Gale Warning 24, NWS New York, NY

000
WHUS71 KOKX 182045
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
445 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE WATERS...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC
COAST AND MOVES SLOWLY OFFSHORE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
LAKES WILL MOVE EAST TOWARD THE REGION.

ANZ350-353-355-191000-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081018T2200Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0024.081018T2045Z-081019T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
445 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY
BETWEEN AN APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES
AND AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE SOUTHERN
MID ATLANTIC COAST.

NE WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT AS SEAS GRADUALLY BUILD TO 5 TO
8 FT TONIGHT.

THE MAXIMUM PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY...CAUSING NE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT...WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS WITH SEAS RANGING FROM 5 TO 9 FT.

ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE TAKES CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO
DECREASE...IT MAY TAKE UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR SEAS TO SUBSIDE
BELOW 5 FT SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ345-191000-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081018T2045Z-081019T2200Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
445 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY BETWEEN AN APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT
LAKES AND AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHERN
MID ATLANTIC COAST.

NE WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 25 KNOTS AS SEAS GRADUALLY BUILD.

THE MAXIMUM PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY...CAUSING NE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
TAKES CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-191000-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081019T1000Z-081019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
445 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY BETWEEN AN APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT
LAKES AND AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHERN
MID ATLANTIC COAST.

NE WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 25 KNOTS AS SEAS GRADUALLY BUILD.

THE MAXIMUM PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY...CAUSING NE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
TAKES CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-191000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081018T2045Z-081019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
445 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY BETWEEN AN APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT
LAKES AND AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHERN
MID ATLANTIC COAST.

NE WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 25 KNOTS AS SEAS GRADUALLY BUILD TO AROUND 3 FT ON EASTERN LONG
ISLAND SOUND AND AROUND 2 FEET ON PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

THE MAXIMUM PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY...CAUSING NE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS AROUND
4 FT ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND 3 FT ON THE BAYS.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
TAKES CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KOKX 190915
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
515 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
AND MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEAST...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE COASTAL WATERS.

ANZ350-353-355-192200-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081019T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081019T2200Z-081020T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
515 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EDT MONDAY.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT AS SEAS BUILD TO
AROUND 10 FEET.

ALTHOUGH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT INTO
MONDAY...BECAUSE OF THE LARGE SIZE OF THIS OCEANIC STORM...SEAS
WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-192200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
515 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT AS SEAS BUILD TO
AROUND 5 FEET ACROSS THE EASTERN SOUND AND 2 TO 3 FEET IN THE BAYS.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES
CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-192200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081019T1000Z-081019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
515 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT AS SEAS BUILD TO
AROUND 3 FEET ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUND AND AROUND 2 FEET IN THE
HARBOR.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES
CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KOKX 192121
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
521 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
AND MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEAST...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE COASTAL
WATERS.

ANZ355-201000-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081019T2200Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081019T2121Z-081021T1000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
521 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

SUSTAINED NE WINDS AROUND 20 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT. GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 KT
BY MIDDAY MONDAY...HOWEVER SEAS WILL REMAIN UP TO 5 FT OR HIGHER
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BE IN PART DUE TO AN EAST SWELL.
SEAS WILL BEGIN AT 7 TO 10 FT TONIGHT...AND SUBSIDE BELOW 5 FT BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-192230-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
521 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE COASTAL STORM TO THE EAST AND
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST HAS LOOSENED ENOUGH SUCH THAT WIND GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 25 KT THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

ANZ350-353-201000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081020T1000Z-081021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
521 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM
EDT TUESDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL REMAIN ROUGHLY THE SAME THIS EVENING BEFORE LOOSENING
LATE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
KT ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH SEAS STARTING AT 8 TO 11 FEET AND
SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET LATE.

GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 KT BY MIDDAY MONDAY...HOWEVER
SEAS WILL REMAIN UP TO 5 FT OR HIGHER THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL BE IN PART DUE TO AN EAST SWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-201000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
521 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL REMAIN ROUGHLY THE SAME THIS EVENING BEFORE LOOSENING
LATE TONIGHT. EXPECT SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO
20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE MONDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
TAKES CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE FURTHER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KOKX 200045
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
845 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS CONTINUE...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
AND MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEAST...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE COASTAL
WATERS.

ANZ353-201200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081020T0045Z-081021T1000Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
845 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL REMAIN RATHER TIGHT BEFORE LOOSENING LATE TONIGHT.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...WITH SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET LATE.

GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 KT BY MIDDAY MONDAY...HOWEVER
SEAS WILL REMAIN UP TO 5 FT OR HIGHER THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL BE IN PART DUE TO AN EAST SWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-201200-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081020T1000Z-081021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
845 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO
6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL REMAIN RATHER TIGHT BEFORE LOOSENING LATE TONIGHT.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...WITH SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET LATE.

GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 KT BY MIDDAY MONDAY...HOWEVER
SEAS WILL REMAIN UP TO 5 FT OR HIGHER THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL BE IN PART DUE TO AN EAST SWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-201200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081021T1000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
845 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

SUSTAINED NE WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 KT WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 KT BY MIDDAY MONDAY...HOWEVER
SEAS WILL REMAIN UP TO 5 FT OR HIGHER THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL BE IN PART DUE TO AN EAST SWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-201000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
845 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL REMAIN RATHER TIGHT BEFORE LOOSENING LATE TONIGHT.
EXPECT SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE MONDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
TAKES CONTROL AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO DECREASE
FURTHER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KOKX 200959
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
559 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE TODAY...

.AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MONTAUK POINT MOVES FURTHER NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE.

ANZ350-202200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.081020T1000Z-081021T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0002.081021T2200Z-081022T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
559 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL DECREASE AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE TODAY. NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT AND SEAS NEAR 10 FEET
WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.

ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THIS AFTERNOON...THERE WILL BE A DELAY IN THE DECREASE OF
SEAS...FINALLY SUBSIDING BELOW 5 FEET BY 6 AM TUESDAY.

AS AN INTENSIFYING COLD FRONT SWEEPS SOUTHEAST...STRONG AND GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS MAY REACH GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-201100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081020T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
559 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE BELOW 25 KNOTS AS A STRONG
OCEANIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE.

$$

ANZ353-355-202200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081021T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0002.081021T2200Z-081022T1000Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
559 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW AND APPROACHING
HIGH WILL DECREASE AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE TODAY. NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT AND SEAS AROUND 8
FEET WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.

ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THIS AFTERNOON...THERE WILL BE A DELAY IN THE DECREASE OF
SEAS...FINALLY SUBSIDING BELOW 5 FEET BY 6 AM TUESDAY.

AS AN INTENSIFYING COLD FRONT SWEEPS SOUTHEAST...STRONG AND GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS MAY REACH GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
912 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL SLOWLY
MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT BEFORE DROPPING SOUTH OF THE AREA
ON MONDAY. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA
TONIGHT...DEPARTING SUNDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA ON TUESDAY...THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA
FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS. FROST
ADVISORY FOR ORANGE AND PUTNAM WERE CANCELLED FOR THIS MORNING.

HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO BUILD EAST TODAY INTO EASTERN CANADA AND
SPREADING INTO THE APPALACHIANS. MEANWHILE...LOW PRES OFF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC
WATERS. THE HIGH WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP ANY PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...BUT SOME HIGH
CLOUDS WILL BE ABLE TO STREAM NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE CWA. THEREFORE...WILL CARRY MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR
LONG ISLAND AND EASTERN CT...AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE.
SKIES CLEAR OUT TONIGHT AS THE LOW DEPARTS.

A TIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST GRADIENT WILL FORM OVER THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE CWA TODAY...AND WILL EXPECT WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND. THE REST OF THE
REGION WILL GENERALLY SEE 15 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

STRONG CAA CONTINUES OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH HIGHS A COUPLE OF
DEGREES COOLER THAN FRIDAY...GENERALLY TOPPING OFF IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. THIS IS ABOUT 5 DEGREES LOWER THAN THE SEASONAL
AVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO BUILD EAST TONIGHT WITH THE CENTER OF THE
HIGH OVER CENTRAL NY STATE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE WRINKLE IN
THE FCST IS THE HANDLING OF THE COASTAL LOW. WHILE NEITHER THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF BRING THE LOW ANYWHERE CLOSE TO THE CWA...THE NAM IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE IN THE STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW AS COMPARED TO
THE GFS/ECMWF AND IT BRING THE LOW A BIT CLOSE THAN THE OTHER TWO
MODELS. ALL THIS WOULD REALLY HAVE AN EFFECT ON IS THE GRADIENT OVER
THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA. WILL GENERALLY GO WITH A BLEND OF
THE GFS/ECMWF IN TERMS OF STRENGTH/POSITION...AND WILL CARRY THE
STRONGEST WINDS OVER LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW LONDON. NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
THESE LOCATIONS.

FOR THE REST OF THE CWA...SKIES WILL BE CLEARING OUT AND WINDS WILL
BE DIMINISHING TO 5 MPH OR LESS ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND 10-15 MPH
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL LOCATIONS. WITH DEWPOINTS DROPPING INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 20S...AND DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHERN CT...WILL EXPECT
OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR 30 FOR ORANGE COUNTY...AND IN THE LOWER 30S FOR
NORTHEAST NJ AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CT. AS A RESULT...
WILL CARRY A FREEZE WATCH FOR ORANGE COUNTY AND A FROST ADVISORY FOR
WESTERN PASSAIC...ROCKLAND...PUTNAM...NORTHERN WESTCHESTER...AND THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FAIRFIELD...NEW HAVEN AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES.
WILL NOT INCLUDE BERGEN COUNTY IN THE FROST ADVISORY B/C CONFIDENCE
IS LOW IN DEVELOPMENT OF FROST IN MORE THAN HALF OF THE COUNTY WILL
GET FROST. THINK ONLY THE NORTHERN THIRD OF BERGEN COUNTY WOULD GET
FROST...AND THIS IS NOT SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE ADVISORY.
AS FOR NORTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTY...THINK THE GRADIENT WOULD BE JUST
TIGHT ENOUGH AND WINDS JUST STRONG ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF FROST.

CLEAR SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S ON SUN...THEN MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S ON MON AS THE HIGH MOVES OVERHEAD.
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT ALONG WITH AN H5 TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA ON TUE. WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS...BUT THAT MAY END UP BEING HIGH
AS MODELS ARE SHOWING VERY LITTLE PRECIP OVER THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
H5 TROF AXIS THEN MOVES THROUGH DURING THE EVENING WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES. RIDGING AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT THEN FOLLOWS WITH DRY WEATHER. GUSTY WINDS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY WITH CAA AND PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENING BETWEEN BUILDING HIGH AND DEPARTING
STRENGTHENING LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
THE LONG TERM...BUT SHOULD AT LEAST RECOVER LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NE WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY ACROSS THE NYC METRO AREA AND
ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. THEY ARE CAUSED BY A
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTH MID ATLANTIC COAST AND
HIGH PRES OVER THE GREAT LAKES.

PLAN ON SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 KT FROM 20 TO 40 DEGS WITH GUSTS
UP TO 25 KT AT ALL METRO AREA TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST 18Z SUNDAY
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTS TO INCREASE DURING THIS TIME.

FOR TONIGHT...WINDS WILL DECOUPLE WELL N AND W OF NYC AT
KSWF...WHERE FREEZING TEMPS AND PATCHY GROUND FOG ARE LIKELY THE
RESULT OF STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING.

OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS WITH NO RESTRICTIONS TO VSBY WILL PREVAIL.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AS HIGH PRES SETTLES OVERHEAD SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE REGION...A SW
WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP LATE MONDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT MAY BRING A
BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW END VFR CIGS FOLLOWED BY STRONG AND GUSTY NW
WINDS LATE TUE INTO WED.

     ...................................................

     TAF CODE IS CHANGING NOVEMBER 5TH AT 00Z...

     PLEASE SEE...

     HTTP:/AVIATIONWEATHER.GOV/NOTICE/TAF30.PHP (LOWER CASE)

     ...................................................

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR ALL ATLANTIC OCEAN COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND
SOUND FOR SUNDAY.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY
BETWEEN AN APPROACHING HIGH PRES SYS OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND A
DEPARTING DEVELOPING LOW PRES SYS OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC
COAST.

NE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
GALE FORCE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS IS
BASED ON A FORECAST SOLUTION MUCH CLOSER TO THE GFS MODEL VS THE
NAM MODEL...WHICH IS THE MUCH STRONGER AND OUTLIER SOLUTION. SEAS
WILL REMAIN HIGH...AT LEAST 5 FT...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF HAZARDS BEGINS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ONCE AGAIN INCREASES BETWEEN A DEPARTING LOW AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. GUSTY NW WINDS ARE
FORECAST WITH OCEAN SEAS BUILDING BACK UP TO 5 FT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY INTO THE START OF THE NEW WEEK. LIGHT PRECIP POSSIBLE WITH A
COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE LAST FULL MOON WAS TUESDAY OCTOBER 14...WHICH CONTRIBUTED TO
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC SHORES OF NASSAU COUNTY
DURING THE PAST 2 MORNINGS.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS A
RESULT OF PERSISTENT NE WINDS...A LONG E FETCH AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER
THAN NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

BASED ON THE GFS FORECAST MODEL SOLUTION...TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1
TO 1.5 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE FORECAST DURING THIS TIME. ABOUT A 1.5
FT TIDAL DEPARTURE IS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.

IF THIS LOW BECOMES STRONGER AND MOVES FURTHER WEST THAN
FCST...LIKE THE NAM MODEL SHOWS...TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL BE
CONSIDERABLY HIGHER...AT LEAST 2 FT ABOVE NORMAL...WHICH WOULD
APPROACH SEVERAL MODERATE FLOOD BENCHMARKS.

WE WILL NEED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR CTZ005>007.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NYZ068>070.
     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     NYZ067.
NJ...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NJZ002.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ330-
     340.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
401 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

CTZ008>012-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>081-191000-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
401 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>007-NJZ002-NYZ069-070-191000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN PASSAIC-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
401 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ067-191000-
ORANGE-
401 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.
   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ068-191000-
PUTNAM-
401 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-191000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
401 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.