River Flood Warning 30, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 122234
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
534 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC097-131617-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080913T1617Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080912T2045Z.080913T1017Z.NO/
534 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 3PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
AT 4.0 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD.  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 130141
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
841 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC097-131200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080913T1200Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080912T2045Z.080913T0600Z.NO/
841 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
  AT 4.0 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TO WWA SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
407 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

.SHORT TERM...FOR THE SHORT TERM...BIGGEST ITEM TO DEAL WITH IS THE
WIND FIELD SPAWNED BY IKE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...AND THE COVERAGE
OF ANY RAINBANDS SWEEPING OVER THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST. BEST
CHANCES WILL BE SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FA...SO HAVE PUT BEST
POPS THERE BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL KEEP THE TEMP
RANGE OVER AL/NW FL COASTAL WATERS MINIMAL...IF ANY...AND HAVE
REFLECTED THAT OVER NEAR WATER AREAS.

WINDS ADVISORY AND COASTAL FLOOD WILL CONTINUE AS ISSUED...WITH 25
TO 30 KNOTS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE TO MIX DOWN TODAY...AND COASTAL
FLOODING PROBLEMS STILL PRESENT.

THIS AFTERNOONS WET MICROBURST RISK IS MODERATE.

/16

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SATURDAY SHOULD BE A DAY OF
IMPROVING CONDITIONS...BOTH ON LAND AND OVER THE MARINE AREA...IF
IKE MOVES ON THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AS FORECAST. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA BRIEFLY SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY THEN THE
RIDGE WILL GET SQUEEZED SOUTH AS THE REMAINS OF IKE TURN THE CORNER
AND HEADS NORTHEAST TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY.  SHOULD ONLY SEE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND AS
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN THE MID LEVELS ARRIVES WITH THE RIDGE. IT
WILL...HOWEVER REMAIN HUMID WITH HIGHS AROUND 90 PRODUCING HEAT
INDICES APPROACHING 100 OVER THE WEEKEND. /11

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)BY MONDAY THE REMAINS OF IKE
SHOULD BE CAUGHT UP IN THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MID WEST
WITH IKE WELL ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING EXTRA TROPICAL AND MOVING
TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS...IN COMBINATION WITH THE FRONTAL
TROUGH WILL PULL GULF MOISTURE BACK ACROSS THE AREA AND BRING AN
INCREASE IN THE RAIN CHANCES INTO WEDNESDAY. CONTINUED WARM/HOT AND
MUGGY UNTIL COOLER AND DRIER AIR ARRIVES WITH THE SURFACE BEHIND THE
FRONT. MAY ACTUALLY GET SOME MORNING LOWS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
INTO THE LOWER 60 OVER THE INTERIOR WITH MIDDLE 60S TO 70 OVER THE
SOUTHERN SECTIONS. /11

&&

.MARINE...IKE...CURRENTLY SOUTHWEST OF THE FA...WILL CONTINUE TO
CREATE A STRONG FLOW...TRANSITIONING FROM EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL SETTLE INTO SATURDAY AS THE EYE OF IKE MOVES
ONSHORE ON THE TX COAST AROUND SUNRISE SATURDAY AND WEAKENS. AS IKE
MOVES NORTH AFTER MAKING LANDFALL...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
SOUTH...TO OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS/GULF OF MEX...KEEPING AN
ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING A
TRAILING FRONT FROM IKE PUSHING NEAR AL COASTAL WATERS...BUT
STALLING BEFORE REACHING...CREATING A BAND OF MODERATE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER MAINLY AL COASTAL WATERS INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE A
SURFACE SYSTEM FORMS ALONG THE FRONT MID WEEK AND THE FRONT MOVES
OVER AL/NW FL COASTAL WATERS THE END OF THE WEEK. /16

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR 12Z FORECAST)STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND LOW
CIGS WILL CREATE PROBLEMS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREA
AIRPORTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE CLOSER TO THE COAST. /16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      86  76  89  76 /  60  30  20  20
PENSACOLA   87  79  88  75 /  50  20  20  10
DESTIN      86  79  88  76 /  40  20  20  10
EVERGREEN   88  72  90  70 /  40  20  20  10
WAYNESBORO  87  73  91  73 /  50  30  20  10
CAMDEN      90  72  92  71 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL NOON SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...AND
     UPPER MOBILE.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LOWER
     BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.

     HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.

FL...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL NOON SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL
     SANTA ROSA.

     HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     AND MOBILE BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
     MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING UNTIL 12 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AND WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
510 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-131200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
510 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER GULF WATERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS MORNING AS HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE
TEXAS COAST. SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS 13 TO 17 FEET NEAR SHORE AND
16 TO 21 FEET WELL OFFSHORE WILL BEGIN TO SETTLE TODAY INTO TONIGHT
AS IKE CONTINUES AWAY FROM THE AREA AND THE EYE MOVES ONSHORE AROUND
SUNRISE SUNDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE.
ELSEWHERE...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT DUE TO THE DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE COASTAL ZONES FROM MOBILE
COUNTY TO OKALOOSA COUNTY FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.

COASTAL FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED FROM SEVERAL LOCATIONS FROM
DAUPHIN ISLAND TO DESTIN FLORIDA. FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON
THIS COASTAL FLOODING EVENT...REFER TO THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AND
STATEMENT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE
ALABAMA.

THE RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENTS IS HIGH ON AREA BEACHES TODAY. STAY
TUNED FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE IKE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE EYE OF IKE WILL MOVE ONSHORE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH WINDS
AND SEAS CONTINUING TO SETTLE. ONSHORE WIND FLOW WILL BE STRONG
ENOUGH FOR A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON AREA BEACHES
SATURDAY A MODERATE RISK ON SUNDAY

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BE NEED AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE. REPORTS OF COASTAL FLOODING WILL
BE APPRECIATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
601 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

ALZ062-064-121115-
UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER BALDWIN-
601 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BALDWIN COUNTY...

AT 600 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A RAIN BAND FROM HURRICANE IKE NEAR
SUMMERDALE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 43 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
SILVERHILL...LOXLEY...MONTROSE...FAIRHOPE...DAPHNE AND JACKSON OAK
THROUGH 615 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS RAIN BAND IS WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 45
MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND
BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

PURDY