Severe Thunderstorm Warning 153, NWS Twin Cities, MN

000 
WWUS53 KMPX 101710
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1209 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNC019-093-171-101745-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0153.000000T0000Z-080710T1745Z/
WRIGHT MN-MEEKER MN-CARVER MN-
1209 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CDT 
FOR CARVER...EAST CENTRAL MEEKER AND WRIGHT COUNTIES...

AT 1207 PM CDT...QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN COKATO.

AT 1206 PM CDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH.  THE SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 4
MILES EAST OF STOCKHOLM...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 37 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE STOCKHOLM...SMITH LAKE...ROSE
CITY...RASSAT...WAVERLY...WATERTOWN...WACONIA...MONTROSE...MAPLE LAKE
AND HOWARD LAKE.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...WHICH CAN
SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGE ROOFS...WINDOWS...SIDING AND VEHICLES. DAMAGING
WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED...WHICH WILL UPROOT TREES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 4497 9401 4499 9425 4500 9432 4528 9416
      4527 9404 4527 9390 4525 9383 4525 9365
      4508 9377 4481 9378
TIME...MOT...LOC 1709Z 297DEG 32KT 4502 9411

$$

TRH

000 
WWUS53 KMPX 101735
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1232 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNC093-101742-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0153.000000T0000Z-080710T1745Z/
MEEKER MN-
1232 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MEEKER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE STORM HAD WEAKENED OR MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4497 9401 4525 9383 4525 9365 4509 9377
      4488 9378 4487 9379 4486 9378 4481 9378
TIME...MOT...LOC 1732Z 303DEG 39KT 4490 9381

$$

MNC019-171-101745-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0153.000000T0000Z-080710T1745Z/
WRIGHT MN-CARVER MN-
1232 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CARVER AND SOUTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTIES...

AT 1230 PM...3 TO 4 INCCH DIAMETER BRANCHES WERE DOWN IN DELANO. 

AT 1228 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING   LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DESTRUCTIVE 
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THE SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES 
SOUTH OF WATERTOWN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE 
WATERTOWN...WACONIA...MONTROSE...DELANO AND BUFFALO.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND HAIL...WHICH
WILL UPROOT TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE
TO BUILDINGS AND VEHICLES. EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES AS THEY MAY BE
OVERTURNED. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 4497 9401 4525 9383 4525 9365 4509 9377
      4488 9378 4487 9379 4486 9378 4481 9378
TIME...MOT...LOC 1732Z 303DEG 39KT 4490 9381

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
318 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

.DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN BREWING ALL NIGHT ACROSS EASTERN ND.
ACTIVITY HAS BEEN MIGRATING ACROSS NORTHERN MN AND WEAKENING. THE
STORMS TO OUR NW ARE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT AND AT THE NOSE OF
A 40 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. ALOFT...A 90 KNOT WIND MAX IS SHOWN
BETWEEN LAKE WINNIPEG AND FAR NORTHERN MN WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION DIVERGENCE. STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST
WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FA THIS MORNING. PWS ARE PROGGED TO DOUBLE
TODAY AND THE STABILITY OVER US NOW TURNS QUITE UNSTABLE BY 18Z.
850-300MB THICKNESS INDICATES THE ACTIVITY OVER EASTERN ND WILL
BEGIN TO TURN SE THIS MORNING. HOPE HERE IS THAT A COLD POOL DOES
NOT GET ESTABLISHED AND A BOW TAKES OFF TO THE SE ACROSS EASTERN
MN AND WEST CENTRAL WI DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...BUT THIS IS A POSSIBILITY. NMMWRF COMP REF HAS A PRETTY
GOOD HANDLE ON THINGS AND DOES SHOW STORMS MOVING THROUGH MUCH OF
THE CWA TODAY. HAVE RAISED POPS INTO THE LIKELY CATEGORY...
BEGINNING OVER THE NW CWA OUT THE GATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THE
TWIN CITIES AFTER 15Z. WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
WI THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TRIMMED HIGHS A FEW DEGREES TODAY WITH
MORE CLOUDS AND PRECIP EXPECTED.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO SAG INTO SOUTHERN MN FOR A TIME THIS
EVENING BEFORE RETURNING NORTH OVERNIGHT AS A WARM FRONT. PLENTY
OF INSTABILITY PROGGED AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.
WEST CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL MN LOOKS INTERESTING...ESPECIALLY
IF SOME SORT OF BOUNDARY FROM THE CONVECTION TODAY IS SITTING
ACROSS THIS AREA. THEREFORE...INCREASED POPS SOME TONIGHT.

FRIDAY STILL LOOKING HOT AND HUMID WITH A LATE DAY COLD FRONT
WORKING ACROSS MN. CAP IS VERY STRONG EARLY ON AND IS FORECAST TO
BREAK IN THE 21Z TO 24Z TIME FRAME. INDICATED A SMALL AREA OF
LIKELY POPS DEVELOPING DURING THIS TIME OVER CENTRAL MN THEN
ALLOWED A LINE OF STORMS TO DEVELOP EASTWARD WITH LIKELY POPS
DURING THE EVENING ACROSS EASTERN MN AND WEST CENTRAL WI.
TORRENTIAL RAINS AND HIGH WINDS SEEN AS THE MAIN PROBLEMS LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 850MB THETA-E AROUND 360K WITH
MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER THE TWIN CITIES FROM 300 TO 350 KTSG/KG.
LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD ALSO RUNNING IN THE 40 TO 45 KNOT RANGE.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE EAST OF THE CWA BY MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH COOLER AND DRY WEATHER FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SOME WIND
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH A RATHER STRONG SURFACE LOW PASSING
ACROSS ONTARIO.

FINE WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE SQUARELY OVERHEAD
ON MONDAY. THE HIGH BEGINS TO RETREAT TUESDAY WITH INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION... /06Z TAF ISSUANCE/

SIMILAR THOUGHTS FOR THIS TAF PKG AS WITH THE LAST ONE. PRETTY
POTENT VORT LOOKS TO MOVE EWRD THRU CNTRL MN AND INTO WRN WI ON
THU WITH WMFNT LIFTING NWRD THRU THE SAME RGN. ALL SITES EXCEPT
RWF STAND A GOOD CHC OF SEEING SOME SHWRS...ALTHO WITH CONFIDENCE
NOT THE HIGHEST ON COVG AM WITHHOLDING TSRA MENTION AT THIS TIME.
AXN/STC SHUD MAINLY SEE ACTIVITY DURG THE MRNG HRS /10-15Z/ WHILE
MSP/RNH/EAU WILL BE IN THE LATE MRNG TO AFTN HRS /14-20Z/. WINDS
SHUD LARGELY BE SRLY...BECMG SERLY AS THE WMFNT LIFTS NWRD.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

RAH/KAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1018 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
111100-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1018 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO EVOLVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MINNESOTA PORTION OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA INTO THIS AFTERNOON AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY THE
MIDDLE OF THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE U.S. HIGHWAY 212
CORRIDOR IN MINNESOTA. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO LIKELY FROM ANY
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...SOME OF WHICH MAY
BE SEVERE. BY LATE EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT...THE THUNDERSTORM
LIKELIHOOD IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND REACH EASTERN AREAS OF THE STATE BY EVENING. THE COLD FRONT
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FRIDAY NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND PASS ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN DURING THE EVENING. SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE WILL ALSO BE TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS WITH THE STORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED WITHIN THE WATCH AREA AND
LIKELY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MINNESOTA OUTLOOK AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON.

RAH/MTF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
859 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNZ041-047-048-101500-
DOUGLAS-POPE-STEVENS-
859 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR DOUGLAS...POPE AND STEVENS COUNTIES
UNTIL 1000 AM CDT...

AT 856 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF CYRUS. THESE
STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AT 38 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  CYRUS.
  FARWELL.
  STARBUCK.
  LONG BEACH.
  VILLARD.
  GROVE LAKE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
941 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNZ048-049-101545-
POPE-STEARNS-
941 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR POPE AND STEARNS COUNTIES UNTIL 1045
AM CDT...

AT 938 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF LONG BEACH. THIS STORM WAS MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  GLENWOOD.
  GILCHRIST.
  SEDAN.
  WESTPORT.
  BROOTEN.
  PADUA.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1042 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNZ049-057-058-101630-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-STEARNS-
1042 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR KANDIYOHI...MEEKER AND STEARNS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM CDT...

AT 1037 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF EDEN VALLEY. THIS STORM WAS MOVING
EAST AT 43 MPH. ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS WAS ALSO MOVING INTO
EASTERN STEARNS COUNTY.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  EDEN VALLEY.
  ST NICHOLAS.
  WATKINS.
  LUXEMBURG.
  KIMBALL.
  DASSEL.
  NEW LONDON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1130 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

MNZ049-058-059-101730-
MEEKER-STEARNS-WRIGHT-
1130 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR MEEKER...STEARNS AND WRIGHT COUNTIES
UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...

AT 1128 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES WEST OF MANANNAH. THIS STORM WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 36 MPH. OTHER STORMS WERE ALSO DEVELOPING IN WRIGHT
COUNTY...AHEAD OF THE STRONGER STORM.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  MANANNAH.
  GROVE CITY.
  EDEN VALLEY.
  ST NICHOLAS.
  WATKINS.
  KIMBALL.
  ANNANDALE.

THESE STORMS COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1144 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 AM     HAIL             HOWARD LAKE             45.06N 94.07W
07/10/2008  M0.88 INCH       WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AJZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1154 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELROSA                  45.56N 94.95W
07/10/2008                   STEARNS            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE FOUR FOOT DIAMTER TREE FELLED.

&&

AJZ