Severe Thunderstorm Warning 60, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 261210
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
608 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

MSC153-261218-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-080226T1245Z/
WAYNE MS-
608 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST 
MISSISSIPPI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST 
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3206 8715 3207 8701 3201 8684 3106 8796
      3104 8895 3168 8802 3213 8723
TIME...MOT...LOC 1208Z 265DEG 46KT 3204 8696 3099 8879

$$

ALC003-025-097-099-129-131-MSC041-111-261245-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-080226T1245Z/
WASHINGTON AL-MONROE AL-CLARKE AL-WILCOX AL-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-
BALDWIN AL-MOBILE AL-
608 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN MOBILE...NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN...SOUTHERN GREENE...EAST
CENTRAL PERRY...WILCOX...CLARKE...NORTHWESTERN MONROE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...

AT 606 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SNOW HILL TO ROYCE AND WERE 
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WATSONVILLE...SUNFLOWER...SUGGSVILLE AND OAK HILL BY 615 AM CST...
  TOPTON...NADAWAH...MANILLA AND FINCHBURG BY 620 AM CST...
  RUTHVEN AND TOINETTE BY 625 AM CST...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST 
MISSISSIPPI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST 
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3206 8715 3207 8701 3201 8684 3106 8796
      3104 8895 3168 8802 3213 8723
TIME...MOT...LOC 1208Z 265DEG 46KT 3204 8696 3099 8879

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 261228
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
627 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

MSC041-111-261237-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-080226T1245Z/
PERRY MS-GREENE MS-
627 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN GREENE AND EAST
CENTRAL PERRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...


LAT...LON 3201 8684 3106 8795 3106 8842 3110 8843
      3158 8793 3207 8716 3206 8699
TIME...MOT...LOC 1227Z 265DEG 46KT 3206 8667 3106 8837

$$

ALC003-025-097-099-129-131-261245-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-080226T1245Z/
WASHINGTON AL-MONROE AL-CLARKE AL-WILCOX AL-BALDWIN AL-MOBILE AL-
627 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN MOBILE...NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN...SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX...
SOUTHERN CLARKE...NORTHWESTERN MONROE AND SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...

AT 625 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 28 MILES 
SOUTHEAST OF PINE APPLE TO 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEAKESVILLE...MOVING 
EAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MALCOLM...SIDNEY...PERDUE HILL AND FAIRFORD BY 635 AM CST...
  MT PLEASANT...ELISKA AND CALVERT BY 640 AM CST...
  HOMEWOOD...MOUNT VERNON AND CHRYSLER BY 645 AM CST...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY 
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST 
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3201 8684 3106 8795 3106 8842 3110 8843
      3158 8793 3207 8716 3206 8699
TIME...MOT...LOC 1227Z 265DEG 46KT 3206 8667 3106 8837

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
413 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...STRONG COLD FRONT NOW MOVING
THROUGH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. ALONG THE FRONT...A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS. DOWNSTREAM OF THE THUNDERSTORMS...THE LOCAL
ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH MID 60S DEWPOINTS MOVING
NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. THE SURFACE
WINDS HAVE VEERED TO SOUTHWESTERLY THUS MAKING THE VERTICAL WIND
PROFILE UNIDIRECTIONAL. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT SPEED SHEAR DOES EXIST
TO MAINTAIN ORGANIZATION OF THE SQUALL LINE AS IT MOVES ACROSS. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THE COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE
EAST OF THE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH RAPID CLEARING FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A MUCH A DRIER AND
COLDER AIRMASS FLOWING INTO THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
LIKELY BE REACHED DURING THE MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S TO AROUND
40 ALONG THE COAST. /13

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...TEMPS FOR WEDNESDAY
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER WITH A FREEZE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL
INLAND AREAS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS OFF THE
EAST COAST THURSDAY WITH A BROAD ZONAL FLOW SETTING UP LATE IN THE
WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER THE SOUTHERN STATES.  THIS RESULTS
IN A GRADUAL WARM-UP THROUGH LATE WEEK AS THE AIRMASS MODIFIES.  NEXT
SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM WILL BE ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.  THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF ON THE PROGRESSION/EVOLUTION OF THE
SURFACE FRONT MONDAY MOVING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH.  THE ECMWF IS MORE
ROBUST WITH THE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER THE DEEP
SOUTH...RESULTING IN A MORE DYNAMIC SETUP FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
OVER OUR AREA.  THE GFS IS MUCH LESS DYNAMIC IN THE LOW
LEVELS...WITH A SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT BECOMES MORE ALIGNED WITH THE
UPPER FLOW (DELAYING DEEP LOW LEVEL CYCLOGENESIS SEVERAL HOURS WELL
TO THE EAST).  ONE THING THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON
THOUGH...THERE IS AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ON MONDAY.  /05

&&

.MARINE...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE
MARINE AREA LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT...A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WIND WILL DEVELOP AND CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO
DECREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY AS
THE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. /13

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS BECOMING
MORE NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT THIS MORNING AS WELL.  /05

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      64  32  54  32 /  50  05  00  00
PENSACOLA   65  33  55  34 /  60  05  00  00
DESTIN      70  37  55  36 /  60  05  00  00
EVERGREEN   59  30  52  29 /  60  05  00  00
WAYNESBORO  57  30  53  28 /  50  05  00  00
CAMDEN      56  30  51  27 /  60  05  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

13/CULLEN
05/GARMON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-271200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
500 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THIS LINE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH A LOWER RISK
OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL DEVELOP BY
LATER THIS MORNING OVER THE MARINE AREA. THIS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT LATER THIS MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL BE
REQUIRED THROUGH THIS MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
421 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

ALZ051-052-MSZ067-261100-
WASHINGTON-CHOCTAW-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...
421 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING DETECTED TO THE WEST OF
WASHINGTON...CHOCTAW AND WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 418 AM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF HIWANNEE TO 18 MILES WEST
OF STRENGTHFORD...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
STRENGTHFORD...WHISTLER...CLARA...WAYNESBORO...MELVIN...WINCHESTER
AND BOICE THROUGH 500 AM CST. THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE LATER
THIS MORNING.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING... AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50...WHICH COULD DOWN
SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS
HAVE PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.