Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2008

Coastal Flood Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

September 25, 2008Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware; Atlantic County, Cape May County, Cumberland County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Sep 25, 2008, 4:44 AM EDT for Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware; Atlantic County, Cape May County, Cumberland County, New Jersey. It took effect at Sep 25, 2008, 4:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 25, 2008, 4:44 AM EDT (08:44 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 25, 2008, 4:00 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 25, 2008, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2008-09-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2008-09-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WHUS41 KPHI 250844
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
444 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

DEZ004-NJZ024-025-252100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0002.080925T1900Z-080926T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0002.080925T2000Z-080926T0100Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080926T0300Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
444 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008


...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG THE COAST AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN
MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

AT ATLANTIC CITY...NEW JERSEY...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
5:15 PM EDT.

AT CAPE MAY...NEW JERSEY...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 
5:38 PM EDT.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR...DELAWARE...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
6:30 PM EDT.

AT FENWICK ISLAND...DELAWARE...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
5:17 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS. 

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. COASTAL
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING
WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
IF THE NEED ARISES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF THAT WILL LEAD
TO STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND SOME BEACH EROSION AT LEAST INTO THIS
EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT
BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND
BEACH EROSION.

PLEASE KEEP ABREAST OF THE SITUATION...AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS AND FURTHER ISSUANCES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

$$

DEZ002-003-NJZ021>023-252100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0002.080925T1900Z-080926T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0002.080925T2000Z-080926T0100Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
444 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN MAY EXACERBATE
COASTAL FLOODING.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR...DELAWARE...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
6:30 PM EDT.

AT REEDY POINT...DELAWARE...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 9:00
PM EDT.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. RESIDENTS
IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF THE NEED
ARISES.

PLEASE KEEP ABREAST OF THE SITUATION...AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS AND FURTHER ISSUANCES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-252100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0002.080926T0000Z-080926T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080926T0000Z-080926T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
444 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO
2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO
2 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. RAINFALL MAY EXACERBATE TIDAL
FLOODING. 

AT REEDY POINT...DELAWARE...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 9:00
PM EDT.

AT PHILADELPHIA...PENNSYLVANIA...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
11:33 PM EDT.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE TIDAL DELAWARE
RIVER. PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. FIND
ANOTHER ROUTE. ALSO...MOVE YOUR VEHICLES OUT OF AREAS PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING.

PLEASE KEEP ABREAST OF THE SITUATION...AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS AND FURTHER ISSUANCES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

$$

NJZ014-026-252100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080925T2100Z-080926T0100Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080926T0300Z/
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
444 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
COAST MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

AT SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 5:31 PM
EDT.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS...NEW JERSEY...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
5:01 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS. 

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE MORE FLOOD-PRONE AREAS ALONG
THE COAST. PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. ALSO...MOVE YOUR VEHICLES OUT OF AREAS PRONE
TO TIDAL FLOODING.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF THAT WILL LEAD
TO STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND SOME BEACH EROSION AT LEAST INTO
THIS EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT
BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND
BEACH EROSION.

PLEASE KEEP ABREAST OF THE SITUATION...AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS AND FURTHER ISSUANCES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

$$

NJZ012-013-020-027-252100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080925T2100Z-080926T0100Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
444 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
COAST MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

AT SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 5:31 PM
EDT.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS...NEW JERSEY...THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
5:01 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS
AND RARITAN BAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE MORE FLOOD-PRONE AREAS. 
PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. FIND ANOTHER
ROUTE. ALSO...MOVE YOUR VEHICLES OUT OF AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING.

PLEASE KEEP ABREAST OF THE SITUATION...AND MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS AND FURTHER ISSUANCES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

$$

MPD
2 follow-up statements
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 251425
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

DEZ004-NJZ024-025-252100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080926T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.080925T2000Z-080926T0100Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION
ALONG THE COAST AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL
FLOODING.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:15 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFONT AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN
IS AT 5:38 PM EDT.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
6:30 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFONT AT FENWICK ISLAND, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:17 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND ON
DELAWARE BAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. COASTAL
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER AND 
SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF
THE NEED ARISES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF THAT WILL LEAD
TO STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND SOME BEACH EROSION AT LEAST INTO
TONIGHT. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT
BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA, PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND
BEACH EROSION.

$$

DEZ002-003-NJZ021>023-252100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.080925T2000Z-080926T0100Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE
ACTION AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

ON THE OCEANFONT AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN
IS AT 5:38 PM EDT.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
6:30 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND ON
DELAWARE BAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT.
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER AND
SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF
THE NEED ARISES.

$$

NJZ014-026-252100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080926T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080925T2100Z-080926T0100Z/
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG THE COAST MAY EXACERBATE
COASTAL FLOODING.

AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 5:31 PM
EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE
OF CONCERN IS AT 5:01 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:15 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE MORE FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG
THE COAST. PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. ALSO, MOVE YOUR VEHICLE OUT OF AREAS THAT ARE
PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF THAT WILL LEAD
TO STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND SOME BEACH EROSION AT LEAST INTO TONIGHT.
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA, PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH
EROSION.

$$

NJZ012-013-020-027-252100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080925T2100Z-080926T0100Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG THE COAST MAY EXACERBATE
COASTAL FLOODING.

AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 5:31 PM
EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE
OF CONCERN IS AT 5:01 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:15 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE MORE FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. FIND ANOTHER
ROUTE. ALSO, MOVE YOUR VEHICLES OUT OF AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING.

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-252100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080926T0000Z-080926T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. RAINFALL MAY EXACERBATE
TIDAL FLOODING.

AT REEDY POINT, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 9:02 PM
EDT.

AT PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
11:33 PM EDT.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER. PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED
ROADWAYS. FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. ALSO, MOVE YOUR VEHICLE OUT OF
AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING.

$$
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 251940
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

DEZ004-NJZ024-025-260100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080926T2200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.080925T2000Z-080926T0100Z/
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
340 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG THE COAST AS WELL AS
HEAVY RAIN MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:15 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFONT AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:38 PM EDT.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
6:30 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFONT AT FENWICK ISLAND, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:17 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND ON
DELAWARE BAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. COASTAL
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER AND
SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF
THE NEED ARISES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF THAT WILL LEAD
TO STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND SOME BEACH EROSION AT LEAST INTO
FRIDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT
BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA, PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND
BEACH EROSION.

$$

DEZ002-003-NJZ021>023-260100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.080925T2000Z-080926T0100Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
340 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN MAY
EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

ON THE OCEANFONT AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN
IS AT 5:38 PM EDT.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
6:30 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND ON
DELAWARE BAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT.
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER AND
SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF
THE NEED ARISES.

$$

NJZ014-026-260100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080926T2200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080925T2100Z-080926T0100Z/
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
340 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN
AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG
THE COAST MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 5:31 PM
EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE
OF CONCERN IS AT 5:01 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:15 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE MORE FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG
THE COAST. PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. ALSO, MOVE YOUR VEHICLE OUT OF AREAS THAT ARE
PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF THAT WILL LEAD
TO STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND SOME BEACH EROSION AT LEAST INTO
FRIDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT
BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA, PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND
BEACH EROSION.

$$

NJZ012-013-020-027-260100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080925T2100Z-080926T0100Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
340 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN
AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ENHANCED WAVE ACTION ALONG
THE COAST MAY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING.

AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 5:31 PM
EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE
OF CONCERN IS AT 5:01 PM EDT.

ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE OF
CONCERN IS AT 5:15 PM EDT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS LATER ALONG THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE MORE FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. FIND ANOTHER
ROUTE. ALSO, MOVE YOUR VEHICLE OUT OF AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING.

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-260100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.080926T0000Z-080926T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
340 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING SLOWLY FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN
AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT. RAINFALL MAY EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

AT REEDY POINT, DELAWARE, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT 9:02 PM
EDT.

AT PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA, THE HIGH TIDE OF CONCERN IS AT
11:33 PM EDT.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER. PLEASE DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED
ROADWAYS. FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. ALSO, MOVE YOUR VEHICLE OUT OF
AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Sep 25, 4:15 AM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 4:15 AM EDT, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
415 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TODAY WILL MOVE
ONSHORE IN THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION TONIGHT. THE STRONG
ONSHORE WINDS BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES WILL BRING LOTS OF MOISTURE TO OUR AREA LATER TODAY,
TONIGHT, AND FRIDAY. THE LOW WILL INTERACT WITH TROPICAL LOW
PRESSURE MOVING UP FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THE TROPICAL LOW SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD WELL OFFSHORE,
PULLING THE FIRST LOW WITH IT. THE DUO IS FORECAST TO MOVE PAST OUR
AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS MAY LINGER
SUNDAY, BUT HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD MONDAY. ANOTHER LOW
COULD HEAD IN FOR TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CIRRUS WAS EXITING ANTICYCLONICALLY FROM THE CAROLINA COASTAL LOW
EARLY THIS MORNING AND MOVING UP OVER OUR AREA. CLOUDS SHOULD BE
THICKENING AND LOWERING AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE GATHERS OVER THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION. DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD
GRADUALLY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TODAY, BUT MAY NOT GET TOO FAR NORTH
UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY OR EARLY TONIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE IS SLOWING
THINGS DOWN JUST A BIT, SO PROBABILITIES WERE LOWERED OVER CENTRAL
AND ESPECIALLY NORTHERN AREAS UNTIL THE COLUMN CAN SATURATE. THIS
WILL MEAN ONLY CHANCE POPS FOR PHILADELPHIA AND SURROUNDING CENTRAL
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FAR NORTH. FARTHER
SOUTH, THINGS GET MORE INTERESTING, AS STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW WILL
BRING BANDS OF RAIN CIRCULATING INTO THE DELMARVA LATER THIS MORNING.
NAM LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW IS STRONGER EVEN THAN THE GFS, AND THE
LATTER SHOWS 45 KNOT 925 HPA WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE DELMAR
AREA. NOT ALL OF THIS MAY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE DUE TO STABILITY
CONSIDERATIONS, BUT IT WAS FELT THAT 40 TO 45 KNOT WINDS GUSTS WILL
OCCUR AND JUSTIFY THE WIND ADVISORY. THE ALREADY-ISSUED WIND
ADVISORY NEAR THE COAST WAS EXTENDED INLAND TO OUR MARYLAND ZONES,
SAVE FOR CECIL COUNTY WHICH MAY BE A BIT TOO FAR NORTHWEST FOR THE
BEST GRADIENT. NEW CASTLE DELAWARE WAS LEFT OUT FOR THIS REASON
ALSO, BUT MAY GET CLOSE. THE WIND ADVISORY WAS SPLIT SOUTH FROM
NORTH, WITH THE SOUTHERN AREAS ENDING BEFORE OR BY MIDNIGHT, AND THE
NORTHERN AREAS ENDING BY 4 AM. MIDDLESEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY WAS
INCLUDED IN THE NORTHERN ADVISORY DUE TO THE SMALL EXPOSURE TO
RARITAN BAY, ALTHOUGH ADMITTEDLY THE GRADIENT OVER THE NORTH DOES
NOT HAVE THE PUNCH IT DOES FARTHER SOUTH.

GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES DO NOT OFFER A WHOLE LOT TO CHOOSE FROM, BUT
IT WAS DECIDED TO SIDE WITH THE SLIGHTLY WARMER ETA MOS NORTH WITH
LESS PRECIPITATION FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
RAIN SHOULD BE OVERSPREADING THE AREA EARLY IN THE TONIGHT PERIOD,
WITH SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA RECEIVING
THE MOST RAINFALL. AS INSTABILITY INCREASES PRECIPITOUSLY AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES, A MENTION OF ISOLATED THUNDER WAS ADDED TO THE
MODERATE RAIN IN THE GRIDS FOR ALL BUT THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES.
RAIN AMOUNTS SHOULD BE FAIRLY WELL DISPERSED THROUGH THE TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY PERIOD, AND WITH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES PRETTY HIGH,
AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY IN THE PAST FEW DISCUSSIONS, A FLOOD WATCH
DOES NOT SEEM WARRANTED. HOWEVER, A MENTION OF LOCALIZED POOR-
DRAINAGE FLOODING, AS WELL AS ROAD AND URBAN FLOODING, WILL BE
HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. AT THIS TIME, 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN ARE FORECAST WITH THIS STORM, WITH THE MOST OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED.

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BLEED OVER INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE TONIGHT
PERIOD SOUTH, AND PERSIST UNTIL 4 AM NORTH WHEN THE MODELS AGREE THE
BEST OF THE GRADIENT DIMINISHES. THE ADVISORY CAN ALWAYS BE
DISCONTINUED IF THE WINDS DO NOT REACH CRITERIA, OR IF THEY
SUBSIDE EARLIER THAN FORECAST, AS SOME LEEWAY WAS BUILT INTO THE
ADVISORY DUE TO UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE WEATHER FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONGER TERM CONTINUES TO BE
FAIRLY UNSETTLED WITH ANOTHER LOW, WHICH LOOKS TO HAVE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS, MOVING NORTHWARD WELL OFF THE EAST COAST FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. OUR AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER AN UPPER
TROUGH AND THE LINGERING MOISTURE AND CIRCULATION FROM THE SYSTEM
IN THE FIRST PART OF THE LONG TERM. PLENTY OF CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
SATURDAY ALONG WITH MAINLY MORNING SHOWERS.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SUNDAY AND THE BEST WEATHER OF THE LONGER
TERM WILL BE FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL ARRIVE WITH SHOWERS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK, AND CHANCE POPS ARE IN THE GRIDS
FOR THESE PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER DAYBREAK WITH
GUSTS WELL ABOVE 30 KT OVER THE TWO SOUTHERN TAF SITES AND AROUND OR
A BIT ABOVE 30 KT OVER THE DELAWARE VALLEY SITES. THIS IS THANKS TO
THE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH AND THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THE TWO NORTHWESTERN TAF SITES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE A BIT LESS WINDY. THE GUSTINESS SHOULD BEGIN TO
DIMINISH AFTER DUSK, BUT WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE
10 KT FOR THE ENTIRE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

ADVENT OF PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN DELAYED A BIT WITH THIS FORECAST
PER GUIDANCE AND RADAR TRENDS. STILL, SPOTTY MVFR CIGS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP NEAR OUR COASTLINE. WE HAD FORECAST A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
CEILINGS UNTIL RAIN ARRIVES LATE IN THE MORNING OVER THE TWO
SOUTHEASTERN SITES, LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AROUND THE DELAWARE VALLEY
AND EARLY IN THE EVENING NORTHWEST, ENDING WITH MVFR CEILINGS TOWARD
THE END OF THE 06Z TAF PERIOD AND IFR CEILINGS TOWARD THE END OF THE
12Z TAF PERIOD. THIS SLOW ONSET OF LOWER CEILINGS MAY HAVE TO BE
REVISITED, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST AND POSSIBLY OVER THE DELAWARE
VALLEY.

REGARDING VISIBILITIES, WE WERE SLOW TO BRING THEM DOWN ONCE RAIN
STARTS BECAUSE OF THE NORTHEAST COMPONENT TO THE WIND, BUT GIVEN THE
AMOUNT OF RAIN WE ARE FORECASTING THEY EVENTUALLY SHOULD DROP INTO
THE MVFR CATEGORY BY THE END OF THE 06Z TAF PERIOD AND PERHAPS TO
IFR LEVELS BY 12Z FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK...
PERIODS OF RAIN AND IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. DRY
WEATHER AND IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WAS STILL OFF THE CAROLINAS EARLY THIS MORNING. IT
REMAINS FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND SOMETIME AFTER DUSK TODAY.
A SECOND LOW NEAR HISPANIOLA STILL IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE NORTH.
BOTH LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN THE
NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES INTO THE WEEKEND, INITIALLY GENERATING
STRONG WINDS AS THE FIRST ONE INTERACTS WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
TO THE NORTH, THEN GENERATING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HIGH SEAS AFTER
THE GRADIENT RELAXES TONIGHT.

WE MAINTAIN AND EXTEND SLIGHTLY IN TIME A GALE WARNING FOR OUR
COASTAL WATERS AND FOR DELAWARE BAY. SEAS WERE CLOSE TO WAVEWATCH
EARLY THIS MORNING, AND A COMBINATION OF WAVEWATCH AND CONTINUITY
WERE USED. SEAS MAY NOT DROP BELOW THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERION UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS...
THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES TODAY, AND IT IS COVERED BY
THE CONTINUED HIGH SURF ADVISORY WITH WAVES ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE EXPECTED TO BREAK IN THE 6 TO 8 FEET RANGE.  A
FAIR AMOUNT OF BEACH EROSION IS ANTICIPATED, AS WELL.

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL DEPARTURES EARLY THIS MORNING WERE LEANING TOWARD THE HIGHER
NGM-BASED GUIDANCE, AND IF WE CONTINUE THAT TREND THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HIGH TIDES WOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING WITH SPOTTY MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING OVER THE DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTLINE AND DELAWARE BAY, WHILE SPOTTY MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING WOULD OCCUR OVER THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTLINE,
RARITAN BAY AND THE TIDAL DELAWARE. AN ADDED CONCERN COMES FROM THE
6 TO 8 FEET WAVES ALONG THE ENTIRE ATLANTIC COASTLINE, AND STILL
ANOTHER CONCERN ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION COMES FROM AFTERNOON
RAINFALL THAT WOULDNT DRAIN AROUND TIME OF HIGH TIDE. WE THEREFORE
DECIDED TO GO TO A WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTLINE, DELAWARE BAY
AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS. WE WENT TO AN ADVISORY FOR THE TIDAL
DELAWARE, AND WE ALSO ISSUED AN ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHERN COASTLINE
AND RARITAN BAY.

WHILE TIDAL DEPARTURES HAVE BEEN INCREASING ON CHESAPEAKE BAY,
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM (CBOFS) WAS RUNNING A
BIT ABOVE OBSERVED VALUES AND IT DOES NOT YET CALL FOR ANY FLOODING
ALONG THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
     FRIDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
NJ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NJZ014-
     024>026.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR NJZ012>014-020-026-027.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     NJZ012>014-020-026-027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR NJZ021>025.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NJZ021>025.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
     FRIDAY FOR NJZ016>019.
DE...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR DEZ004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR DEZ002>004.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR DEZ002>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
     FRIDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT
     FOR MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ430-431-
     452>455.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ450-451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM.../ OHARA
AVIATION...DELISI
MARINE...DELISI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...DELISI
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 25, 4:05 AM EDT, 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-260800-
CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL TOTALS OR WIND GUSTS ARE APPRECIATED.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-260800-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL TOTALS OR WIND GUSTS ARE APPRECIATED.

NJZ012-013-020-027-260800-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL TOTALS OR WIND GUSTS ARE APPRECIATED.

MDZ012-015-019-020-260800-
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL TOTALS OR WIND GUSTS ARE APPRECIATED.

NJZ015-260800-
MERCER-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF RAINFALL TOTALS OR WIND GUSTS ARE APPRECIATED.

DEZ002-003-NJZ021>023-260800-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS, RAINFALL TOTALS, OR TIDAL FLOODING
ARE APPRECIATED.

NJZ014-026-260800-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS, RAINFALL TOTALS, OR TIDAL FLOODING
ARE APPRECIATED.

DEZ004-NJZ024-025-260800-
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST WILL BRING
GUSTY WINDS AND STEADY RAINS TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AND CAUSE LOCALIZED ROAD AND POOR-DRAINAGE
FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS, RAINFALL TOTALS, OR TIDAL FLOODING
ARE APPRECIATED.

ANZ452>455-260800-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ450-451-260800-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-260800-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
405 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 25, 4:44 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHINew Castle21 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2008Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2008Every coastal flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.