Severe Thunderstorm Warning 108, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
324 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWING SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL NORTH OF THE MID-
STATE THIS MORNING...WITH A FEW CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE CWA.
AIRMASS AHEAD OF BOUNDARIES REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE WITH BAND OF SHOWERS/
STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HOLDING TOGETHER ACROSS THE AREA. ALOFT...
WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO BRINGS SERIES OF IMPULSES DOWN ACROSS
THE REGION.

AIRMASS PROGGED TO REMAIN UNSTABLE TODAY AS UPPER IMPULSES CONTINUE TO
RIDE DOWN ACROSS THE AREA. SFC/LL BOUNDARY WILL MAKE SLOW PUSH SOUTH
AND SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN PARAMETERS
AND UPSTREAM TRENDS...TSTM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY WITH CHANCE FOR LOCALLY SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUING AS WELL.

BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
AIRMASS MAY STABILIZE SOME NORTH TONIGHT BUT OVERALL WILL REMAIN PLENTY
UNSTABLE FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT TO CONTINUE. MODELS CURRENTLY PROGGING
ANOTHER MCS-TYPE CLUSTER TO CLIP SOUTHWEST MIDDLE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY. WHILE BULK OF CONVECTION LOOKS TO BE SOUTH...ISOLATED-
SCATTERED TSTMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CWA.

SHWR/TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MINIMAL MONDAY NIGHT INTO THE LATTER PART
OF THE WORK-WEEK AS WEAK UPPER RIDGING SLOWLY BUILDS. HIGHER POPS AT THIS
POINT GENERALLY EAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      85  67  87  68 /  50  20  20  10
CLARKSVILLE    84  65  86  67 /  30  20  20  10
CROSSVILLE     78  60  81  64 /  60  20  10  10
COLUMBIA       84  67  86  68 /  50  20  20  10
LAWRENCEBURG   85  67  85  68 /  50  20  30  10
WAVERLY        85  66  86  68 /  30  20  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
508 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-021030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DEKALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
508 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA TODAY AND POSSIBLY EARLY TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT REMAINS
LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY BUT MAINLY
ACROSS THE WEST. AGAIN...THE MAIN THREAT REMAINS LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

07

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1203 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

TNZ056>058-093-011800-
HICKMAN-LEWIS-PERRY-WAYNE-
1203 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE AFFECTING HICKMAN...LEWIS...PERRY AND
WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 1158 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LINDEN...MOVING EAST AT 13 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN LEWIS...SOUTHERN PERRY AND
SOUTHWESTERN HICKMAN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF LINDEN...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

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