Severe Thunderstorm Warning 189, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 271953
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

ALC099-272000-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0189.000000T0000Z-080627T2015Z/
MONROE AL-
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED NORTH AND OUT OF THE COUNTY...HOWEVER RAIN AND 
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING 
WILL CONTINUE FOR A WHILE. 

LAT...LON 3210 8719 3206 8716 3206 8715 3206 8696
      3199 8693 3188 8708 3184 8721 3187 8741
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 221DEG 19KT 3193 8719

$$

ALC131-272015-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0189.000000T0000Z-080627T2015Z/
WILCOX AL-
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX COUNTY...

AT 248 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS NEAR FATAMA...
OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 22 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ESTELLE AND 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CALEDONIA BY 255 PM CDT...
  OAK HILL BY 300 PM CDT...
  DARLINGTON BY 305 PM CDT...
  8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ALLENTON BY 310 PM CDT...
  ACKERVILLE...MCBRYDES...SNOW HILL AND 8 MILES WEST OF FURMAN BY 315
  PM CDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.



LAT...LON 3210 8719 3206 8716 3206 8715 3206 8696
      3199 8693 3188 8708 3184 8721 3187 8741
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 221DEG 19KT 3193 8719

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
443 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...DEEP LAYER INSTABILITY CONTINUES
TO BE A HARBINGER OF HIGH POPS OVER THE AREA TODAY. NEGATIVE LI AND
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED THEREWITH CONTINUES RENDERING RELATIVELY COOL
TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE UPPER 80S SINCE CONVECTIVE
EXHAUST CLOUDS ALOFT KEEP THE SOLAR HEATING DOWN. GOING ABOVE MAV
GUIDANCE FOR POPS IN MORNING AND AFTERNOON FRIDAY.  LONG TERM
COMMENTS FOR WIND GRIDS...FEW CHANGES.  A MESOSCALE WEAKNESS IS
SHOWN IN THE AREA THAT REVERSES WIND DIRECTION BUT AS WIND REMAINS
LIGHT THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE ANY MODEL CAN FORECAST THE PRESENCE OF
SMALL WEAK FEATURES LIKE THIS WITH MUCH ACCURACY 120 HOURS OUT.
THEREFORE HAVE LEFT WIND GRIDS AS IS FOR THE EXTENDED WHILE WAITING
TO DETERMINE WHAT IT WILL DO FOR SURE TUESDAY.

TODAYS WET MICROBURST RISK IS MODERATE. /77 BD

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...THE SLOW MOVING TROPICAL
WAVE TO THE SOUTH CONTINUES SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE THE
GREAT LAKES SYSTEM OCCLUDES WHILE MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO.  A
RATHER ACTIVE PATTERN REMAINS OVER THE FORECAST AREA AS SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES IN THE EASTERLIES ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN GULF AND ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WHILE A TRAIN OF
SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN
STATES.  HAVE OPTED TO TREND TOWARDS THE HIGHER MET POPS FOR
SATURDAY.  A SURFACE TROF/WEAK FRONT TRAILING FROM THE SYSTEM MOVING
INTO CANADA WEAKENS FURTHER WHILE SETTLING INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY WHILE A SIMILAR PATTERN OF SHORTWAVES
CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST STATES.  DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR TWO
INCHES...WITH THE BEST LOW LEVEL LIFT SEEMING TO BE MORE
CONCENTRATED WELL INLAND NEAR THE WEAK TROF.  HAVE OPTED TO STAY
NEAR THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE WITH LIKELY POPS WELL INLAND AND GOOD
CHANCE ELSEWHERE.  THE EASTERN STATES UPPER TROF CONTINUES SLOWLY
EASTWARD AND WEAKENS WHILE MOVING TO NEAR THE EAST COAST BY
THURSDAY.  THE SURFACE TROF CONTINUES GRADUALLY SOUTHWARD AND
BRIEFLY INTO THE MARINE AREA MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE RETURNING INLAND ON
TUESDAY.  THIS REPEATS ON A DIURNAL CYCLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
BEFORE DISSIPATING LEAVING A WEAK DIFFUSE SURFACE PATTERN FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  THE WEAKENING TREND IS REFLECTED IN GENERAL
CHANCE POPS ON MONDAY SHIFTING TOWARDS THE COAST ON TUESDAY THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD. /29

&&

.MARINE...BAROTROPIC WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES IS APPROACHING MARINE
AREA TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
ONSHORE WINDS GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR SO OVER THE BAYS...BUT VARIABLE
AND GUSTY NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONVECTION WILL BE PRETTY
WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT AND AFTER SUNRISE OVER THE GULF THROUGH MUCH OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. BEYOND 20 MILES WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AS THAT EASTWARD MOVING TROUGH MOVES ASHORE JUST NORTH OF
THE MARINE AREA. PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE OFFSHORE MARINE AREAS
WILL STEEPEN AND THAT WILL BRING WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS MAINLY
BETWEEN 1 AND 3 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SEA STATE NEAR THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS...INCREASING TO 2 TO 4 FEET LATE THIS WEEKEND
OFFSHORE. /77

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS AS AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN
WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.  DAYTIME AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      86  71  90  73 /  70  40  60  20
PENSACOLA   86  73  90  74 /  50  50  60  20
DESTIN      85  76  88  77 /  50  50  60  20
EVERGREEN   89  68  91  70 /  70  30  50  30
WAYNESBORO  88  68  90  69 /  60  20  50  30
CAMDEN      88  68  92  70 /  60  30  50  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

29 EVERSOLE
77 DALY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
100 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-281800-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
100 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER THE
INLAND AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MAY APPROACH OR EXCEED
SEVERE LIMITS FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF TIME. PRINCIPAL THREATS ARE
DAMAGING WINDS LOCALIZED FLOODING...AND HAIL...MAINLY OVER SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY WITH SOME STORMS
APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING SEVERE LIMITS FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF TIME.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST IN THE MORNINGS
AND SPREADING INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1137 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

ALZ061-062-271700-
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-
1137 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER THE MOBILE RIVER
DELTA...

AT 1135 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF COCHRANE BRIDGE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
EXTREME WEST CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY AND EAST CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY
THROUGH NOON CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS
STRONG COULD BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS
RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF
ELECTRICAL POWER MAY RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
152 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

ALZ060-271930-
COVINGTON-
152 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER SOUTHERN COVINGTON
COUNTY...

AT 150 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF WATKINS BRIDGE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 19 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
LIBERTYVILLE...GREEN BAY...ONYCHA AND SANFORD THROUGH 230 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE DIME SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG COULD DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND AN INCH IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A
SAFE CROSSING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
226 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HAIL             EAST BREWTON            31.09N 87.06W
06/27/2008  E1.00 INCH       ESCAMBIA           AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&