Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 060945
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
344 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

ALC023-MSC153-061015-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-080206T1015Z/
CHOCTAW AL-WAYNE MS-
344 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN WAYNE AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES...

AT 340 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BOICE...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WAYNESBORO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EVANSBORO AND MELVIN BY 350 AM CST...
  WATER VALLEY...PARAGON...TOXEY AND GILBERTOWN BY 355 AM CST...
  NEEDHAM...HODGEWOOD...LAND AND WIMBLY BY 400 AM CST...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3229 8827 3216 8808 3191 8810 3190 8814
      3180 8817 3170 8839 3171 8845 3167 8848
      3161 8864 3177 8878 3185 8872 3190 8849
      3211 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0944Z 231DEG 59KT 3181 8854

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 061002
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
401 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

MSC153-061011-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-080206T1015Z/
WAYNE MS-
401 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3216 8808 3196 8810 3195 8812 3191 8810
      3190 8814 3180 8817 3170 8839 3170 8846
      3190 8847 3214 8843 3229 8827
TIME...MOT...LOC 1001Z 231DEG 59KT 3228 8824 3205 8823
          3187 8840

$$

ALC023-061015-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-080206T1015Z/
CHOCTAW AL-
401 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM CST
FOR CHOCTAW COUNTY...

AT 358 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CROMWELL 
TO LAND TO ISNEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WOMACK HILL...WIMBLY...LOU AND LAVACA BY 410 AM CST...
  ARARAT BY 415 AM CST...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3216 8808 3196 8810 3195 8812 3191 8810
      3190 8814 3180 8817 3170 8839 3170 8846
      3190 8847 3214 8843 3229 8827
TIME...MOT...LOC 1001Z 231DEG 59KT 3228 8824 3205 8823
          3187 8840

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
145 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

.UPDATE...PACKAGE UPDATED TO REFLECT ISSUANCE OF NEW TOR
WATCH...NUMBER 44... IN EFFECT UNTIL 7AM.

/16

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...PRIMARY CONCERN IN
THE SHORT TERM WILL BE SVR WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING. BASIC WEATHER PARAMETERS HAVE REMAINED UNCHANGED
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS OR SO...BUT TIMING OF THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE HAS CONTINUED TO SLOW.
WE CURRENTLY HAVE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING...PRIMARILY
OVER OUR MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA TO THE WEST OF
I-65 (AS EXPECTED)...AND ALTHOUGH THESE ARE CURRENTLY NOT SVR THERE
WILL BE A POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SVR STORM...POSSIBLY AN
ISOLATED TORNADO DURING THE EVENING HOURS. STILL LOOKING AT MORE
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED
SQUALL LINE APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE FCST AREA. TIMING OF THE
PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE HAS CONTINUED TO CHANGE SLIGHTLY OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS...NOW COMING THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING EASTWARD THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY. NOW LOOKS LIKE THE PRIMARY LINE OF STORMS WILL BE MOVING
INTO SE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES BETWEEN 3AM-6AM WEDNESDAY...INTO SW
ALABAMA (WEST OF I-65) 6AM-9AM...AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA (EAST OF
I-65) AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BETWEEN 9AM-NOON WEDNESDAY.
MOST WEATHER WILL BE EAST OF OUR AREA BY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY...THEN
RAINFREE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM. ENTIRE AREA IS
OUTLOOKED SLIGHT SVR...WITH A MODERATE/HIGH RISK TO OUR NORTH AND
WEST OVER MISSISSIPPI INTO ARKANSAS. THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW IS
WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF OUR AREA...BUT WE ARE LOOKING AT A STRONG
50KT LOLVL JET AND A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA. WITH
THIS...GOOD CHANCE THAT WE WILL HAVE SOME STRONG/SVR STORMS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SQUALL LINE PASSAGE. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND HAIL...BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. STILL LOOKING AT 1-2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES.
ONSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...
15 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY. AS FAR AS TEMPS...WENT CLOSER TO NAM
GUIDANCE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THEN MAV GUIDANCE REMAINDER OF
SHORT TERM. 12/DS

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...NO CHANGES WERE MADE.
GENERAL HIGH PRESSURE AND ONLY SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH TEMPS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
12/DS

&&

.MARINE...HIGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE
SOUTH WIND OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
WINDS EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS...AND SEAS EXCEEDING 9 FEET TUESDAY. THE
FETCH HAS BEEN UNCHANGED BUT A CLOSE LOOK AT 23 KNOTS AND A 150 TO
160 NM FETCH ON THE BRETSCHNEIDER DIAGRAM INDICATES WE SHOULD PUT IN
A 9 FOOT FOR SAFETY...SO WE DID. LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
FORM AHEAD THE FRONT...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SEVERE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HIGHER
SEAS...AND LOW VISIBILITY. 77/BD

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY.
AHEAD OF IT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING
CONTINUING IN A SQUALL LINE MOVING THROUGH OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING. RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY. GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT TONIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE CRITERIA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK BUT EARLY
MODEL OUTPUTS SHOW A DRY PERIOD POSSIBLY EXCEEDING CRITERIA LATE
THIS WEEKEND. DAYTIME DISPERSION MODERATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. 77/BD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      63  67  37  61 /  80  70  05  05
PENSACOLA   62  68  41  60 /  70  80  05  05
DESTIN      64  65  44  59 /  50  90  05  05
EVERGREEN   63  66  36  62 /  70  90  05  05
WAYNESBORO  56  59  33  61 /  90  50  05  05
CAMDEN      62  67  35  60 /  90  80  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
715 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-061200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
715 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT. A SQUALL LINE OF
STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI IS FROM 3 AM TO 6 AM...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FROM 6 AM TO 9
AM...AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65 9 AM TO NOON WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY THREAT ALONG THE
SQUALL LINE WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM RICHTON TO STATE LINE MISSISSIPPI...TO
ANDALUSIA ALABAMA...AND EXTENDING WEST AND EAST OF THESE RESPECTIVE
ENDPOINTS. THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN
THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE SQUALL LINE. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
DECREASES SOMEWHAT SOUTH OF THIS LINE TO THE COAST AND
OFFSHORE...BUT NONETHELESS THERE IS A RISK AND WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR MARINE NAVIGATION WILL INCREASE AS SOUTHERLY
FLOW INCREASES TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FETCH
ALLOWS SEAS TO BUILD FROM 5 FEET NEAR SHORE TO 7 TO 9 FEET WELL
OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY NOON WEDNESDAY BUT HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR MARINE NAVIGATION ESPECIALLY SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE
INTO PART OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS.

REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY WITH A
STRONG HIGH BUILDING SOUTHWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. BUILDING SEAS DUE
TO MODERATE TO STRONG NORTH WIND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD MONITOR
CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR POSSIBLE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
301 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

MSZ067-075-076-078-079-061000-
GEORGE-STONE-PERRY-GREENE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAKESVILLE...NEW AUGUSTA...WAYNESBORO AND
WIGGINS...
301 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS GEORGE...STONE...PERRY...
GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 300 AM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7 MILES WEST OF EUCUTTA TO 4 MILES WEST OF
ROGERS LAKE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
MAHNED...EUCUTTA...RHODES...EUCUTTA...WIGGINS...NEW AUGUSTA...WINGATE
AND WHISTLER THROUGH 400 AM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH
COULD DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE
STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW
LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

PURDY