Wind Chill Warning 2, NWS Marquette, MI

000 
WWUS43 KMQT 310241
WSWMQT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
941 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW AND COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH VERY COLD ARCTIC
AIR INTO UPPER MICHIGAN. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW FOR LOCATIONS FAVORED BY NORTHWEST
WINDS. PLAN ON WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 25 TO 40 BELOW ZERO UNTIL
LATE TONIGHT WITH THE COLDEST READINGS AWAY FROM THE MODERATING
INFLUENCE OF LAKE SUPERIOR. THE HARSH WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EASE
LATE TONIGHT AS THE WINDS DIMINISH.

MIZ002-311045-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KMQT.LB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080131T1200Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
941 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE WIND CHILL WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

EXPECT NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR
LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TO PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEPOSIT AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
M-38 LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF THE
FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITIES IN
OPEN AREAS. LOOK FOR THE STRONG WINDS TO DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH
LATE TONIGHT. AS THE WINDS SLACKEN...THE BLOWING SNOW WILL
GRADUALLY END OVERNIGHT AS WELL. WIND CHILLS WILL BE AS LOW AS 20
TO 40 BELOW ZERO AWAY FROM THE MODERATING INFLUENCE OF LAKE
SUPERIOR UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT
IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN
THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP
SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES
WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO BLUSTERY WINDS CREATING BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

$$

MIZ004-005-009>012-084-310900-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSE...MARQUETTE...IRONWOOD...
IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE...KENTON...SIDNAW
941 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008 /841 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008/

...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/
THURSDAY...

THE WIND CHILL WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/
THURSDAY. 

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 MPH LATE THIS EVENING
AND DIMINISH FURTHER TO LESS THAN 10 MPH LATE TONIGHT. WIND CHILL
VALUES THOUGH WILL FALL TO 25 TO 40 BELOW ZERO THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

$$

MIZ006-007-311045-
/O.EXB.KMQT.LB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080131T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMQT.WC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
941 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY.

EXPECT NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR
OVERNIGHT TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DEPOSIT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW NEAR THE
LAKE SHORE FROM NEAR GRAND MARAIS TO TWO HEART LATE THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW SHOWERS BEGIN TO MOVE OFFSHORE
TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE COMBINATION OF THE FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS. LOOK FOR THE
STRONG WINDS TO DIMINISH TO 5 TO 15 MPH LATE TONIGHT. AS THE WINDS
SLACKEN...THE BLOWING SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END OVERNIGHT AS WELL.
WIND CHILLS WILL BE AS LOW AS 20 TO 34 BELOW ZERO AWAY FROM THE
MODERATING INFLUENCE OF LAKE SUPERIOR TONIGHT.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT
IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN
THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP
SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES
WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO BLUSTERY WINDS CREATING BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.


$$

MIZ001-003-311045-
/O.EXB.KMQT.LB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080131T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMQT.WC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
941 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM EST THURSDAY. 

EXPECT NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR
THIS EVENING TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...THE
BLUSTERY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW NORTH
OF HIGHWAY M-38 LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION
OF THE FALLING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN POOR
VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS. LOOK FOR THE STRONG WINDS TO DIMINISH
TO 10 TO 20 MPH LATE TONIGHT. AS THE WINDS SLACKEN...THE BLOWING
SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END OVERNIGHT AS WELL. WIND CHILLS WILL BE AS
LOW AS 20 TO 34 BELOW ZERO AWAY FROM THE MODERATING INFLUENCE OF
LAKE SUPERIOR.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT
IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN
THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP
SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES
WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO BLUSTERY WINDS CREATING BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

$$

MIZ013-014-085-310900-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080131T0900Z/
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...
SENEY
941 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY.

WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 20 TO 34 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AS
WIND SPEEDS STAY IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE LATE THIS EVENING AND
DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 MPH LATE TONIGHT.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

$$

JLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
405 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...
UPPER AIR PATTERN CONSISTS OF A NEGATIVELY TILTED 500 MB TROUGH OVER
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WITH TROUGHING IN THE ROCKIES ALSO. THIS
TROUGHING IN THE ROCKIES WILL BECOME THE NEXT SNOWSTORM THAT WILL
HIT SE OF HERE THU NIGHT AND FRI.

IN THE MEANTIME...THINGS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY QUIET DOWN AS A
STRONG SFC LOW IN EASTERN ONTARIO HEADS AWAY AND THE TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT LESSENS WHICH WILL ALLOW THE WIND AND BLOWING SNOW TO DIE
DOWN. THE GOOD THING IS HAZARDS WILL ALSO DECREASE AS WE HAD AT ONE
TIME TODAY...27 HAZARDS AND ARE NOW DOWN TO 18 AND SLOWLY DECREASING
THEM. THAT MIGHT BE A RECORD FOR HAZARDS AND THE INTERESTING THING
IS WE WOULD HAVE HAD PLENTY MORE IF THE NEARSHORE FOR LAKE SUPERIOR
WAS STILL GOING. ANYWAY...LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...BUT
WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES...THE SNOWFLAKE SIZE WILL BE SMALL WITH
VERY DRY AIR MOVING ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. THIS SHOULD KEEP AMOUNTS
IN CHECK. WITH WINDS THOUGH...BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
PROBLEM AND KEPT BLIZZARD WARNINGS GOING THROUGH 9 PM FOR THE
KEWEENAW AND ALSO LUCE AND ALGER COUNTIES WITH THE STRONG WINDS
CONTINUING TO CAUSE PROBLEMS THERE. WILL PROBABLY THEN HAVE TO DO AN
ADVISORY FOR THOSE PLACES LATER TONIGHT AS THE WINDS START TO DIE
DOWN AND BLOWING SNOW GETS TO BE A BIT LESS OF A PROBLEM AND NEXT
SHIFT WILL HAVE TO DO THAT. HAVE BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES FOR
ONTONAGON AND NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT WHICH I WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS ANYWAY UNTIL THE WIND DIES DOWN ENOUGH. HAD TO HOIST
WIND CHILL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY
COLD. PROBLEM IS WINDS ARE UP PRETTY MUCH ALL NIGHT UNTIL LATE
TONIGHT WHEN THEY GET BELOW 10 MPH. WILL BE PLENTY COLD AND LOWERED
LOWS TONIGHT FROM GOING FORECAST AND WENT WELL BELOW GUIDANCE. LOWS
COULD GET DOWN TO -25 OVER THE WEST HALF AND WITH WINDS...NO
PROBLEM FOR A WIND CHILL WARNING WITH WINDS AND TEMPERATURES. OVER
THE EAST HALF OF CWA...SOMEWHAT WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE WIND
CHILLS UP A BIT AND WENT WITH A WIND CHILL ADVISORY THERE. SINCE DID
NOT WARM UP MUCH TODAY WITH MOST PLACES STAYING BELOW ZERO AND
REALLY COLD AIR TO COME IN...NO PROBLEM GETTING BELOW GUIDANCE
VALUES TONIGHT AT ALL AND DROPPED LOWS.

.LONG TERM (THU NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WED)...

THU...WITH THE CONTINUING DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AWAY FROM
THE AREA TONIGHT...THE UPPER FLOW AT LEAST OVER THE NORTHERN U.S.
TURNS MORE ZONAL. THIS CHANGE IN UPPER FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER
AIR TO MOVE INTO THE CWA...NOTED BY 850MB TEMPS CLIMBING FROM -16 TO
-22C AT 12Z TO -12 TO -15C AT 00Z. HOWEVER...THE WARM ADVECTION AT
850MB IS STRONGER THAN BELOW 850MB...DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE CURRENTLY IN MN AND WI IS MOVING INTO THE CWA AND
CAUSES LOW LEVEL WINDS TO DIMINISH. BECAUSE OF THIS...HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE ON THE COOL SIDE AND HAVE
STAYED ON THE LOWER SIDE OF GUIDANCE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THEY
WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM 10 TO 15 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAYS
HIGHS...THOUGH...AND LIGHTER WINDS WILL HELP TOO IN MAKING IT FEEL
WARMER. ANY PCPN CHANCES ARE MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE KEWEENAW AS WEST
WINDS CONTINUE LAKE EFFECT THERE...THOUGH THIS IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON AS WINDS BACK SW.

THU NIGHT AND FRI...UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS IS
PROGGED TO LIFT INTO ILLINOIS BY 12Z FRI AND INTO WESTERN PA BY 00Z
SAT. THIS TROUGH WILL BRING A RELATIVELY STRONG SURFACE LOW INTO
NORTHERN OHIO BY FRIDAY EVENING. PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEFORMATION SIDE OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...EASTERN WISCONSIN AND INTO LOWER MI AFTER MIDNIGHT THU
NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. SOME SNOW ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF
THE DEFORMATION SIDE COULD TOUCH THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
COUNTIES...ENOUGH TO WARRANT CONTINUING SOME 20-30 POPS.
ELSEWHERE...A DRY FORECAST IS PLANNED WITH SURFACE AND UPPER RIDGING
OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE TOUGH TO FORECAST THU NIGHT...DUE TO
A NUMBER OF FACTORS: LIGHT WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE CWA WITH THE
SURFACE RIDGE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PRIOR TO SOME CLOUD ARRIVAL FROM
THE SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH...AND COOL TEMPS ON THU. HAVE WENT A FEW
DEGREES COLDER IN THE INTERIOR THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND IT
IS POSSIBLE THEY MAY NEED TO BE LOWERED MORE. GOING HIGH TEMPERATURE
FORECAST STILL SEEMS REASONABLE.

FRI NIGHT AND SAT...UPPER TROUGH PRESENTLY OFF THE COAST OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA SHOULD HAVE PROGRESSED INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADA BY 00Z SAT. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHERN MN BY 12Z SAT AND INTO THE CWA BY 00Z SUN. DPVA AND WARM
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW INTO THE
CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT FRI NIGHT...BUT IT APPEARS THE BETTER FORCING IS
ON SAT...AND THUS HAVE HIGHER POPS ON SAT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
WARMER FRI NIGHT THAN THE PAST TWO NIGHTS...ESPECIALLY WITH
INCREASING WINDS...MOISTURE AND CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. GOING LOWS LOOK GOOD. WITH
WARMER AIR INTO THE CWA ON SAT AND WARMER LOWS...HIGHS SHOULD BE
SLIGHTLY WARMER ON SAT TOO THAN FRI NIGHT...PERHAPS UP NEAR 30.

SAT NIGHT THROUGH WED...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN STILL FORECAST TO
AMPLIFY OVER THE COURSE OF THIS PERIOD...WITH A TROUGH EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN STATES ON SUNDAY...WHICH THEN IS PROGGED TO
SHIFT EASTWARD MON THROUGH WED AS ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM DROPS DOWN
INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA. THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS THE STORM SYSTEM
THAT DEVELOPS AS A RESULT OF THE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS.
THE 29/12Z ECMWF SHOWED A DECENT SNOWSTORM FOR THE CWA LATE
MON...THOUGH THE 30/00Z ECMWF NOW TAKES THE STORM BOTH SLOWER AND
FARTHER SOUTH. 30/12Z ECMWF IS SIMILAR. THE PRESSURE IS PRETTY
IMPRESSIVE...982MB MOVING THROUGH SE LOWER. THE 06Z GFS IS A BIT
MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE WHOLE STORM AND WEAKER...HAVING A LOW MOVE
UP THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER AT 12Z TUE. 12Z GFS NOW TAKES TWO
DIFFERENT LOWS AT DIFFERENT TIMES...WITH THE SECOND LOW SIMILAR TO
THE 30/12Z ECMWF. HAVE DECIDED FOR NOW TO MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS FOR
SNOW BOTH MON AND TUE UNTIL MODELS SETTLE DOWN ON A SOLUTION. PRIOR
TO THE STORM...SHRTWV THAT MOVED INTO THE AREA LATE SAT WILL BE
EXITING THE AREA SAT NIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS FOR SAT NIGHT
FOR TIMING DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE WAVE. STILL SEEMS LIKE A DRY
SUN OVERALL...THOUGH GIVEN 850MB TEMPS AROUND -10C IN THE WAKE OF
THE SHRTWV AND A NW WIND IN THE MORNING...DECIDED TO INCLUDE SOME
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LAKE EFFECT. SINCE THE OVERALL TREND FOR THE
STORM ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY IS SLOWER...HAVE DRIED OUT SUNDAY
NIGHT. AFTER THE STORM...UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CWA WILL BRING
COLDER AIR IN...WITH 850MB TEMPS DROPPING PERHAPS AS LOW AS -20C.
HOWEVER...THE 06Z GFS AND 30/00Z ECMWF ARE AT ODDS WITH HOW LONG
THIS UPPER TROUGH STAYS IN THE AREA...WITH THE 06Z GFS MORE
PROGRESSIVE. HPC AND THIS FORECAST WILL FAVOR A BLEND OF THE
TWO...WHICH WOULD HAVE THE UPPER TROUGH EAST OF HERE LATE WED. WILL
HAVE LAKE EFFECT SNOW CHANCES FOR THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST SNOWBELTS.

&&

.AVIATION (FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

CONTINUED WITH PERSISTENCE AT KCMX WITH VLIFR CONDITIONS AS WINDS
CONTINUE TO BLOW THE SNOW AROUND AND WINDS STAY UP UNTIL AFTER
MIDNIGHT WHEN CONDITIONS WILL THEN GO TO IFR AND THEN MVF BY THU
AFTERNOON AS WINDS FINALLY DIE DOWN ENOUGH TO STOP BLOWING SNOW.
KSAW HAS STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE THE BLOWING SNOW THOUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH IFR CONDITIONS CAUSED BY BLSN. AS WINDS DECREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...MVFR CONDITIONS TAKE OVER AND THEN BY EVENING...VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE (FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE)...

WITH COLD TEMPERATURES AROUND AND HIGHER WINDS...FREEZING SPRAY WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM THROUGH THU NIGHT. AS THE STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY TO HUDSON BAY AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LESSENS...WINDS WILL COME DOWN AND GALES SHOULD END LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. NEXT STORM SYSTEM STAYS WELL TO THE SOUTH FOR
THU NIGHT AND FRI. NO STRONG WINDS SEEN AFTER THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

UPPER MICHIGAN...
  BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING MIZ001-003-006-007.

  WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON MIZ002-085.

  WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ THURSDAY
    MIZ002-004-005-009>012-084.

  WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY
    MIZ001-003-006-007-013-014-085.

  LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY
    MIZ002.

LAKE SUPERIOR...
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
    LSZ162-263>267.

  GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LSZ264>267.

  GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LSZ263.

LAKE MICHIGAN...
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
    LMZ248-250.

SHORT TERM...GJM
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION/MARINE...GJM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
559 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-311200-
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
559 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008 /459 AM CST WED JAN 30 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON THE KEWEENAW AND ALONG LAKE
SUPERIOR EAST OF MARQUETTE UNTIL LATE TODAY. ELSEWHERE...STRONG
WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES
TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL AFFECT
THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AND AREAS ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF MARQUETTE
TONIGHT.

SEE THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR COMPLETE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED...BUT SNOWFALL...VISIBILITIES
AND TEMPERATURE REPORTS ARE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-311200-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-
BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI-
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI-
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING
KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
ROYALE NATIONAL PARK-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
559 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008 /459 AM CST WED JAN 30 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NORTHWEST STORM FORCE WINDS THIS MORNING OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF LAKE
SUPERIOR WILL DIMINISH TO GALE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO
NORTHWEST GALE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE REMAINING AREAS OF LAKE
SUPERIOR THROUGH THIS EVENING.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLAN ON HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ACROSS ALL OF LAKE SUPERIOR THURSDAY
MORNING. SEE THE LATEST LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST FOR COMPLETE DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ221-248-250-311200-
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
559 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AND NORTHWEST GALE FORCE WINDS OVER
LAKE MICHIGAN TODAY. SEE THE LATEST NEARSHORE FORECAST FOR COMPLETE
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY OVER LAKE MICHIGAN ON THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

JLA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1044 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     SNOW             6 ENE GARDEN            45.81N 86.44W
01/30/2008  E5.0 INCH        SCHOOLCRAFT        MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            INCHES IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 11 INCHES.

1000 AM     SNOW             1 S ONTONAGON           46.85N 89.31W
01/30/2008  E7.2 INCH        ONTONAGON          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 13 INCHES.

0800 AM     SNOW             MARQUETTE               46.55N 87.40W
01/30/2008  E4.6 INCH        MARQUETTE          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS.

&&

TGREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1045 AM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 AM     SNOW             3 E NEGAUNEE            46.50N 87.53W
01/30/2008  E6.1 INCH        MARQUETTE          MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 18 INCHES.

&&

TGREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1208 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST COPPER HARBOR           47.47N 87.89W
01/30/2008  M53.00 MPH       KEWEENAW           MI   ASOS

0140 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST MUNISING                46.42N 86.64W
01/30/2008  M56.00 MPH       ALGER              MI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0147 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KINGSFORD               45.81N 88.10W
01/30/2008  M47.00 MPH       DICKINSON          MI   ASOS

            AT FORD AIRPORT

0155 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST MANISTIQUE              45.96N 86.25W
01/30/2008  M47.00 MPH       SCHOOLCRAFT        MI   AWOS

0240 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST GRAND MARAIS            46.67N 85.98W
01/30/2008  M66.00 MPH       ALGER              MI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            NWS GLOS SITE ON GRAND MARAIS BREAKWATER. SUSTAINED WIND
            OF 50 MPH.

0420 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ONTONAGON               46.87N 89.31W
01/30/2008  M56.00 MPH       ONTONAGON          MI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            NWS GLOS SITE NEAR ONTONAGON

0435 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ESCANABA                45.75N 87.08W
01/30/2008  M45.00 MPH       DELTA              MI   AWOS

            AT DELTA COUNTY AIRPORT

0454 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST HANCOCK                 47.13N 88.60W
01/30/2008  M48.00 MPH       HOUGHTON           MI   ASOS

            VISIBILITY 1/4 MILE OR LESS SINCE 9 PM EST TUESDAY NIGHT

0455 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SSE NEWBERRY          46.29N 85.47W
01/30/2008  M47.00 MPH       LUCE               MI   AWOS

            AT LUCE COUNTY AIRPORT NEAR NEWBERRY

0540 AM     BLIZZARD         EAGLE RIVER             47.42N 88.30W
01/30/2008                   KEWEENAW           MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY WITH OCCASIONAL WHITEOUTS IN SNOW
            AND BLOWING SNOW. CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN POOR FOR AT LEAST
            3 HOURS.

0540 AM     BLIZZARD         HOUGHTON                47.11N 88.56W
01/30/2008                   HOUGHTON           MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
            OF HOUGHTON COUNTY MUCH OF THE NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
            AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE.

0543 AM     BLIZZARD         MUNISING                46.42N 86.64W
01/30/2008                   ALGER              MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WHITEOUTS ON HIGHWAYS M-28 AND M-94. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
            SNOW WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES.

0630 AM     SNOW             MUNISING                46.42N 86.64W
01/30/2008  E6.4 INCH        ALGER              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 21 INCHES.

0645 AM     SNOW             3 E NEGAUNEE            46.50N 87.53W
01/30/2008  E6.1 INCH        MARQUETTE          MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 18 INCHES.

0700 AM     SNOW             BARK RIVER              45.72N 87.30W
01/30/2008  E6.0 INCH        DELTA              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS.

0700 AM     SNOW             PHOENIX                 47.39N 88.28W
01/30/2008  E7.0 INCH        KEWEENAW           MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 32 INCHES.

0700 AM     SNOW             HOUGHTON                47.11N 88.56W
01/30/2008  E4.0 INCH        HOUGHTON           MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 18 INCHES.

0700 AM     SNOW             GLADSTONE               45.85N 87.02W
01/30/2008  E6.1 INCH        DELTA              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 18 INCHES.

0700 AM     SNOW             NEWBERRY                46.35N 85.51W
01/30/2008  E4.0 INCH        LUCE               MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 12 INCHES.

0700 AM     SNOW             2 NW GLADSTONE          45.87N 87.05W
01/30/2008  E4.0 INCH        DELTA              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 18 INCHES.

0800 AM     SNOW             MARQUETTE               46.55N 87.40W
01/30/2008  E4.6 INCH        MARQUETTE          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS.

0800 AM     SNOW             COOKS                   45.92N 86.48W
01/30/2008  E5.0 INCH        SCHOOLCRAFT        MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 14 INCHES.

0800 AM     SNOW             IRONWOOD                46.45N 90.15W
01/30/2008  E4.2 INCH        GOGEBIC            MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 17 INCHES.

0800 AM     SNOW             15 S WETMORE            46.16N 86.62W
01/30/2008  E5.5 INCH        ALGER              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 12 INCHES.

0800 AM     SNOW             GARDEN CORNERS          45.89N 86.54W
01/30/2008  E5.0 INCH        DELTA              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 12 INCHES.

0900 AM     SNOW             4 N PIKE LAKE           46.70N 85.40W
01/30/2008  E6.0 INCH        LUCE               MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 16 INCHES.

0900 AM     SNOW             STONINGTON              45.73N 86.98W
01/30/2008  E4.0 INCH        DELTA              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 8 INCHES.

0900 AM     SNOW             ROCKLAND                46.74N 89.18W
01/30/2008  E6.0 INCH        ONTONAGON          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN 24 HOURS.

0900 AM     SNOW             AMASA                   46.23N 88.45W
01/30/2008  E4.0 INCH        IRON               MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 14 INCHES.

1000 AM     SNOW             1 S ONTONAGON           46.85N 89.31W
01/30/2008  E7.2 INCH        ONTONAGON          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 13 INCHES.

1000 AM     SNOW             6 ENE GARDEN            45.81N 86.44W
01/30/2008  E5.0 INCH        SCHOOLCRAFT        MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            INCHES IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 11 INCHES.

&&

TGREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
337 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0334 PM     BLIZZARD         PINE STUMP JUNCTION     46.57N 85.58W
01/30/2008                   LUCE               MI   PUBLIC

            FREQUENT WHITEOUTS SINCE 7AM. 8 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW IN
            THE LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

SRF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
405 PM EST WED JAN 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             10 S GRAND MARAIS       46.53N 85.98W
01/30/2008  M8.0 INCH        ALGER              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            IN 24 HOURS.

&&

SRF