Severe Thunderstorm Warning 172, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 AM EDT SUN JUL 6 2008

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOSES
IDENTITY ACROSS CUMBERLAND PLATEAU THROUGH PERIOD. UPPER TROUGH WILL
MOVE ESE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORM CHANCE CONTINUES
UNTIL TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE MNTS TONIGHT. DRY AIR SWINGING THROUGH
THE TROUGH BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE AREA. A FEW DOWNDRAFTS MAY BE
ENHANCED BY EVAPORATION BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. TEMPS NEAR
CLIMO.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...OVERALL...MADE LITTLE CHANGE
TO THE EXTENDED.  A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER OVER THE
REGION ON MONDAY...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST LOCATIONS...AS AN UPPER
TROUGH EXITS THE AREA.  MODELS BRING IN A SURFACE BOUNDARY AROUND
THE TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME.  MODEL HAVE BEEN IN POOR AGREEMENT
WITH TIMING AND SOUTHERN PROGRESSION OF THE BOUNDARY SO CONFIDENCE
LOW ON DETAILS...BUT HAVE KEPT BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY.
BOUNDARY REMAINS IN THE REGION THURSDAY WITH A WEAK WAVE TRACKING
ALONG IT.  WILL SEE CONTINUED UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST
OF THE EXTENDED AS A COUPLE OF WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             89  68  93  70  91 /  30  10  10  10  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  87  66  91  69  89 /  20  20  10  10  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       86  66  93  69  90 /  20  10  10  10  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              84  63  88  64  88 /  30  20  20  10  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

SON/MJB

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1132 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2008

NCZ060-061-060430-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-
1132 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE AFFECTING CHEROKEE AND CLAY
COUNTIES...

AT 1130 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MURPHY...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN

DH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
127 AM EDT SUN JUL 6 2008

TNZ099>102-060630-
BRADLEY-EAST POLK-HAMILTON-WEST POLK-
127 AM EDT SUN JUL 6 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFFECTING BRADLEY...HAMILTON AND POLK
COUNTIES...

AT 124 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR CLEVELAND...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. LOCALIZED
SMALL STREAM AND URBAN FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

17