River Flood Warning 2, NWS Morristown, TN

000 
WGUS84 KMRX 121718
FLSMRX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN, TN 
1218 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
TENNESSEE...

  SEQUATCHIE RIVER NEAR WHITWELL TN AFFECTING BLEDSOE...MARION AND 
  SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES 
 
HEAVY RAIN THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS CAUSED THE SEQUATCHIE RIVER TO RISE.


TNC007-115-153-122318-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081213T0300Z/
/WHTT1.1.ER.081212T1015Z.081212T1545Z.081212T2100Z.NO/
1118 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2008

FOR THE SEQUATCHIE RIVER NEAR WHITWELL TN, MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING, WITH A STAGE OF 14.3 FEET MEASURED AT 10 AM FRIDAY. THE 
RIVER ROSE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 14.0 FEET AT 04 AM FRIDAY.THE 
RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT ABOUT 03 PM FRIDAY.

* AT 14.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMRX 122228
FLSMRX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 
528 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SEQUATCHIE RIVER AFFECTING BLEDSOE...
MARION AND SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES... 
 
TNC007-115-153-130428-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081213T1200Z/
/WHTT1.1.ER.081212T1015Z.081212T1745Z.081213T0600Z.NO/
428 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2008

FOR THE SEQUATCHIE RIVER NEAR WHITWELL TN...MINOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING WITH A STAGE OF 14.3 FEET MEASURED AT 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. 
FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW ITS FLOOD 
STAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* AT 14.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...AGREE WITH PREVIOUS SHIFT THAT
NAM-WRF HAS HAD MUCH BETTER DEPICTION OF WHERE PRECIPITATION (PCPN)
HAS OCCURRED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AS GFS AND ECMWF BOTH HAVE WAY
OVERDONE PCPN PATTERN. CURRENT RADAR LOOPS SHOW PCPN IS WINDING DOWN
A BIT FASTER THAN EXPECTED...WITH CALLS EARLIER TO WISE AND LEE
COUNTIES OF VIRGINIA NOT REVEALED MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOWFALL.

CUT POPS BACK IN THE PREDAWN PERIODS THIS MORNING...AND LOWERED
ICE/SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AS WELL. CLEARING LINE HAD PAST THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WHERE THE ADVISORY WAS CANCELLED EARLY...AND
CLEARING WAS WORKING INTO THE TN VALLEY AT FORECAST TIME.

KEPT WINTER WX ADVISORY GOING FOR REMAINING AREAS...DUE TO 1) THE
USUAL UNCERTAINTY CAUSED BY A LACK OF GROUND TRUTH REPORTS IN THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS THIS EARLY IN THE MORNING...AND 2) FALLING TEMPS
WITH WET ROADS LEADING TO POSSIBLE SLICK OR ICY CONDITIONS FOR
MORNING MOTORISTS. WILL RE-EVALUATE FORECAST WITH AN UPDATE TO GRIDS
AND FORECAST PRODUCTS NECESSARY DUE TO 7AM EST EXPIRATION TIMING.

OTHERWISE...POPS LIMITED MOSTLY TO PRE TODAY FORECAST PERIOD. A
BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE FOR MAX TEMPS AND TRENDED TOWARD COOLER MINS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS IN CONTROL SATURDAY THIS WEEKEND WITH ZONAL
FLOW ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SATURDAY AND RIDGING SUNDAY AS
NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY FRONT APPROACHES WITH JUST SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
MONDAY. CLOUDS INCREASE BUT STRONG RIDGE HOLDS ALONG EAST COAST.
FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BUT
PROGRESSES ONLY SLIGHTLY SOUTH BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS
WILL KEEP REGION IN WARMER AIRMASS WITH MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  46  28  50  31  56 /  10  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN    42  25  48  30  54 /  10  10   0  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN            42  25  48  30  55 /  10  10   0   0  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN   40  21  47  25  54 /  20  10   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY
     MOUNTAINS...HANCOCK...HAWKINS...JOHNSON...NORTHWEST
     CARTER...NORTHWEST GREENE...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...
     SOUTHEAST CARTER...SOUTHEAST GREENE...SULLIVAN...UNICOI...
     WASHINGTON TN.

VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LEE...RUSSELL...SCOTT...WASHINGTON...WISE.

&&

TG/TD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
425 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-130930-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
425 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008 /325 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LINGERING RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS...AND FALLING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING
...COULD LEAD TO HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS EARLY TODAY. BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS COULD BE ESPECIALLY SLICK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

TG