High Wind Watch 1, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
337 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE REGION ON SUNDAY...ARRIVING AROUND 8 AM IN THE
CHATTANOOGA AREA...9 TO 10 AM IN KNOXVILLE...AND 10-11 AM IN THE
TRI-CITIES. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE IN THE
SOUTHERN PART...WITH THE THREAT LESSENING...BUT STILL THERE...AS
YOU MOVE FURTHER UP THE VALLEY. A HIGH WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR THE MOUNTAINS WITH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FROM OHIO TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUMS ROTATE AROUND THIS
SYSTEM WHICH WILL CAUSE SHOWERS TO PERSIST NE HALF FORECAST AREA AND
STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF UP TO 50 KNOTS AT 850 MB. THIS HAS
PROMPTED A HIGH WIND WATCH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE NE HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY WITH CLEARING SOUTH AND CONTINUED COOL
TEMPERATURES NORTH. SHOWERS WILL END MONDAY NIGHT AS UPPER LOW MOVES
FAR ENOUGH EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST. TUESDAY
RIDGING BRINGS A SUNNY DAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM IS QUICKLY FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE LOW MUCH
FARTHER NORTH BUT MODELS HAVE A SECOND LOW IN TX THAT MOVES UP INTO
THE TN VALLEY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AND WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
INTO SATURDAY WILL MAKE THE REST OF THE WEEK UNSETTLED WITH SHOWERS
INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  64  71  49  72  48 /  90  80  30  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  58  67  47  66  47 /  90  90  60  20  10
OAK RIDGE, TN  58  68  47  65  46 /  90  90  60  20  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN  50  65  46  60  42 /  60  90  70  30  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CHEROKEE...CLAY.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHEROKEE...CLAY.

TN...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY
     MOUNTAINS...EAST POLK...JOHNSON...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...
     SOUTHEAST CARTER...SOUTHEAST GREENE...SOUTHEAST MONROE...
     UNICOI.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS...
     EAST POLK...JOHNSON...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST
     CARTER...SOUTHEAST GREENE...SOUTHEAST MONROE...UNICOI.

VA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LEE...RUSSELL...SCOTT...WASHINGTON...
     WISE.

&&

HW/TD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
444 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-111000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
444 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008 /344 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE
FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...AND
POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO. THE GREATEST THREAT OF ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER AND NEAR SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER AND NEAR THE
PLATEAU...SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1008 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             4 SSE BEARDEN           35.89N 83.98W
05/09/2008  M0.88 INCH       KNOX               TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COCORAHS REPORT OF 0.875 IN HAIL.

0245 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HAYESVILLE              35.05N 83.82W
05/10/2008                   CLAY               NC   UTILITY COMPANY

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES ACROSS THE COUNTY.
            REPORTED BY BLUE RIDGE MTN EMC.

0250 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HAYESVILLE              35.05N 83.82W
05/10/2008                   CLAY               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LIMBS DOWN ON QUALLA ROAD. REPORTED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE.

&&

MEP