Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Nashville, TN

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 111244
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
743 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008

TNC049-133-137-111253-
/O.EXP.KOHX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080511T1245Z/
OVERTON TN-FENTRESS TN-PICKETT TN-
743 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PICKETT...NORTHERN FENTRESS
AND NORTHERN OVERTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 745 AM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE WEAKENING. HOWEVER...WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH 
WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. 

LAT...LON 3662 8487 3647 8479 3626 8542 3644 8550
      3648 8547 3650 8540 3649 8539 3651 8538
      3664 8500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1243Z 249DEG 40KT 3650 8506

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
339 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008

.DISCUSSION...

CONVECTION HAS PRETTY MUCH ENDED THIS MORNING...WITH REGIONAL
RADAR SHOWING ONLY A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING THE MID-STATE. WEST WINDS ARE PUSHING DRY
AIR INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE...AND THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE IF
ANY CU DEVELOPMENT. THE SURFACE LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR TONIGHTS
ACTION IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER WEST-CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK JUST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE IN SPEED BY THE LATE
MORNING. AM EXPECTING WIND GUSTS TO REACH 40 MPH AT THE SURFACE AS
NAM/GFS WIND FIELDS INDICATE 925MB WIND SPEEDS OF 35KTS TO
40KTS...AND HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA. THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL SEE WINDY CONDITIONS AS
WELL...BUT AM ONLY EXPECTING GUSTS TO REACH 30MPH TO MAYBE 35MPH.

AFTER TONIGHT...UPPER RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDE OVER
THE MID-SOUTH ALLOWING FOR GUSTY WINDS TO DIMINISH BY MON NIGHT.
WARM AIR ADVECTION BEGINS MON NIGHT AS A RETURN FLOW SETS UP BY
TUE MORNING...AND NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS
TO BE TUE EVENING FOR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA NEAR THE
TENNESSEE RIVER...AND INTO TUE NIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
PORTIONS. MODELS INDICATE UPPER TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
FROM TEXAS TO ILLINOIS...ALLOWING FOR A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES TO
KEEP TRACKING INTO THE AREA. EXACT TIMING IS UNCERTAIN RIGHT
NOW...BUT EXPECT CHANCES FOR RAIN TO CONTINUE INTO FRI. 00Z ECMWF
ACTUALLY DEPICTS A LESSER PROBABILITY OF RAIN AS IT PUSHES A COLD
FRONT THROUGH...BUT WILL SEE HOW THAT PANS OUT WITH LATER RUNS OF
THE GFS AND UKMET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      66  48  70  48 /  30  10   0   0
CLARKSVILLE    63  45  70  45 /  20  10   0   0
CROSSVILLE     64  45  63  45 /  30  10  10  10
COLUMBIA       68  47  72  48 /  30  10   0   0
LAWRENCEBURG   70  47  73  48 /  10  10   0   0
WAVERLY        65  46  71  47 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR TNZ005>011-022>034-057-059-062>066.

&&

LAROSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-121030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DEKALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
530 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE MID STATE TODAY AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER IN
THE WEEK.

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