Severe Thunderstorm Warning 233, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 252201
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
501 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

FLC091-252210-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-080725T2200Z/
OKALOOSA FL-
500 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY 
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 500 PM CDT...

AT 500 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED TO BELOW 
SEVERE LIMITS...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3058 8674 3055 8653 3045 8653 3043 8655
      3044 8658 3042 8657 3042 8654 3041 8653
      3039 8653 3040 8664 3039 8678
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 009DEG 6KT 3048 8667

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
338 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...REGION DOMINATED BY A
RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WITH SURFACE FRONT STALLED
OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...VORTLOBES PASSING OVER THE UPPER RIDGE
AND THEN TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OVER THE FRONT WOULD FORCE
CONVECTION EACH DAY.

TRANSPORT FLOW PREVIOUSLY INDICATED THAT CONVECTION WOULD MOVE SOUTH
TOWARD THE COAST AND THAT HAS INDEED BEEN THE CASE AS FORECAST BY MID
CREW. STABILITY IN FORM OF SFC TO 500 MB LAPSE RATE AT 7 DEG C PER
KM IS NOT TERRIBLY IMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER WHEN FORCED THE AVAILABLE
WATER VAPOR WITH PW A BIT SHY OF 2 INCHES AND CAPE 3000 TO 3500 J/KG
RENDERS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. CONVECTION MUCH LIKE TODAY...
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY TAPERING OFF IN COVERAGE INTO THE
NIGHT. HIGHS AND LOWS NEAR MAV GUIDANCE. /77

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...NO CHANGES. TEMPS NEAR NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR THROUGH FIRST HALF OF THE LONG TERM FCST
PERIOD WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION
CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE SLIGHTLY DURING THE
EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER INTERIOR AND
WESTERN ZONES...AS MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AGAIN BUILDS OVER THE
AREA. THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL ALSO RESULT IN ANOTHER PERIOD OF
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MIDWEEK...MUCH LIKE EARLIER THIS
WEEK. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE REACHING MID TO UPPER 90S ONCE AGAIN
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY INTERIOR ZONES.  /77

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN
WELL OUTSIDE CRITERIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH LOWEST VALUES
GENERALLY NO LOWER THAN 55 TO 60 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON. LOWEST
VALUES GENERALLY NO LOWER THAN 55 TO 60 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON.
CONTINUED CHANCES OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS
EXCEPT SLIGHTLY HIGHER NEAR THE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOONS. /77

&&

.MARINE...A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW IS POSSIBLE OVER BAYS AND
NEAR SHORE WATERS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS THE RESULT OF THE DAY TIME
SEA BREEZE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM
TIME TO TIME. /22

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS AND IFR VISIBILITIES ANTICIPATED IN AND
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...SOME OF WITH STRONG DOWNBURST POTENTIAL. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      73  90  74  93 /  30  50  30  40
PENSACOLA   75  91  76  89 /  30  50  30  50
DESTIN      77  88  78  90 /  30  50  30  50
EVERGREEN   71  90  72  92 /  30  60  30  40
WAYNESBORO  71  91  72  93 /  30  50  30  30
CAMDEN      72  91  73  93 /  30  70  30  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
545 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-261200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
545 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LIKELY FOR MANY AREAS DURING
THE COURSE OF THE DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG...MOSTLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO
50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL
BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH
THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...FORECASTERS CANNOT RULE OUT THAT
A FEW STRONG DAYTIME STORMS MAY BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT IN THESE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
316 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

ALZ059-252045-
ESCAMBIA-
316 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER ESCAMBIA COUNTY...

AT 315 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM NEAR BOYKIN...MOVING SOUTH AT 17 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
US 29 AND CR 43...ROBERTS AND PARKER SPRINGS THROUGH 345 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG COULD DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 21 INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A
SAFE CROSSING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
420 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

FLZ006-252145-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DESTIN AND FORT WALTON BEACH...
420 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER THE COASTAL PORTION
OF OKALOOSA COUNTY...

AT 418 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM NEAR EGLIN AFB...MOVING SOUTH AT 12 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
OCEAN CITY...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...DESTIN AND MARY ESTHER
THROUGH 445 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG COULD BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS
RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF
ELECTRICAL POWER MAY RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.