Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS New York, NY

000 
WGUS71 KOKX 150313 RRA
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1113 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NYC059-150323-
/O.EXP.KOKX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080615T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NASSAU NY-
1113 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1115 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NASSAU COUNTY...

LAT...LON 4059 7374 4061 7374 4067 7373 4073 7372
      4074 7370 4080 7373 4080 7368 4063 7366
      4062 7367 4060 7367 4058 7369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 277DEG 17KT 4061 7312 4049 7313

$$

MET

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
733 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA THIS EVENING AND PASS OVER
THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...HOWEVER ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
THEN PARK ITSELF OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS
THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...PRIMARILY NORTH AND WEST OF NEW YORK
CITY. ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST INTO THE RIDGE
AXIS...BUT THIS PROTECTION WILL WEAKEN TOWARD EVENING AS IT FLATTENS
OUT. SBCAPES HAVE INCREASED INTO THE RANGE OF GENERALLY 1000-2000
J/KG (MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF OF THE CITY)...WITH LIFTED INDICES OF
0 TO -2 (AGAIN...MAINLY NW). NOT MUCH SHEAR EXPECTED WITH 20 KT OR
WEAKER FLOW ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE UP THROUGH 500 MB. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES WITH THE RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE LOW...WITH
PWATS INCREASING TO ALMOST 2 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. SO...DO NOT
EXPECT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER...BUT ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DUMP HEAVY RAINS. SLOWER-MOVING
PULSE SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY TYPE OF SEVERE WX
SHOULD IT HAPPEN. WET BULB ZEROES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE RANGE OF
11-12 KFT...SO LARGE HAIL STILL A THREAT.

THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE CWA...WITH BOTH THE
NAM AND GFS DEVELOPING A WEAK LOW ALONG THE FRONT AS IT PASSES
THROUGH. TIMING OF FRONTAL PASSAGE APPEARS TO BE SHORTLY BEFORE
MIDNIGHT FOR WESTERNMOST SPOTS...TO 12Z SUNDAY MORNING OUT EAST.
EXPECT THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT RATHER THAN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH
MORE FORCING OVER THE AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO
THE MIDDLE 60S TO NEAR 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A FEW REMAINING SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER THE CWA EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH THE THREAT OF RAIN COMING TO AN END BY NOON. SKIES
WILL CLOUDY TO START...HOWEVER SOME CLEARING CAN BE EXPECTED BY
AFTERNOON. TRIED TO STAY MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS FOR SUNDAY. NAM
SEEMS TO BE HOLDING ONTO THE PRECIPITATION A BIT TOO LONG. THEREFORE
STUCK SOMEWHAT CLOSE THE THE MAV AND FWC NUMBERS FOR SUNDAY HIGHS.
HIGHS SHOULD TOP OFF INT HE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. WE COULD SEE A
FEW MID 80 TEMPS IN AND AROUND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY WHERE IT IS
USUALLY A BIT WARMER. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A DEVELOPING 500 MB CUTOFF LOW WILL SINK SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA INTO
THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A MORE
UNSETTLED PATTERN AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK AS WEAK
SHORTWAVES ROTATE AROUND THE LOW. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF A FRONT MONDAY NIGHT. THERE MAY BE A
FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS A PRE-FRONTAL TROF MAY DEVELOP. WILL GO AHEAD AND
CONTINUE WITH CHANCE AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND GO
LEAN TOWARDS HIGHER POPS FOR MONDAY NIGHT. FOLLOWED MAV MOS FOR THE
HIGH TEMPS. THE THREAT OF SHOWERS CONTINUE ON TUESDAY AS WE REMAIN
IN THIS UNSETTLED PATTERN.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GOOD GENERAL CONSENSUS AMONG THE MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES THAT A
CUTOFF LOW EVOLVING TO A DEEP TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN US FOR
THE MIDDLE TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS IS A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS
PATTERN FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH THE 12Z GEFS SHOWING NEGATIVE
HEIGHT ANOMALY OF A BIT OVER 3.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL
WITH THIS SYSTEM. WHILE THERE IS A DEGREE OF A CONSENSUS THAT THE
TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO LIFT OUT BY SATURDAY...EXPERIENCE AND ONGOING
RESEARCH HAS SHOWN THAT THERE IS SMALLER THAN USUAL MODEL SKILL AT
PREDICTING THE EXACT DETAILS (PLACEMENT...STRENGTH...MOVEMENT) OF
CUT OFF LOWS IN THE EXTENDED...SO NOT HIGHLY CONFIDENT IN THAT.

HAVE THE HIGHEST DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN THAT GIVEN SOLID
INDICATIONS OF BELOW NORMAL HEIGHTS...WILL HAVE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES (ESPECIALLY FOR HIGHS...WHETHER LOWS ARE BELOW NORMAL
DEPENDS ON HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER THERE IS AT NIGHT...AND THAT IS
SOMETHING WHICH IS NOT A HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST THIS FAR OUT...SO
STAYED CLOSE TO MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN THERE). ALSO WOULD EXPECT ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS UNDERNEATH THE COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CUT OFF (DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE IS CAUGHT UNDER THE
CUTOFF...AND HOW STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE)...SO RUN
CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE PERIOD. I WILL STRESS
HERE...THAT THIS IS NOT A WASHOUT TYPE OF PATTERN IN GENERAL (LACK
OF CONTINUOUS FLOW OF MOISTURE FROM ATLANTIC/GULF)...AND THAT MOST
OF THE TIME IN ANY GIVEN DAY AND LOCATION IT WILL BE DRY...JUST THAT
THE NATURE OF THIS PATTERN HISTORICALLY SAYS THERE WILL BE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM TIME TO TIME (I.E. FAR MORE MISS THAN HIT
WITH THIS SORT OF PATTERN).

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
TERMINALS...ENDING ABOUT 08Z WEST AND 12Z EAST AS A WEAK COLD FROM
MOVES INTO THE REGION. VFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME
MVFR IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED IFR
VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. SMALL HAIL
IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...MAINLY
FROM NEW YORK CITY AND WEST.

CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT AND
REMAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO
THE AREA. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOCAL MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATTERN WILL BECOME UNSETTLED THIS WEEK
AS UPPER LEVEL LOW SINKS OVER THE REGION FROM SOUTHERN CANADA.
EXPECT LOW END VFR OR MVFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST.

&&

.MARINE...
A WEAKENING FRONT MOVES APPROACHES THE AREA WATERS TONIGHT AND
CROSSES THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT IN THE VICINITY OF LONG ISLAND...BRINGING AN
INCREASED THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION TO THE
PRECIPITATION...WINDS WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY...THEN MORE
NORTHERLY BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS. A
N/NW FLOW WILL PREVAIL ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. REGARDLESS...THE FLOW WILL BE WEAK WITH WINDS AND SEAS
REMAINING BELOW SCA.

A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
AHEAD OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE WATERS ON TUESDAY. SCA CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE ON THE OCEAN WATERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AFTER SOME GUSTY WEST WINDS TO NEAR SCA
LEVELS TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...EXPECT WINDS TO
DIMINISH TO 5-10 KT BY THU MORNING...THEN BACK TO THE SW-S BY LATE
THURSDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE SEAS FALLING TO WELL BELOW SCA LEVELS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. EXPECT WEST WINDS GENERALLY 5-10 KT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE ON AVERAGE
AROUND A THIRD OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL. THERE MAY HOWEVER BE ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS AS THUNDERSTORM CELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE RELATIVELY SLOWLY. LOCAL URBAN FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IS THEREFORE A POSSIBILITY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY
PRODUCE BETWEEN A QUARTER AND A HALF INCH OF RAIN. ALSO...IF
THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...WE COULD SEE SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
446 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>077-152100-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
446 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION IN A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. THESE STORMS ARE SLOW MOVING AND WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED...URBAN FLOODING OR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD FOLLOW STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES FOR REPORTING
WEATHER.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ007-008-011-012-NYZ078>081-152100-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
446 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE STORMS ARE SLOW MOVING AND
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED...URBAN FLOODING OR POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING WILL BE A POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-152100-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
446 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WATERS THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
723 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NJZ003>006-011-150015-
BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
723 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BERGEN...ESSEX...HUDSON...
NORTHERN UNION AND PASSAIC COUNTIES...

AT 720 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HAWTHORNE TO UNION
TO FLORHAM PARK TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF BEATTYESTOWN...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM PATERSON TO MILLBURN TO EAST HANOVER TO 16 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SUCCASUNNA-KENVIL...AND MOVING EAST AT 14 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR RIDGEWOOD BY 730 PM.
  NEAR PASSAIC BY 735 PM.
  NEAR NEWARK BY 740 PM.
  NEAR LYNDHURST BY 745 PM.
  NEAR ORADELL BY 750 PM.
  NEAR TETERBORO BY 755 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
750 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

CTZ005>007-009-010-NYZ071>073-077-150045-
BRONX-NASSAU-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN
MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW
HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
750 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...FAIRFIELD...MIDDLESEX...
NEW HAVEN...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...NORTHWESTERN NASSAU AND SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 745 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERBURY TO ORANGE
TO TRUMBULL TO DARIEN TO RYE TO RIVERDALE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM WATERBURY TO NEW HAVEN TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF BRIDGEPORT TO
NORWALK TO RYE TO EAST TREMONT...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
820 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NJZ003-006-NYZ071>078-080-150115-
BERGEN-BRONX-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NASSAU-NEW YORK
(MANHATTAN)-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-QUEENS-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-
820 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...HUDSON...KINGS
(BROOKLYN)...NASSAU...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...QUEENS...RICHMOND
(STATEN ISLAND)...SOUTHEASTERN BERGEN...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER AND
SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 815 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CITY ISLAND TO
CEDARHURST TO BAY RIDGE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEW ROCHELLE
TO WOODMERE TO FLATBUSH...AND MOVING EAST AT 23 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WOODMERE BY 825 PM.
  NEAR RYE BY 830 PM.
  NEAR LYNBROOK BY 835 PM.
  NEAR BROOKVILLE BY 840 PM.
  NEAR HICKSVILLE BY 845 PM.
  NEAR FARMINGDALE BY 850 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
831 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NJZ003>006-011-NYZ072>076-150130-
BERGEN-BRONX-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NEW YORK
(MANHATTAN)-QUEENS-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-UNION-
831 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...ESSEX...HUDSON...KINGS
(BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...PASSAIC...QUEENS...RICHMOND
(STATEN ISLAND)...SOUTHEASTERN BERGEN AND UNION COUNTIES...

AT 828 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FAIRFIELD TO UNION
TO 8 MILES WEST OF RARITAN TO 14 MILES WEST OF YARDLEY...OR ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM CALDWELL TO MILLBURN TO 10 MILES WEST OF
SOMERVILLE TO 16 MILES WEST OF MORRISVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 23
MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR NEWARK BY 845 PM.
  NEAR PATERSON BY 850 PM.
  NEAR RUTHERFORD BY 855 PM.
  NEAR JERSEY CITY BY 900 PM.
  NEAR HACKENSACK BY 905 PM.
  NEAR BERGENFIELD BY 910 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
844 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NYZ078>081-150145-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK-SOUTHWEST
SUFFOLK-
844 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SUFFOLK COUNTY...

AT 841 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PORT JEFFERSON TO PORT JEFFERSON TO RONKONKOMA...AND MOVING EAST AT
13 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR PORT JEFFERSON BY 850 PM.
  NEAR PORT JEFFERSON BY 855 PM.
  NEAR PATCHOGUE BY 900 PM.
  NEAR CORAM BY 905 PM.
  NEAR MEDFORD BY 915 PM.
  NEAR MIDDLE ISLAND BY 920 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
858 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>077-150200-
BERGEN-BRONX-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NASSAU-NEW
YORK (MANHATTAN)-QUEENS-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-UNION-
858 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...ESSEX...HUDSON...KINGS
(BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...NORTHEASTERN UNION...PASSAIC...
QUEENS...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...SOUTHEASTERN BERGEN...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER AND SOUTHWESTERN NASSAU COUNTIES...

AT 853 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BLOOMFIELD TO
BAYONNE...AND MOVING EAST AT 24 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR PASSAIC BY 905 PM.
  NEAR CONEY ISLAND BY 910 PM.
  NEAR TETERBORO BY 915 PM.
  NEAR ROCKAWAY BEACH BY 920 PM.
  NEAR FORT LEE BY 925 PM.
  NEAR JACKSON HEIGHTS BY 930 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 40
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT