Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 7, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

October 9, 200811 counties in California

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this red flag warning at Oct 9, 2008, 4:57 AM PDT for 11 counties in California. It took effect at Oct 9, 2008, 6:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 5 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2008, 4:57 AM PDT (11:57 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 9, 2008, 6:00 PM PDT
Expired
Oct 14, 2008, 11:00 AM PDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

Counties Alameda County, CA, City and County of San Francisco, CA, Contra Costa County, CA, Marin County, CA, Monterey County, CA, Napa County, CA, San Benito County, CA, San Mateo County, CA, Santa Clara County, CA, Santa Cruz County, CA, Sonoma County, CA

The radar

The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Oakland, CA (KOAK), launched 00:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Oakland, CA at 00:00Z on 2008-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Oakland, CA at 00:00Z on 2008-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -17 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2521 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS86 KMTR 091157
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
457 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY THROUGH 6 PM
SATURDAY FOR THE ENTIRE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY REGION...

.A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THURSDAY
EVENING BRINGING STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE REGION.

CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-092200-
/O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0006.081010T0100Z-081012T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0007.081010T0100Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
457 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM PDT
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM PDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH INCREASING NORTH RIDGE
TOP WINDS AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT. NORTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT WILL
BE GENERALLY 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ALONG THE NORTH
COAST AND IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS. ALTHOUGH THE COLD
FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES
THE WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG
AND GUSTY...EVEN IN THE VALLEYS.

ON FRIDAY A SECONDARY SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE REGION WITH GUSTY
NORTH WINDS CONTINUING DURING THE DAY...ALTHOUGH THEY MAY EASE FOR
A TIME. BY FRIDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE AS AN
UPPER LEVEL JET PASSES OVER THE BAY AREA. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHEAST IN DIRECTION ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH AND FREQUENT GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH AND
EAST BAY HILLS. EVEN WITH COLD TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITIES
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE
WEATHER SITUATION.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL PEAK SATURDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY EASE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE STATE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
15 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 092203
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
303 PM PDT THU OCT 9 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM
SATURDAY FOR THE ENTIRE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY REGION...

.A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING
BRINGING STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE REGION.

CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-101300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.081010T0100Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
303 PM PDT THU OCT 9 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM PDT SATURDAY...

NORTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP 
TO 50 MPH ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS.
ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER HUMIDITIES THE WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE
EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG AND GUSTY...EVEN IN THE VALLEYS.

ON FRIDAY A SECONDARY SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE REGION WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS CONTINUING DURING THE DAY...ALTHOUGH THE WINDS MAY EASE FOR A
TIME. BY FRIDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE AS AN UPPER
LEVEL JET PASSES OVER THE BAY AREA. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHEAST
IN DIRECTION ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH AND FREQUENT GUSTS TO 45 MPH. LOCAL WIND
GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY
HILLS. EVEN WITH COLD TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
SITUATION.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL PEAK SATURDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY EASE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE STATE AND WARM
TEMPERATURES RETURN.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 101207
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
507 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE ENTIRE SAN
FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY REGION...


CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-102200-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
507 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SATURDAY. 

ON FRIDAY A SECONDARY SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE REGION WITH GUSTY
NORTH WINDS CONTINUING DURING THE DAY...ALTHOUGH THE WINDS MAY
EASE FOR A TIME. BY FRIDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE
AS AN UPPER LEVEL JET PASSES OVER THE BAY AREA. WINDS WILL BECOME
MORE NORTHEAST IN DIRECTION ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH AND FREQUENT GUSTS TO
45 MPH. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS. EVEN WITH COLD TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER
HUMIDITIES WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE A POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL PEAK SATURDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY EASE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE STATE AND WARM
TEMPERATURES RETURN.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 102149
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
249 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE ENTIRE
SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY REGION...

CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-110430-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
249 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SATURDAY. 

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING
AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH NORTHERLY SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE HILLS WHERE LOCAL GUSTS OF 45
TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE NORTH
AND EAST BAY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH MODERATE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CONTINUE
TO CREATE A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION.

WINDS WILL EASE BY MID-MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THEY SWITCH TO A DRIER NORTHEAST...OR
OFFSHORE WIND DIRECTION.

LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT VERY DRY AIR WITH MODERATE OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS. FUTURE RED
FLAG WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS.

OTHERWISE WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY AS THE STRONGEST WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 110313
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
813 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE ENTIRE
SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA AND MONTEREY BAY AREA...

CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-111400-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
813 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
THE ENTIRE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA AND MONTEREY BAY AREA...

STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS
THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
INTO SATURDAY. NORTHERLY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. STRONGEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE IN THE HILLS WHERE LOCAL GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY.
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION.

WINDS WILL EASE BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THEY SWITCH TO A DRIER NORTHEAST
DIRECTION.

LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT VERY DRY AIR WITH MODERATE OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS. RED
FLAG WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND SATURDAY FOR
THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS.

OTHERWISE WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY AS THE STRONGEST WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$

DYKEMA
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 111126
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
426 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE ENTIRE
SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA AND MONTEREY BAY AREA...

CAZ507-511-512-517-518-120000-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081013T0000Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
426 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS AROUND THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY
BAY REGION.

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY
REGION THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY
COOL...THE DRY CONDITIONS AND HIGH FUEL LEVELS COMBINED WITH THE
GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$

CAZ006-505-506-508>510-513-516-528>530-120000-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-
SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
426 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS AROUND THE SAN FRANCISCO AND
MONTEREY BAY REGION.

STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS
THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS. NORTHERLY SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL WITH
MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL
CONTINUE TO CREATE A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION.

LIGHTER WINDS BY THIS EVENING WILL HELP TO LOWER THE FIRE DANGER.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 112102
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
202 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...DRY AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAN
FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS THROUGH MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS EXTENDED
UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY...

.BRISK NORTH WINDS CONTINUED ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND THE AIRMASS WAS BECOMING DRIER. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DECREASE IN THE VALLEYS THIS EVENING...BUT REMAIN LOCALLY
STRONG AND GUSTY IN THE HILLS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES IN THE
HILLS WILL BE POOR TONIGHT. WINDS WILL EASE IN THE HILLS FROM
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY SOUTHWARD BY LATE SUNDAY. BUT LOCALLY STRONG AND
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE NORTH AND
EAST BAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...VERY LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY
HILLS ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

CAZ507-511-120100-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T0000Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
202 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS...

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS IS NOW IN
EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY.

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE
AT TIMES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH AND EAST BAY
HILLS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY
COOL AT THE PRESENT TIME...THE DRY FUELS COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. WINDS WILL
BE STRONGEST DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS AND NIGHTTIME
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY POOR...ESPECIALLY ON
SUNDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM THROUGH
MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...WINDS COULD INCREASE YET AGAIN ON MONDAY NIGHT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

CAZ006-505-506-508>510-513-516-528>530-120100-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-
SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
202 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS OF THE SAN FRANCISCO AND
MONTEREY BAY AREAS...

AT 1 PM SATURDAY AFTERNOON NORTH WINDS WERE GUSTING AS HIGH AS 25
MPH AT LOCATIONS NEAR SEA LEVEL IN THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY
BAY AREAS. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAD DROPPED
TO AROUND 20 PERCENT...AND LOCALLY AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT. BREEZY
AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS
FIRE WEATHER SITUATION.

LIGHTER WINDS BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL HELP TO LOWER THE FIRE DANGER.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

CAZ512-517-518-120100-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081013T0000Z/
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
202 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY AND SAN
BENITO COUNTIES...

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE
ABOVE 1000 FEET IN THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND IN THE MOUNTAINS
OF MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY COOL...GUSTY WINDS...DECREASING RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES...AND VERY DRY FUELS WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION INTO SUNDAY.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LOWER THE FIRE DANGER. HOWEVER...WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

DYKEMA
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 120053
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
553 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...DRY AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS THROUGH
MONDAY...

.BRISK NORTH WINDS CONTINUED ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND THE AIRMASS WAS BECOMING DRIER. WINDS WERE
DECREASING IN THE VALLEYS AND NEAR THE COAST LATE IN THE 
AFTERNOON...BUT REMAINED LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY IN THE HILLS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES IN THE HILLS WILL BE POOR TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL EASE IN THE HILLS FROM SANTA CRUZ COUNTY SOUTHWARD BY
LATE SUNDAY. BUT LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF HUMIDITY
RECOVERY IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS ON SUNDAY
NIGHT.

CAZ006-505-506-508>510-513-516-528>530-120200-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081012T0100Z/
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-
SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
553 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS OF THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS...

WINDS HAD BEGUN TO EASE AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN
FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS LATE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...THE
RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM.

$$

CAZ512-517-518-121400-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081013T0000Z/
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
553 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY AND SAN
BENITO COUNTIES FOR BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE
ABOVE 1000 FEET IN THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND IN THE MOUNTAINS
OF MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY COOL...GUSTY WINDS...DECREASING RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES...AND VERY DRY FUELS WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION INTO SUNDAY.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LOWER THE FIRE DANGER. HOWEVER...WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

CAZ507-511-121400-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T0000Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
553 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS FOR STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE
AT TIMES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH AND EAST BAY
HILLS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY
COOL AT THE PRESENT TIME...THE DRY FUELS COMBINED WITH STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS AND
NIGHTTIME HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY POOR...
ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
WARM THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE BY LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS COULD INCREASE YET AGAIN ON MONDAY
NIGHT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

DYKEMA
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 121224
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
524 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...DRY AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS THROUGH
MONDAY...

.BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ALL HIGHER
ELEVATION LOCATIONS IN OUR AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER THAT
POINT...THE SURFACE GRADIENT AND WIND SPEEDS ALOFT WILL BOTH START
TO SLOWLY DIMINISH. THIS WILL HELP TO LOWER THE FIRE DANGER FIRST
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SANTA CRUZ...MONTEREY...AND SAN
BENITO COUNTIES. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN ON SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT PRIMARILY IN THE HILLS OF THE NORTH
AND EAST BAY. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVELY WARMER AND
DRIER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

CAZ512-517-518-130000-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081013T0000Z/
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
524 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF
MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES FOR BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE
ABOVE 1000 FEET IN THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND IN THE MOUNTAINS
OF MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY COOL...GUSTY WINDS...DECREASING
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND VERY DRY FUELS WILL COMBINE TO
CREATE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LOWER THE FIRE DANGER. HOWEVER...WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

CAZ507-511-130000-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T0000Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
524 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS FOR STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS LOCALLY ABOVE 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE
AT TIMES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH AND EAST BAY
HILLS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY
COOL AT THE PRESENT TIME...THE DRY FUELS COMBINED WITH STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS AND
NIGHTTIME HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY POOR...
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM
THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE BY LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS COULD INCREASE YET AGAIN ON MONDAY
NIGHT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$


DYKEMA/BELL
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 122224
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
324 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTH AND EAST
BAY HILLS THROUGH MONDAY...

.BRISK NORTH WINDS CONTINUED IN THE HILLS OF THE NORTH AND EAST
BAY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WERE OCCURRING.
IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAD DROPPED INTO THE TEENS...AND
AS LOW AS THE SINGLE DIGITS. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND VERY POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED.
THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE IN THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY AND
SAN BENITO COUNTIES THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

CAZ512-517-518-122330-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081013T0000Z/
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
324 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS CANCELLED
THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND MOUNTAINS OF
MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES.

DRY AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUED IN THE SANTA CRUZ
MOUNTAINS AND MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN
THESE AREAS THIS EVENING AND REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT TONIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...BUT WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN LIGHT.

$$

CAZ507-511-131300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T0000Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
324 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS FOR BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE IN THE HILLS OF THE NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH TONIGHT
AND WELL INTO MONDAY. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
REMAIN LOW...IN THE TEENS DURING THE DAY WITH VERY LITTLE
RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF VERY DRY FUELS AND GUSTY
DRY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
SITUATION. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP SOMEWHAT ON MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BUT AT THIS TIME WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING BEYOND
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

DYKEMA
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 131224
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
524 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTH AND EAST
BAY HILLS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUED IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AT 5 AM PDT WIND GUSTS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH WERE OCCURRING. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAINED VERY LOW OVERNIGHT...IN THE TEENS AND 20S. BREEZY
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 

CAZ507-511-140000-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T0000Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
524 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS FOR LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS...

NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE IN THE HILLS OF THE NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN LOW...IN
THE TEENS AND EVEN SINGLE DIGITS BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
VERY DRY FUELS AND GUSTY DRY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
LIGHT AFTER TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP SOMEWHAT
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BUT AT THIS TIME WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG
WARNING BEYOND THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

DYKEMA
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 131634
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
934 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTH AND EAST
BAY HILLS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUED IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AT 900 AM PDT WIND GUSTS OF
20 TO 30 MPH WERE OCCURRING. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAINED VERY LOW OVERNIGHT...IN THE TEENS AND 20S. BREEZY AND
VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS
HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH 11 AM TUESDAY MORNING.

CAZ507-511-140000-
/O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T1800Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
934 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT TUESDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT TUESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE
TUESDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 15 TO
25 MPH ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE
RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

STROBIN
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 132355
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
455 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTH AND EAST
BAY HILLS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.VERY DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY. ADDITIONALLY RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN VERY
LOW IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. BREEZY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS CONTINUES THROUGH 11 AM TUESDAY
MORNING.

CAZ507-511-140800-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T1800Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
455 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT TUESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT WINDS WILL DECREASE
LATE TUESDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN
15 TO 20 MPH ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...
THE RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 140459
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
959 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTH AND EAST
BAY HILLS OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...

.VERY DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN VERY
LOW IN THE TEENS. BREEZY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS CONTINUES THROUGH 11 AM TUESDAY MORNING.

CAZ507-511-141300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T1800Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
959 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT TUESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN THE HILLS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST BAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT WINDS WILL DECREASE
LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 141032
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
332 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE EAST BAY HILLS
THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.VERY DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE HILLS OF
THE EAST BAY THIS MORNING WITH LOCAL AREAS EXPECTED TO GUST TO
OVER 35 MPH. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE EAST BAY HILLS
PLUS THE DIABLO RANGE CONTINUES THROUGH 11 AM THIS MORNING.

CAZ507-141145-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T1800Z/
NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
332 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS
CANCELED THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS. 

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THROUGH THE NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS INDICATE THAT
THE WINDS HAVE GREATLY DIMINISHED. ALTHOUGH THE FIRE DANGER
REMAINS FAIRLY HIGH DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS...IT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO
REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA.

$$

CAZ511-141800-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T1800Z/
EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
332 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS
MORNING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS
MORNING FOR THE EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE. 

DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS TO 35 MPH THE FIRE DANGER OVER THE EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO
RANGE REMAINS VERY HIGH. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT. ALTHOUGH DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...THE
FIRE DANGER WILL LESSEN STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS
DIMINISH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING NOW. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE WIND DRIVEN FIRE POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS86 KMTR 141757
RFWMTR

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
1057 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2008

CAZ511-141900-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081014T1800Z/
EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
1057 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING. 

THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE NOW SUBSIDED AND WILL CONTINUE TO
EASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS TURN MORE ONSHRORE OR WESTERLY.
EVEN THOUGH THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED VERY DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE NOT ONLY ACROSS THE EAST BAY HILLS BUT MUCH OF THE
SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 9, 4:45 AM PDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 4:45 AM PDT, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA CA
445 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2008

.DISCUSSION...AS OF 4:00 AM PDT THURSDAY...SOME STRATUS HAS FORMED
ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY AFFECTING MONTEREY BAY. TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE DISTRICT ARE MAINLY IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. THE
NORTHERLY GRADIENT HAS REALLY RAMPED UP...NOW 8.6 MB BETWEEN ARCATA-
SFO. THE ONSHORE GRADIENT IS AT 2.0 MB.

THE BIG WEATHER STORY FOR THE DISTRICT WILL BE THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS THE DISTRICT. A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE INTO SOUTHERN
NEVADA TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...REMAINING NEARLY
STATIONARY INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE VERY STRONG. A WIND ADVISORY HAD BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
COAST NORTH OF THE GOLDEN GATE. BASED ON SFC OBS...AND LOOKING AT THE
MODELS IT LOOKS LIKE A MARGINAL EVENT. THE BODEGA BAY MARINE LAB HAS
HAD GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH TONIGHT...SO HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP THE ADVISORY
GOING THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FOCUS THEN TURNS TO THE NORTH AND
EAST BAY HILLS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS WINDS INCREASE OVER THE
HILLS. AS A RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH
AND EAST BAY HILLS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS COULD
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL JET OF 120 KT
LINKS UP WELL WITH THE LOWER LEVELS WITH THE STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE. 850 MB TEMPS WILL COOL TO 2-5C
ACROSS THE DISTRICT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS INTO THE 30S IN WIND PROTECTED VALLEYS OF THE
NORTH BAY AS WELL AS INTERIOR MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES. THE
COLDEST NIGHT LOOKS TO BE SATURDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO THE POSSIBILITY
OF PATCHY FROST IN THE NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS. HOWEVER...THIS
WILL BE STRONGLY DEPENDENT ON THE WINDS.

ON SUNDAY THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AS A RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE PACIFIC NW AND CALIFORNIA. THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NW.
THIS WILL BRING WARMER TEMPS AND LIGHTER WINDS...BUT CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS. WITH THE FLOW BECOMING MORE ONSHORE...NIGHT AND MORNING
LOW CLOUDS WILL RETURN TO THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...AS OF 4:45 AM PDT THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AND CENTRAL COAST THIS
MORNING...THE EXCEPTI0N IS THE MONTEREY BAY AREA WITH IFR CIGS IN
STRATUS OVER THE BAY AND EXPECTED TO INTRUDE INLAND JUST TO THE
KMRY AND KSNS TERMINALS AROUND DAWN. WITH STRONG N-S SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS NORTHWEST-TO-NORTH WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BY 18Z
OVER THE AREA. MECHANICAL TURBULENCE CAN BE EXPECTED AT LOWER
LEVELS OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL WIND SHEAR +/- 15-20 KT
DUE TO WIND SHADOWING AND CHANNELING AROUND AREA AIRPORTS.

WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE NORTHERLY
GRADIENT IS EXPECTED 15 TO 25 KT RANGE WITH GUSTS OVER 30 KT THIS
AFTERNOON. KSFO WILL MAINTAIN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KT AFT 19Z.

&&

.MARINE...AS OF 4:45 AM PDT THURSDAY...LATEST BUOY REPORTS SHOW
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL THE COASTAL WATERS.
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN OVER THE REGION
WHICH WILL EXTEND THE GALE WARNINGS INTO FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SHORT PERIOD
SEAS IN THE 13 TO 15 FT RANGE ARE ALSO BEING REPORTED AND ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

A MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT HIGHLIGHTS THE WIND AND SEAS POTENTIAL
THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AS OF 4:30 AM PDT THURSDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION FROM
6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY. SEE THE SFORFWMTR FOR MORE
DETAILS.

FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MODELS INDICATE STRONG SINKING MOTION AT
700 MB WITH A VERY DRY AIRMASS. THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WINDS
INCREASE AT ALL LEVELS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS
CONTINUING...MOST NOTABLY IN THE HILLS AND ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER
UNLIKE TYPICAL OFFSHORE WIND EVENTS THE STRUCTURE WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR MIXING DOWN AIR FROM ALOFT. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY
WITH MODERATE RH BUT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. THEN WINDS WILL
LIKELY GET STRONGER ON FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES
THROUGH. AT THE SAME TIME AN UPPER LEVEL 100 KNOT JET PASSES RIGHT
DOWN THE COAST WITH NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ALIGNED FROM THE SURFACE
RIGHT THROUGH THE DEPTH OF THE ATMOSPHERE. SO EVEN THOUGH COOL WITH
MODERATE RH THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE TRUMP CARD. WINDS ARE
NORTHEAST BY SATURDAY MORNING BUT THEN EASING THROUGH THE DAY. THE
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK CALLS FOR WARMING
AND DRYING TREND AS STRONG WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

&&

.PAST COMPARISON...AS OF 3:00 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...THE UPCOMING STORM
IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO TWO PAST EVENTS IN OUR CWA. THE FIRST ONE IS
FROM APRIL 3, 1999. IN THAT STORM GUSTS NEAR OR OVER 45 MPH WHERE
REPORTED AT KSFO... KSTS... KMRY... KSNS... KSJC... AND KSQL. IN
ADDITION...BUOY DATA SHOWS THAT SEAS ROSE TO BETWEEN 16 AND 22 FEET
WHILE GUSTS CLOSE TO 50 KT WERE REPORTED OVER THE WATERS. BASED ON
ANALYSIS...THE UPCOMING EVENT AT THIS TIMES DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE AS
STRONG AS THE STORM FROM 1999 MOSTLY DUE TO THE FACT THAT GRADIENTS
ARE FORECAST TO BE A BIT WEAKER.

ANOTHER STORM WHICH HAD A SIMILAR STRUCTURE WAS FROM NOVEMBER 29,
1991. THE TROUGH AXIS IN THAT CASE WAS FURTHER TO THE EAST WHICH
ENDED UP PRODUCING STRONGER WINDS TO THE EAST OF OUR CWA. IN THAT
CASE ALL OF THE AIRPORTS IN OUR AREA GUSTED TO OVER 30 MPH WITH
ONLY KAPC HITTING 40 MPH.
&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
       .TDA...GLW...PT ARENA TO PT.PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-60NM.
              SCA...S.F.BAY AND MONTEREY BAYS THIS AFTERNOON.
              SCA...ROUGH SAN FRANCISCO BAR.
              WIND ADVISORY...COASTAL NORTH BAY THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
       .TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES

PUBLIC FORECAST: MHS
AVIATION/MARINE: GUDGEL
FIRE WEATHER: RWW/MHS
PAST COMPARISON: BELL

NWS ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 8, 2:22 PM PDT, 14 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
222 PM PDT WED OCT 8 2008

CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-092130-
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND CARMEL VALLEY-
NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
222 PM PDT WED OCT 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA AND
MONTEREY BAY AREA.

.DAY ONE...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT

CLEAR SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL START TO INCREASE ALONG THE COAST ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
SAN FRANCISCO BY THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RAPIDLY
TIGHTENS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL MARIN AND
SONOMA COUNTIES. WINDS IN THAT AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE 20 TO 35
MPH OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WITH LOCAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. PLEASE SEE WEATHER MESSAGE SFONPWMTR (WMO HEADER WWUS76
KMTR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF SAN
FRANCISCO THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A MAJOR CHANGE
IN THE WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR OUR ENTIRE AREA STARTING THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM DIVES DOWN FROM CANADA. GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS ALONG WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED.
WIND ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT. THE STRONGER
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER WHICH HAS FACILITATED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO BE ISSUED. PLEASE SEE SFORFWMTR (WMO HEADER
WWUS86 KMTR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IN ADDITION...PATCHY FROST
IS POSSIBLE OVER NAPA AND SONOMA COUNTIES SUNDAY MORNING AS
SHELTERED AREAS MAY DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S.PLEASE SEE SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT SFOSPSMTR (WMO HEADER WWUS86 KMTR) FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION. WARMER CONDITIONS WITH LESS WIND ARE FORECAST FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS PER STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

BELL

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in California, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.