Severe Thunderstorm Warning 275, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
130 PM CST MON NOV 24 2008

.UPDATE...FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO DELAY BRINGING RAIN IN HERE UNTIL
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND AS A RESULT HIGHS WERE ABLE TO QUICKLY RISE
INTO THE LOWER 70S. LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SHORTLY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT REMAINS LOW...BUT SOME OF THE STORMS ARE PRODUCING
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH AS
THEY MOVE ACROSS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...GENERALLY
LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH IN MOST SPOTS. A FEW AREA THAT SEE A
STRONGER STORM COULD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH. /13
&&

.AVIATION 18Z ISSUANCE...WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
DETERIORATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING COULD SEE CEILINGS REACH IFR OR LIFR IN
AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. A SOUTHERLY WIND WILL BECOME NORTHERLY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT BETWEEN 00Z AND 02Z THIS EVENING. THE SKIES
WILL ALSO CLEAR QUICKLY DURING THE EVENING HOURS BEHIND THE FRONT.
/13

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
202 PM CST MON NOV 24 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-251230-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
622 AM CST MON NOV 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THIS
AFTERNOON...AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TONIGHT.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA TODAY AS THE
LINE OF STORMS MOVES THROUGH.  THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THE SQUALL
LINE WILL BE LOCALIZED WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINS.
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE LINE CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...AND THESE STRONGER SEVERE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS
TO AROUND 60 MPH BRIEFLY.

THE INTENSITY OF THE STORMS ALONG THE LINE WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS
IT MOVES EAST ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

THIS STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS. THIS WILL
CREATE A MODERATE IMPACT TO SMALL VESSELS OPERATING ON THE COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS. THIS WILL
LIKELY CREATE A MODERATE IMPACT TO SMALL CRAFT OPERATING ON THE
COASTAL WATERS ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR LOCALIZED
SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.