Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2008

Gale Warning 23, NWS New York, NY

September 24, 2008

NWS New York, NY issued this gale warning at Sep 24, 2008, 3:28 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 25, 2008, 5:35 AM EDT. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 24, 2008, 3:28 PM EDT (19:28 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 25, 2008, 5:35 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 26, 2008, 11:58 AM EDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

843 
WHUS71 KOKX 241928
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
328 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN EXPECTED...

.HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AND LOW PRESSURE
DEEPENING ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST WILL PRODUCE AN
INTENSIFYING NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

ANZ350-353-355-251000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-080925T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0001.080925T1000Z-080926T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0023.080925T1000Z-080926T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
328 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
KT TONIGHT...AND THEN TO GALE FORCE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

SEAS WILL RUN 6 TO 10 FT TONIGHT...THEN WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY THURSDAY. SEAS OF 11 TO 16 FT ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-251000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.080925T0400Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.A.0001.080925T2200Z-080926T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
328 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 KT LATER TONIGHT...AND THEN POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE THURSDAY
NIGHT. IN RESPONSE...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FT BY LATE
THURSDAY ON THE SOUND AND 3 TO 5 FT IN THE BAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-251000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.080925T0400Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.A.0001.080925T2200Z-080926T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
328 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 KT LATER TONIGHT...AND THEN POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE BY THURSDAY
NIGHT. IN RESPONSE...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FT BY LATE THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-251000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.080925T0400Z-080926T1000Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
328 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TO 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 KT LATE TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
097 
WHUS71 KOKX 250935
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
535 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN EXPECTED...

.HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INVERTED
TROUGH WORKING UP THE COAST WILL PRODUCE AN INTENSIFYING
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT
IN ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN...AND CHAOTIC CONDITIONS NEAR SHORE.

ANZ330-335-340-252100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0001.080925T2200Z-080926T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0023.080925T2200Z-080926T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
535 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TODAY...WILL
INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THIS
EVENING...CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. IN RESPONSE...SEAS WILL BUILD
TO 4 TO 7 FT BY TONIGHT ON THE SOUND AND 3 TO 5 FT IN THE BAYS.
CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-252100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-080925T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0023.080925T1000Z-080926T1200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
535 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
TODAY...WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT THIS
EVENING...CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FT THROUGH TODAY...AND THEN TO 12 TO
16 FT TONIGHT. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-252100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
535 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TO 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 KT TODAY...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
397 
WHUS71 KOKX 251100
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
700 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT... 
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN EXPECTED...

.HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INVERTED
TROUGH WORKING UP THE COAST WILL PRODUCE AN INTENSIFYING
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT
IN ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN...AND CHAOTIC CONDITIONS NEAR SHORE.

ANZ330-335-340-252100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0023.080925T2200Z-080926T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
700 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM
EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TODAY...
WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THIS
EVENING...CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. IN RESPONSE...SEAS WILL BUILD
TO 4 TO 7 FT BY TONIGHT ON THE SOUND AND 3 TO 5 FT IN THE BAYS.
CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-252100-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
700 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TODAY...
WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT THIS
EVENING...CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FT THROUGH TODAY...AND THEN TO
12 TO 16 FT TONIGHT. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-252100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
700 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TO 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 KT TODAY...CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
385 
WHUS71 KOKX 252104
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
504 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN EXPECTED...

.THE COMBINATION OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST WILL
RESULT IN A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
STRENGTHENING NORTHEASTERLY FLOW TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT
IN ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN...AND CHAOTIC CONDITIONS NEAR SHORE.

ANZ330-335-340-260915-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0023.080925T2200Z-080926T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
504 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THIS EVENING...CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. 
IN RESPONSE...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FT BY TONIGHT ON THE
SOUND AND 3 TO 5 FT IN THE BAYS. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-260915-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
504 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 16 FT
TONIGHT...CREATING CHAOTIC CONDITIONS IN AND AROUND
INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-260915-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
504 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
832 
WHUS71 KOKX 252216
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
616 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN EXPECTED...

.THE COMBINATION OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST WILL
RESULT IN A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
STRENGTHENING NORTHEASTERLY FLOW TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT
IN ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN...AND CHAOTIC CONDITIONS NEAR SHORE.

ANZ330-335-340-261200-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
616 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A GALE WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THIS EVENING...CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. IN
RESPONSE...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FT BY TONIGHT ON THE SOUND
AND 2 TO 4 FT IN THE BAYS. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-261200-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
616 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 16 FT TONIGHT...
CREATING CHAOTIC CONDITIONS IN AND AROUND INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-261200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
616 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
636 
WHUS71 KOKX 260930
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
530 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...GALES FORCE WINDS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THE COMBINATION OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES AND LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST IS RESULTING IN
NORTHEASTERLY GALES THIS MORNING. IN RESPONSE...ROUGH SEAS ON THE
OCEAN...AND CHAOTIC CONDITIONS NEAR SHORE ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT.

ANZ330-335-340-350-353-355-261600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
530 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL SUBSIDE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS ON THE OCEAN WILL RUN 12 TO 16 FT TODAY. ON THE
SOUND...SEAS OF 4 TO 7 FT THIS MORNING...WILL SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 4 FT
BY LATE TODAY. ON THE EASTERN BAYS...WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FT THIS
MORNING...WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 3 FT BY LATE TODAY. CHAOTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-261600-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
530 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS
MORNING...ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES OF 2 TO 3 FT THIS MORNING...WILL
SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 2 FT. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
029 
WHUS71 KOKX 261558
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1158 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...HIGH SEAS TO CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

.EASTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TRACKING
FARTHER OFFSHORE...AND LOW PRESSURE WEAKENING OVER THE CAROLINAS.
HOWEVER...HIGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN WATERS FROM BOTH
EASTERLY SWELLS GENERATED BY SEVERAL DAYS OF LONG FETCH EASTERLY
FLOW AND TOPICAL STORM KYLE SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

ANZ330-335-340-262200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0071.080926T1558Z-080926T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1158 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AND THEN DIMINISH BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-270000-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.080926T1558Z-080927T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1158 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SEAS OF 8 TO 12 FT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. CHAOTIC
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE INLETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN
SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT
UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN
IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY
CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-261700-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080926T1600Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1158 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 24, 7:22 AM EDT, 8 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 24, 7:22 AM EDT, 8 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
722 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN STATES WILL DRIFT INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE EAST THROUGH
THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST
WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST. THIS LOW WILL MOVE
SLOWLY INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND
WEAKEN. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MAY INTERACT WITH THE LOW FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN INTO THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
RIDGE OVER THE AREA SLOWLY WEAKENS TODAY AND IS HANDLED WELL BY
THE MODELS. AREA WILL REMAIN DRY AND CLOUD FREE WITH SUBSIDENCE
AND DRY ATMOSPHERE. NORTHEAST FLOW CONTINUES AND STRENGTHENS AS
INVERTED TROUGH OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST DEEPENS AND BECOMES A
CLOSED CIRCULATION. WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE JET UNDERDONE AS
NOTED LOW MAY DEEPEN FASTER AND MORE THAN INDICATED. WINDS IN THE
AREA INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO TUESDAYS AND USED A BLEND OF THE
MAV AND FWC NUMBERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WITH THE RIDGE MOVING OFF TONIGHT CLOSED UPPER AND MID LEVEL LOW
DRIFTS TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST. CLOUDS FROM THE SYSTEM BEGIN TO
FLOW NORTHWARD. SOME WARMING IN THE LOWER LEVELS MAY BE ENOUGH TO
KEEP TEMPERATURES AND FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN TUESDAY NIGHTS LOWS
AND LEANED TOWARD THE MAV AND FWC NUMBERS.

NAM A LITTLE FASTER IN BRINGING PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA
THURSDAY. GIVEN STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE HAVE GONE WITH THE SLOWER
GFS AND KEEP NORTHERN ZONES MAINLY DRY THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY COASTAL LOW MOVES ONSHORE AND SLOWLY
WEAKENS AS DISTURBANCE MOVE OUT OF THE TROPICS AND INTERACTS WITH
THE LOW. DEEP MOISTURE DEVELOPS WITH INCREASING PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES 2 TO 2 AND ONE HALF INCHES. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. RAINFALL COULD BE ENHANCED
WITH EASTERLY FLOW. MAIN STREAM RIVER FLOODING NOT LIKELY GIVEN
RECENT LONG DRY PERIOD WITH FLOOD VALUES 5 TO 8 INCHES. LOW LYING
AND URBAN FLOODING IS MORE LIKELY WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS ON EXACT DETAILS OF COASTAL LOW.
REGARDING THE FORECAST OF THIS TROPICAL LOW...HPC TRACK FORECAST
SIMILAR TO GFS/EC...WITH A POSITION SLOWER AND THUS FARTHER SOUTH
NOTED SUNDAY. LATEST GFS RUN SIMILAR TO EARLIER RUN WITH REGARD TO
LOW PRESSURE PLACEMENT...BUT WEAKER.

ALL MODELS CONTINUE WITH EASTERLY FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AS AREA
REMAINS TO THE NORTH OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. RAIN LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY
TAPER OFF SATURDAY AS THE OFFSHORE TROPICAL LOW TAKES OVER AND
PULLS AWAY. CHANCE OF RAIN CONTINUES UNTIL LAGGING UPPER TROUGH
AND WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSH EAST ACROSS THE REGION...AND THIS
WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL
END EARLY SATURDAY AS THE MAIN LOW TRACKS WELL TO THE EAST...THEN
NORTHEAST THIS WEEKEND.

ZONAL FLOW BEHIND DEPARTING TROUGH MONDAY...AND A GOOD DEAL OF
SUNSHINE EXPECTED. NEXT TROUGH MOVES OUT OF CANADA AND WILL
AMPLIFY AND POSSIBLY CLOSE OFF BY MID WEEK. THIS INDICATED BY
LATEST GFS OP RUN...AND HAS SUPPORT FROM GFS ENSEMBLE. WILL
REINTRODUCE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY...AND TIMING WOULD BE
LATER IN THE DAY AS TROUGH/FRONT APPROACHES.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT. FEW TO SCT AFTERNOON
CU THIS AFTERNOON WITH A BIT OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ROTATING AROUND
RIDGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE GULF
OF MAINE AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SE COAST...WITH WINDS
INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KT WITH A
FEW GUSTS IN THE UPPER TEENS. THIS IS TRUE MAINLY FOR COASTAL
TERMINALS. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 8 TO 12 KT RANGE ALONG
THE COASTAL STATIONS TONIGHT. KLGA AND KBDR WILL LIKELY SEE
STRONGEST WINDS...CHANNELING DOWN LI SOUND. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
LATE TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR MVFR TO IFR CONDS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY IN
RAIN WITH AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
ATLANTIC COAST. ENE WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ALONG THE COASTAL TERMINALS THURS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY EVE.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRES OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MAINE
TODAY...WHILE LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SE COAST GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS
AND MOVES NW. THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT IN BETWEEN THE TWO WILL HAVE
NE WINDS SLOWLY STRENGTHENING TODAY AND MORE SO TONIGHT...REACHING SCA
LEVELS ON THE OCEAN SEAS LATE TODAY AND THEN ALL WATERS LATER
TONIGHT. AS A RESULT SEAS ON THE OCEAN...ALREADY 6 TO 7 FT...SHOULD
BUILD TO AROUND 8 TO 11 FT TONIGHT.

AS LOW PRES CONTINUES TO RETROGRADE NW INTO SC/GA COAST TONIGHT INTO
THURS NIGHT...AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL SLIDE NORTH ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD ON THU. THIS TROUGH WILL RESULT IN A TIGHTER GRADIENT OVER
THE WATERS LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
THIS COULD INCREASE WINDS TO AROUND GALE FORCE ACROSS THE OCEAN
WATERS BY THURS MORNING...AND BETTER CHANCE THURS AFTERNOON/EVE AS A
40+ KT LLJ WORKS OVER THE WATERS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. GALE FORCE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE EASTERN SOUND AND EASTERN BAYS AS WELL
LATE THURS AFTERNOON/THURS EVE. WILL PUT UP A GALE WATCH TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS...AS CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH YET FOR A 3RD/4TH PERIOD
GALE WARNING. REMAINDER OF THE WATERS WILL SEE STRONG SCA CONDS.

SEAS ON THE OCEAN WILL LIKELY BE BUILDING TO AROUND 14 TO 16 FT ON
THE OCEAN BY THURS EVE...AND SEAS ON THE SOUND COULD EVEN BUILD OVER
5 FT BY THAT SAME TIME.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THURS INTO FRI WITH
WAVE PERIOD INCREASING. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO LIKELY
EXIST.

FORECAST GETS A BIT MORE UNCERTAIN FRI INTO SAT...IN REGARDS TO
INTERACTION OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING N FROM THE TROPICS. EXACT
PLACEMENT OF INVERTED TROUGH WILL BE IMPORTANT AS WELL. IT APPEARS
THAT THE NE FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE INVERTED
TROUGH REMAINS JUST SE OF THE WATERS.

WINDS SHOULD FALL BACK DOWN TO SCA LEVELS AT LEAST TEMPORARILY LATE
THURS NIGHT INTO FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLIDES OFF INTO
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...WEAKENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. THEN WILL HAVE
TO SEE HOW POTENT THE SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT APPROACHES IS.

NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW CONTINUES FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY
CONTINUES...AND SEAS WILL REMAIN QUITE ROUGH INITIALLY. A GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT SHOULD OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
TO THE EAST DEPARTS...AND PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS CONSIDERABLY.
SEAS WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO RESPOND...BUT WILL IMPROVE AS THE
WEEKEND PROGRESSES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. RAINFALL WILL VARY FROM AS LITTLE AS ONE HALF
TO ONE INCH ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWESTERN ZONES...TO 2 TO 3 INCHES
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND FOR
THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE...AND
LOW LYING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...FROM NEW YORK CITY AND EAST. FLASH
FLOODING IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE LOW
OFFSHORE.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS NEW
MOON APPROACHES. WITH A PROLONGED EASTERLY FETCH...AND AN INCREASING
FLOW ESPECIALLY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...TIDAL
DEPARTURES WILL BE INCREASING. BY THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT THE COMBINATION OF ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
AND TIDAL DEPARTURES MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING ALONG THE SHORES OF WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NY
HARBOR...THE WESTERN SOUTH SHORE AND PECONIC/GARDINERS BAY. WINDS
SHOULD TURN A BIT MORE NE LATER THURS NIGHT INTO FRI...BUT SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREA ONCE AGAIN WITH
FRI MORNING HIGH TIDE.

WITH THE PERSISTENT E/NE FLOW AND INCREASINGLY ROUGH SURF...WOULD
EXPECT SOME EROSION AND OVER-WASH ISSUES AS WELL.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ335-338-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR ANZ330-340.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ350-353-
     355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MET
NEAR TERM...MET
SHORT TERM...MET
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...NV
MARINE...NV
HYDROLOGY...MET
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 24, 4:20 AM EDT, 11 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

CTZ005>008-NJZ002>005-011-NYZ067>070-251000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>074-078-079-251000-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A PERSISTENT EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TIDAL
DEPARTURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE SOUTH SHORE OF NEW
YORK CITY AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND IS POSSIBLE DURING THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLES.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ASSOCIATED
WITH A LOW OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST...COULD PRODUCE URBAN
FLOODING AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ075>077-080-081-251000-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A PERSISTENT EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TIDAL
DEPARTURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE SOUTH SHORE OF NEW
YORK CITY AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND IS POSSIBLE DURING THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLES. IN ADDITION...HIGH SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE OCEAN BEACHES. THE HIGH SURF WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EROSION AND OVER-WASH ISSUES.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ASSOCIATED
WITH A LOW OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST...COULD PRODUCE URBAN
FLOODING AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ335-338-345-251000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK
HARBOR...AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-355-251000-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A PERSISTENT AND STRENGTHENING EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED.
GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS A RESULT THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 10...TO AS HIGH AS 16 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-340-251000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A PERSISTENT EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TIDAL
DEPARTURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG THE COAST OF PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE INCREASING EAST TO
NORTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO
AS HIGH AS 6 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 24, 4:09 AM EDTGale WatchOKX25 hr
Sep 24, 3:45 PM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryOKXKings, Suffolk5 days
Sep 24, 4:00 PM EDTMarine Weather StatementOKX38 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2008Every gale warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.