Alert archive / Maryland / Fire Weather Watches in 2008

Fire Weather Watch 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 20, 20085 counties in Maryland; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this fire weather watch at Oct 20, 2008, 3:53 PM EDT for 5 counties in Maryland; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Oct 21, 2008, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 20, 2008, 3:53 PM EDT (19:53 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 21, 2008, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 21, 2008, 10:00 AM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2008-10-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2008-10-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1840 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS81 KPHI 201953
RFWPHI

FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
353 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-211000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.A.0001.081021T1500Z-081021T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
353 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH. THE
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1100 AM TO 600 PM ON TUESDAY.

A WESTERLY WIND IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MEANWHILE, RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT AT THAT TIME. WITH THE
RECENT DRY CONDITIONS IN NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND DELAWARE,
THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF WILDFIRES. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS
ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON COULD CAUSE ANY WILDFIRES TO SPREAD RAPIDLY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR AND THAT RED FLAG WARNINGS MAY EVENTUALLY BE
ISSUED. 

$$

IOVINO
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS81 KPHI 210839
RFWPHI

FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
439 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2008

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-211800-
/O.CON.KPHI.FW.A.0001.081021T1500Z-081021T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
439 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 

A WESTERLY WIND IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH ON
THIS AFTERNOON... WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MEANWHILE...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT AT THAT
TIME. WITH THE RECENT DRY CONDITIONS IN NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND
DELAWARE... THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF WILDFIRES. THE BREEZY
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON COULD CAUSE ANY WILDFIRES TO SPREAD
RAPIDLY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR AND THAT RED FLAG WARNINGS MAY EVENTUALLY
BE ISSUED.

$$
000 
WWUS81 KPHI 211400
RFWPHI

FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1000 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2008

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-211500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FW.A.0001.081021T1500Z-081021T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
1000 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH. 

AT THIS TIME, FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
REACH LEVELS NEEDED FOR A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR A RED FLAG
WARNING IN A SUSTAINED MANNER. EVEN SO, WITH THE RECENT DRY
CONDITIONS IN NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND DELAWARE...THERE IS AN
INCREASED THREAT OF WILDFIRES.

WEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR
TODAY, WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 MILES AN HOUR THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO, 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON. THE BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOWERING HUMIDITY THIS
AFTERNOON COULD CAUSE ANY WILDFIRES TO SPREAD RAPIDLY.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this fire weather watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this fire weather watch went out at Oct 20, 9:27 AM EDT, 6 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 20, 9:27 AM EDT, 6 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
927 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY AFFECT THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
TODAY STARTED OFF QUITE A BIT COLDER THAN YESTERDAY. IT WAS 42
DEGREES HERE AT THE OFFICE AT 7AM YESTERDAY MORNING BUT IT WAS ONLY
32 DEGREES THIS MORNING. FROST WAS PRETTY WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION BUT NOT QUITE ENOUGH TO KILL THE GROWING SEASON IN ALL
AREAS. WE HAVE DROPPED THE FROST ADVISORY AND FREEZE WARNING AS
THE TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN TO OR ABOVE 32 DEGREES THIS MORNING IN
MOST OF THE REGION.

WE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY AND
TONED THEM DOWN JUST A BIT, ESPECIALLY SINCE WE STARTED OFF MUCH
COLDER THIS MORNING. UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S STILL SOUNDS GOOD FOR
THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION TODAY.

SKIES WILL REMAIN ON THE CLEAR SIDE TODAY WITH POSSIBLY SOME
CIRRUS CLOUDS EDGING IN FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL TURN A LITTLE
MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN WEST AS WE HEAD TOWARDS THIS
EVENING. OVERALL IT WILL BE A NICE DAY ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SAG TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT AND CLOUDS MAY BEGIN
TO FILTER INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
THAT IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. SOUNDING STILL DO NOT INDICATE A VERY
WET SYSTEM, BUT THERE STILL IN A CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS,
MAINLY FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. A COOL NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL SET UP BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY, WHICH WILL LIKELY HELP
TO PRODUCE SOME CLOUD COVER FOR AT LEAST THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA. THIS SHOULD BE THE ONLY EFFECTS WE SHOULD EXPERIENCE AS WE DO
NOT EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LONG TERM MODELS INDICATE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, KEEPING THE WEATHER DRY AND COOL.
HOWEVER, THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND IS NOT AS CLEAR CUT. AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES OVER THE
WEEKEND, DRAGGING A FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS OUR AREA. HOWEVER, THE
MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM, AND HENCE THE FRONT AND ACCOMPANIED PRECIPITATION.
WITH THE UNCERTAINTY, WE HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP THE CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. LITTLE, IF ANY, CLOUDS
EXPECTED IN THE VERY DRY AIR MASS TODAY. SOME CI OR AC WILL INCREASE
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 KTS THIS MORNING WILL BACK AROUND TO WEST BY EVENING.

OUTLOOK...NEXT SYSTEM WILL BRING CLOUDINESS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS, MAINLY NORTH.
WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY TUESDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY.
CONDITIONS OVERALL WILL BE VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
I WILL KEEP THE SCA FLAG FOR THE SHORE AS IS WITH SEAS CONTINUE TO
CHURN AWAY AROUND 12FT AT 44009. PRESENT GUIDANCE WOULD BRING SEAS
BACK DOWN TO 5 FT AROUND DAYBREAK TUE. I WILL EXTEND THE SCA FLAG ON
THE LOWER BAY INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE STILL GUSTING IN THE 20
TO 25 KT RANGE EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS WILL PROBABLY NOT BE THE
CASE THROUGH THE DAY, BUT SEAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAY
WILL STILL BE HAZARDOUS. WE WILL REEVALUATE AFTER GETTING THE
MORNING OBSERVATION FROM THE FERRY.

THE NEXT LOW AND FRONT WILL BRING RENEWED WINDS TO THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY. LOW END GALE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SO A GALE WATCH WILL BE ISSUED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NJZ012>014-020-022>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR NJZ016-021.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     DEZ003-004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR DEZ001-002.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ROBERTSON
NEAR TERM...ROBERTSON/MEOLA
SHORT TERM...ROBERTSON
LONG TERM...ROBERTSON
AVIATION...OHARA
MARINE...OHARA
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 20, 2:11 PM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

NJZ001-007>010-015-017>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-211815-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-211815-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-002-NJZ016-021-211815-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-211815-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-211815-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-211815-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
211 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE THE GALE WATCH FOR ALL COASTAL WATERS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 20, 12:56 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHICaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot14 hr
Oct 20, 3:38 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIKent, New Castle, Sussex14 hr

Nearby

Fire Weather Watches in Maryland, 2008Fire Weather Watches in Delaware, 2008Every fire weather watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.