Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Weather Advisories in 2008
Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 31, 2008, 3:27 PM EST for 5 counties in New Jersey; 5 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Feb 1, 2008, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 31, 2008, 3:27 PM EST (20:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 1, 2008, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2008, 2:00 PM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2187 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -117 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KPHI 312027 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 327 PM EST THU JAN 31 2008 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO AFFECT THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON... NJZ001-PAZ054-055-011115- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.080201T1000Z-080201T2000Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 327 PM EST THU JAN 31 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 3 PM EST FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BRINGING A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY EVENING. THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE, ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. ICE ACCRETION OF AROUND ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED. BY MIDDAY, A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR NORTHERN VIRGINA, THEN MOVE THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY FRIDAY EVENING, DRAGGING A COLD FRONT WITH IT. DURING THE AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY, BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ007-PAZ060>062-011115- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.080201T0900Z-080201T1700Z/ WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...READING...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 327 PM EST THU JAN 31 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BRINGING A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY EVENING. THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE, ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. BY MIDDAY, A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR NORTHERN VIRGINA, THEN MOVE THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY FRIDAY EVENING, DRAGGING A COLD FRONT WITH IT. ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED. BY MIDDAY, TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY, BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ009-PAZ067>069-011115- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.080201T0900Z-080201T1600Z/ HUNTERDON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...WEST CHESTER... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN 327 PM EST THU JAN 31 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BRINGING A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY EVENING. THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE, ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. BY MIDDAY, A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR NORTHERN VIRGINA, THEN MOVE THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY FRIDAY EVENING, DRAGGING A COLD FRONT WITH IT. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED, WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN BEING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTIES, WHERE IT COULD ALSO LAST LONGER INTO THE DAY. BY MIDDAY, TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY, BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ008-010-011115- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.080201T1000Z-080201T1700Z/ MORRIS-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE 327 PM EST THU JAN 31 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 12 PM EST FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BRINGING A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY EVENING. THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE, ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. BY MIDDAY, A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR NORTHERN VIRGINA, THEN MOVE THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY FRIDAY EVENING, DRAGGING A COLD FRONT WITH IT. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE IS ANTICIPATED, WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN BEING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTIES, WHERE IT COULD ALSO LAST LONGER INTO THE DAY. BY MIDDAY, TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY, BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ ROBERTSON
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KPHI 010951 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 451 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO AFFECT THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON... NJZ001-PAZ054-055-011930- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.080201T1000Z-080201T2000Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 451 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WITH OCCUR TODAY WITH MOST OF IT BEING IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCRETION OF AROUND ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY TREES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ007-PAZ060>062-011700- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1700Z/ WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...READING...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 451 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WITH OCCUR TODAY WITH MOST OF IT BEING IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY BRANCHES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ009-PAZ067>069-011600- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1600Z/ HUNTERDON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...WEST CHESTER... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN 451 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED, WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN BEING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTIES, WHERE IT COULD ALSO LAST LONGER INTO THE DAY. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY BRANCHES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ008-010-011700- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.080201T1000Z-080201T1700Z/ MORRIS-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE 451 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED, WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN BEING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTIES, WHERE IT COULD ALSO LAST LONGER INTO THE DAY. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY SMALL BRANCHES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE LIGHT ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS41 KPHI 011557 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1057 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... NJZ009-PAZ067>069-011700- /O.EXP.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1600Z/ HUNTERDON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...WEST CHESTER... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN 1057 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA, AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALL THE REST OF THE DAY SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-012000- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T2000Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 1057 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WITH OCCUR TODAY WITH MOST OF IT BEING IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCRETION OF AROUND ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY TREES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ007-PAZ060>062-011700- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1700Z/ WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...READING...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 1057 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WITH OCCUR TODAY WITH MOST OF IT BEING IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN. ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS ARE ABOVE FREEZING THERE IS STILL SOME PATCHY FREEZING RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY BRANCHES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ008-010-011700- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1700Z/ MORRIS-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE 1057 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN BEING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTIES... WHERE IT COULD ALSO LAST LONGER INTO THE DAY. BY MIDDAY...SUFFICIENT WARM AIR TILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY SMALL BRANCHES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE LIGHT ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ ROBERTSON
000 WWUS41 KPHI 011656 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1156 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... NJZ010-PAZ060-011800- /O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1700Z/ SOMERSET-BERKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERVILLE...READING 1156 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ANY PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS WILL FALL AS RAIN. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS IS IN FAR NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF BERKS COUNTY, ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS, WHERE THE TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING TO CREATE FREEZING RAIN. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-012200- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T2000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.IS.W.0001.080201T1656Z-080201T2200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 1156 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WITH OCCUR TODAY WITH MOST OF IT BEING IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE, ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY, BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCRETION IN EXCESS OF ONE-HALF OF AN INCH HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN PORTIONS OF SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY, AND IS ANTICIPATED IN THE REST OF THE WARNED AREA. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY TREES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-011900- /O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1900Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 1156 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE, ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL RAIN. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY, BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL LIGHT GLAZE OF ICING IS EXPECTED, WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN BEING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTIES, WHERE IT COULD ALSO LAST LONGER INTO THE DAY. BY MID AFTERNOON, SUFFICIENT WARM AIR WILL TURN THE ICY MIX OVER AT ALL RAIN AND SOME OF THAT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CAUSING SOME ROADWAY FLOODING. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY SMALL BRANCHES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE LIGHT ICE BUILDUP. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW, SLEET, OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ ROBERTSON
000 WWUS41 KPHI 011910 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 210 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-012015- /O.EXP.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080201T1900Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 210 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL LATER TONIGHT, AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE AREA MAY REMAIN AROUND FREEZING FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS, BUT SHOULD RISE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALL SHOULD REMAIN AS ALL RAIN, EXCEPT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHERE ISOLATED POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN MAY REMAIN FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER. ROADWAYS MAY STILL BE ICY FROM THE FREEZING RAIN THAT FELL EARLIER, SO DRIVERS SHOULD STILL USE CAUTION ON THE ROADWAYS. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-012200- /O.CON.KPHI.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080201T2200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 210 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2008 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WITH OCCUR TODAY WITH MOST OF IT BEING IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH DURING MUCH OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT... COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE... ALLOWING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO ONE INCH. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND SUNSET FRIDAY... BUT WILL NOT HAVE A DRASTIC AFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURES... ALTHOUGH THEY WILL RETURN TO THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCRETION IN EXCESS OF ONE-HALF OF AN INCH HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN PORTIONS OF SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY... AND IS ANTICIPATED IN THE REST OF THE WARNED AREA. WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 AND 35 MPH AT TIMES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN ANY TREES THAT HAVE ADDED WEIGHT FROM THE ICE BUILDUP. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ ROBERTSON
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 31, 10:45 AM EST, 4 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 10:45 AM EST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1045 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY, BECOMING CENTERED
OVER NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE, LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
FROM TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THEN IS EXPECTED TO
LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY
MORNING. AS THE HIGH SLOWLY RETREATS TO THE NORTHEAST, THE
BROADENING LOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO PUSH ITS WAY INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
STATES ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING. AS IT DOES, IT WILL
LIKELY PULL A WARM FRONT THEN A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION. THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE UP OVER ATLANTIC CANADA ON SATURDAY,
ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD UP INTO OUR REGION. A WEAK COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY, WITH
ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. A WARM
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE NEW
WEEK, WITH A COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST SLATED TO PASS THROUGH OUR
REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NO CHANGE TO THE ZONE FORECAST. THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDED
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN ALL THE WAY TO THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION. THE AXIS WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON, PASSING OVER NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, DELAWARE, EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY THIS MORNING. BY EVENING, A FAIRLY
STRONG HIGH OF ABOUT 1038 HPA IS ANTICIPATED TO BE CENTERED OVER
VERMONT.
THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD TRANSLATE TO A MOSTLY SUNNY AFTERNOON
ALTHOUGH, SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY BEGIN TO SPREAD UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF OUR NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM.
TEMPS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE 30S AND LOWER 40S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WAS MOVING FROM NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FEATURE SHOULD MOVE OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT, BEFORE LIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AND PASSING OVER OUR REGION AROUND MIDNIGHT ON FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
SHORT WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BRING OUR NEXT ROUND
OF PRECIP FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT.
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT, WELL SIMPLY SEE AN INCREASE IN HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS. AFTER MIDNIGHT, WERE EXPECTING MID LEVEL AND SOME
LOWER CLOUDS TO BEGIN TO ADVECT UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH.
THE HIGH CLOUDS THIS EVENING SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME RADIATIONAL
COOLING, AND IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT TONIGHTS MINIMUM TEMPS WILL OCCUR
BEFORE MIDNIGHT. AS THE LOWER CLOUDS BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD OUR
REGION, TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO RISE SLOWLY OR REMAIN STEADY
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WERE EXPECTING PRECIP TO BEGIN TO REACH OUR FORECAST AREA VERY LATE
TONIGHT. WITH THE STRONG HIGH TO OUR NORTHEAST, THERE SHOULD BE A
GOOD AMOUNT OF SHALLOW COLD AIR IN PLACE, ESPECIALLY IN OUR HILL AND
VALLEY TERRAIN IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY. AS A RESULT, THE PRECIP EVENT SHOULD BEGIN AS A PERIOD
OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THAT REGION. ON THE
COASTAL PLAIN, IT APPEARS AS THOUGH TEMPS WILL WARM ENOUGH LATE
TONIGHT TO ALLOW THE PRECIP EVENT TO START AS RAIN FOR THE MOST
PART, WITH PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET AT THE START IN THE CITY
OF PHILADELPHIA AND IN LOCATIONS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. BY THE TIME
THE PRECIP BEGINS, IT SEEMS AS THOUGH THE WEDGE OF WARM AIR ALOFT
WILL BE TOO THICK TO ALLOW FOR MUCH SNOW, EVEN OVER THE POCONOS AND
FAR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.
THE HIGH SEEMS TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION TO KEEP SHALLOW
COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER PARTS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY FROM INTERSTATE
78 NORTHWARD. WELL BE A LITTLE CONSERVATIVE IN WARMING THINGS UP
AND WELL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE IN THE LEHIGH
VALLEY AND POINTS TO THE NORTH AND EAST UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
FORTUNATELY, THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT THE HIGH WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE. ALSO, WERE EXPECTING A FAIRLY ROBUST SOUTHWESTERLY
LOW LEVEL TO LIFT OVER OUR REGION ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW
LEVEL JET SHOULD HELP TO SCOUR OUT ANY LINGER SHALLOW COLD AIR AND
ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE SYSTEM MAY EXCEED ONE INCH AT MANY
LOCATIONS AND THE RAIN COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN AREAS OF
POOR DRAINAGE. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT LIKELY.
MEANWHILE, FOR THOSE AREAS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE ICE, THE
ACCRETION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA. HOWEVER, AN
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES IN
THE NEXT SCHEDULED FORECAST PACKAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO PASS TO OUR NORTH ON FRIDAY EVENING, IT
SHOULD PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION. WITH THE NEGATIVE TILT
TO THE UPPER SHORT WAVE, IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME
FAIRLY ROBUST SHOWERS AND PERHAPS TSTMS WITH THE FRONT ON FRIDAY
EVENING. FOR NOW, WELL LEAVE THE MENTION OF TSTMS OUT OF THE
FORECAST BUT THEY MAY NEED TO BE ADDED IN TIME.
AS THE LOW MOVES UP ACROSS ATLANTIC CANADA ON SATURDAY, HIGH
PRESSURE SHOULD BUILD UP INTO OUR REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST,
RESULTING IN A FAIR WEATHER DAY WITH TEMPS RUNNING A LITTLE ABOVE
NORMAL.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
SUNDAY. THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE EVIDENCE OF THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE, WITH ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED TO BUILD DOWN
FROM THE NORTHWEST FOR SUNDAY NIGHT.
A MILD PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW
WEEK. A WARM FRONT FROM THE SOUTHWEST MAY AFFECT OUR REGION FROM
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, WITH A COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST FORECAST
TO ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY. WEVE MAINTAINED THE CHANCE POPS FOR ALL
THREE DAYS. IT APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR MAINLY
RAIN AT MOST LOCATIONS.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND FAIR
WEATHER SHOULD LAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON, AND A HIGH CIG IS
EXPECTED BY AROUND DUSK.
THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE ROLLING UP OUT OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY THIS EVENING AND IT WILL ARRIVE OVER NORTHERN OHIO BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
AND LAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE QUICKLY VEERING AROUND TO WEST
BY EVENING. THERE WILL BE SOME MIXED SLEET/FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW
FOR TAF SITES KRDG/KABE FOR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE CHANGING ALL
RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE DELAWARE VALLEY AND
SRN NJ TAF SITES. THE TIMING OF THE PRECIPITATION AND LOWER
CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE AROUND 10Z TO 12Z, SO IT WILL AFFECT THE MORNING
BUSY PERIOD AT KPHL. LOW CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY BR AROUND FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY.
CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ON THE WATERS WILL PROVIDE PLEASANT
CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE AROUND 15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. WIND
DIRECTIONS WILL VEER FROM W OR NW THIS AFTERNOON TO EAST TONIGHT.
THE WIND SPEEDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE AFTER DARK.
THE PRIMARY LOW WILL MOVE FROM ARKANSAS TO NORTHERN OHIO BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ON THURSDAY NIGHT THE WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST
BUILDING THE SEAS TO BETWEEN 6 AND 9 FT. THESE HIGH SEAS WILL LAST
INTO FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FRIDAY EVENING WITH STRONG
GALE FORCE GUSTS AGAIN INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. I HAVE DECIDED TO
RAISE A SCA FLAG FOR TONIGHT AND THEN BRING A GALE TO ALL WATERS
FRIDAY. THE GALE WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE 4TH PERIOD TOO.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
REMAIN THROUGH MONDAY.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
ANZ430-431-450>455.
GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
ANZ430-431-450>455.
&&
SYNOPSIS/NEAR TERM/SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...IOVINO/EBERWINE
AVIATION/MARINE...OHARA/EBERWINEHazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 5:00 AM EST, 10 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 500 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008 NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-061-062-011100- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH- NORTHAMPTON- 500 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE POCONOS, THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND IT SHOULD PASS OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY EVENING. THE LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE POCONOS, THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN CLOSE TO DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. THERE MAY EVEN BE A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW AT THE ONSET, WITH LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION ANTICIPATED. DURING THE COURSE OF FRIDAY MORNING, THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO MAINLY FREEZING RAIN. A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS POSSIBLE AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED LATE TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE SLOWLY ON FRIDAY, WITH THE FREEZING RAIN CHANGING TO RAIN AT MOST LOCATIONS BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE TRAVEL IN THE REGION DANGEROUS ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE ICE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE ON TREES AND UTILITY LINES. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ012-015-PAZ060-067>069-011100- MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- 500 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND PARTS OF CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND IT SHOULD PASS OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY EVENING. THE LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN CLOSE TO DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. THERE MAY EVEN BE A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW AT THE ONSET, WITH LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE SLOWLY ON FRIDAY, WITH THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET CHANGING TO RAIN AT MOST LOCATIONS BY LATE MORNING. AN ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS POSSIBLE AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED LATE TODAY. THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE TRAVEL IN THE REGION DANGEROUS ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE ICE MAY ALSO ACCUMULATE ON TREES AND UTILITY LINES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY EXCEED ONE INCH AT MANY LOCATIONS AND THE RAIN COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT LIKELY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ070-071- 011100- NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 500 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, PARTS OF CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND IT SHOULD PASS OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY EVENING. THE LOW WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND THE UPPER DELMARVA FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET AT SOME LOCATIONS CLOSE TO DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. LITTLE SLEET ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ON FRIDAY, WITH ANY SLEET COMING TO AN END DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY EXCEED ONE INCH AT MANY LOCATIONS AND THE RAIN COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT LIKELY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-011100- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 500 AM EST THU JAN 31 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND FOR DELAWARE BAY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in New Jersey, 2008Winter Weather Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2008Every winter weather advisory in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.