PALMER DIVIDE WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY AREA TO BREAK THE
CAP...GIVEN ITS HIGHER ELEVATION.  SO...CANT OUTRULE A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.  WALROD

.LONG TERM...
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SAN LUIS VALLEY TUE...

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS I-25 CORRIDOR/HIGH
VALLEYS...AND STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FAR SOUTHEAST CO PLAINS
WED AFTERNOON/EVENING...

...ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUES...

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS FORECAST TO
PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE
PLAINS WILL KEEP THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST-SOUTH FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN CO. ANY SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE WELL TO THE SOUTH
OF SOUTHEAST CO TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF
HEATING...MIXING...INSTABILITY....AND MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW COULD
LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WIND WILL BE MARGINAL...SO
WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING ANY FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY. TUESDAYS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND MONDAYS
PROJECTIONS. TUESDAY NIGHTS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE INTERESTING.
OLD SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TX INTO EASTERN
TX. WITH THE SURFACE-PBL SOUTHEAST FLOW...A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTS INTO EASTERN CO AND EASTWARD. 40-50KT
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS ACROSS WESTERN TX WITH LOW TO
MIDLEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF
NM/CO/TX/OK/KS. THE RELATIVELY STRONGEST LIFT COULD BE ACROSS THE
TX PANHANDLE IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. AMPLE
NIGHTTIME CAPE WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH 0-6KM MOST UNSTABLE CAPE
SHOWING 700-1K J/KG ACROSS TX/OK PANHANDLES AND ACROSS CENTRAL TX.
POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER WESTERN TX INTO OK LATER TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...MOVING INTO KS. ALSO... AROUND 50 J/KG 0-6KM MOST
UNSTABLE CAPE WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN CO/WESTERN KS. MOST OF THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL BE IN THE SFC-PBL LAYER ACROSS EASTERN CO
WITH 700-300MB LAYER MUCH DRIER DURING THE NIGHT. POTENTIAL FOR
ADVECTION STRATUS/FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN CO PLAINS.
NOTICED THE GFS PRINTS OUT QPF WHILE THE NAM-WRF DOES NOT. THE GFS
IS LIKELY FOCUSING ON THE SATURATED LOW LEVELS WITH THE QPF
GENERATION.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THIS COULD BE THE MOST INTERESTING
AND CRITICAL WEATHER FOR A 24 HOUR PERIOD. RELATIVELY DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. A
SUBSTANTIAL SFC/PBL DRYLINE WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN CO WEDNESDAY
MORNING WITH STRATUS/FOG ON THE COOLER/MOIST SIDE OF THE DRYLINE.
WITH DAYTIME HEATING...MUCH DRIER AIR ALOFT ENTRAINING INTO THE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...THE DRYLINE SHOULD MOVE TOWARDS THE CO/KS
BORDER AS THE STRATUS/FOG ERODES. WHERE THE DRYLINE ENDS UP WILL
BE THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE. THE LOW LEVEL DRYLINE COULD SHIFT INTO
EXTREME WESTERN KS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN RETREAT
WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE SURFACE/PBL BEGINS TO COOL/MOISTEN AND WINDS
BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY. ALL KINEMATIC PARAMETERS SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF
THE DRYLINE. MODEL DATA ARE SUGGESTING SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE
50S ALONG THE DRYLINE. ASSUMING THE MODEL DATA ARE CLOSE...THE
SIGNIFICANT TORNADO PARAMETER(INSTABILITY/SHEAR/LCL HEIGHT)
INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IF ALL ELEMENTS
BECOME JUXTAPOSED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE WILL BE
SOME CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...BUT THE COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE FEATURE COULD OVERCOME THE
LOW LEVEL INVERSION. THERE COULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTHEAST CO PLAINS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE FOR
KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS...AND BACA COUNTIES TO
HAVE THE HIGHER THREAT FOR STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPC DAY 3 OUTLOOK HAS THE SLIGHT RISK
JUST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS BORDER. MEANWHILE...WEST
OF THE DRYLINE...THE TYPICAL RELATIVELY DEEP DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL BE IN PLACE. BREEZY-WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY. NOT TOO
MUCH POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION GIVEN A RELATIVELY
DRY AND UNSTABLE SUB-CLOUD LAYER WITH VERY SMALL SURFACE BASED
CAPES VALUES LESS THAN 100 J/KG WITH A LOT OF SHEAR ALOFT. ANY
POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WOULD BE ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. SIGNIFICANT VIRGA SHAFTS COULD DEVELOP GIVEN THE
700-500MB LAPSE RATES OF 9.0-9.5 C/KM...LCL HEIGHTS 4K-6K FT
HIGHER THAN THE FREEZING LEVEL HEIGHTS...AND A VERY WARM/UNSTABLE
SUB-CLOUD LAYER WITH LAPSE RATES OF 9.5-10 C/KM GENERALLY FROM A
LIMON-LA JUNTA-KIM LINE WESTWARD TOWARDS THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND HIGH
VALLEYS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD BE LIKELY TO
SEVERE FOR THESE AREAS...BUT THE DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY MIGHT BE
MARGINAL...JUST AROUND 15%.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW TO
REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODIC
SHALLOW CLOUD FRONTS DROPPING ACROSS EASTERN CO...OR DRYLINES
MOVING IN AND OUT OF EASTERN CO. THE CHANCE FOR ANY WELL NEEDED
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE IN THE OFFING FOR
THE REST OF THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY
REMAIN AT OR ABOVE AVERAGE READINGS FOR LATE APR. METZE

&&

.AVIATION...

MAIN AVIATION CONCERN TODAY WILL BE THE WINDS.  ALL TAF
SITES WILL SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO ABOUT 30 MPH...
...POSSIBLY 35 MPH AT KCOS AND KALS.  ADDITIONALLY...THERE COULD BE
SOME WIND SHEAR ISSUES AT KCOS...WITH LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST WINDS
OPPOSING BRISK SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT. WALROD

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR COZ222-224-225.

&&

50/17
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 20, 6:26 AM MDT, 22 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
626 AM MDT SUN APR 20 2008

COZ058>089-093>099-211230-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
626 AM MDT SUN APR 20 2008

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
LEAD TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH. BE PARTICULARLY CAREFUL WITH SMOKING
MATERIALS AND OPEN FIRES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE ONE OF THE MAIN CONCERNS FOR
THIS PERIOD.  CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS AT TIMES THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK. CURRENT MODEL PROJECTIONS INDICATE THAT LOW
HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT AT TIMES
ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE I-25 CORRIDOR...AND THE RATON
RIDGE.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS WEEK. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND PALMER DIVIDE LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. THE
MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS...WOULD BE LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH...AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER.

THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WILL SEE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

WF/LW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 3:16 PM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley, Custer, El Paso and 7 more25 hr
Apr 21, 3:16 PM MDTFire Weather WatchPUBAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Rio Grande, Saguache14 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.