Marine Weather Statement 19, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FOR MINIMUM TEMPERATURES.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
421 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

.SHORT TERM TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE AGAIN DEVELOPED
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE FRONT AFFECTING OUR COASTAL COUNTIES AS WELL AS
OUT IN FRONT OF THE WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHWARD OVER CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI. HOWEVER...AS WE MOVE TOWARD EVENING...CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE AS WE LOSE OUR SURFACE HEATING AND
THE RESULTING LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY...HAVE LEFT MENTION OF ONLY
LINGERING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE FOR
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING
WITH POST FRONTAL WEATHER PROVIDING FAIR SKIES...COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS. MOST OF THE COOLING THOUGH WILL BE REALIZED AT INLAND
SITES WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS 3 TO 7 DEGREES COOLER THAN RECENT NIGHTS.
FAIR SKIES AND MAX SOLAR INSULATION WILL SOMEWHAT OFFSET WEAK COLD
AIR ADVECTION...EXPECT MAX TEMPS WEDNESDAY TO BE ONLY A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN RECENT HIGHS. /08

.LONG TERM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...REGION REMAINS ON THE
BACKSIDE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH...WHICH SHOULD HELP KEEP
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN WHAT WEVE
EXPERIENCED AS OF LATE. SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE PATTERN CREATE
DRY TO HUMID OSCILLATIONS. BY LATE THURSDAY A RETURN FLOW BEGINS TO
REESTABLISH ITSELF BRINGING A RETURN TO WARMER OVERNIGHT
LOWS...INCREASED DAYTIME HUMIDITY...AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE GFS PROJECTS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE ONSHORE RETURN FLOW BEGINNING AGAIN BY MONDAY. /08

&&

.MARINE...COOL FRONT EASING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH...IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ON OUT INTO THE GULF LATER TONIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE A NORTH-NORTHEAST COMPONENT TO THE WIND
INTO WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S.
WE THEN TREND TO A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN...RESULTING IN A LIGHT FLOW
REGIME WITH WIND DIRECTION...RETURNING ONSHORE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OVER LAND. A TROF OF SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND LOOKS TO RESULT IN LIGHT
WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS. DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO FORECAST SEA
HEIGHTS. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR THE COAST...ALONG
THE SEA BREEZE FRONT AS WELL AS OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI
IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL
DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET AS WE LOSE SURFACE HEATING. THE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH OFFSHORE THIS EVENING BRINGING AN END TO THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL PROVIDE DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. RHS OVER THE INLAND FLORIDA
PANHANDLE MAY SKIRT WITH CRITICAL VALUES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR PERHAPS
AN HOUR OR TWO. /08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      68  91  67  91 /  20  05  05  05
PENSACOLA   70  92  70  91 /  20  05  05  05
DESTIN      75  86  72  85 /  20  05  05  05
EVERGREEN   64  91  60  93 /  20  05  05  05
WAYNESBORO  67  91  60  91 /  20  05  05  05
CAMDEN      65  91  61  92 /  20  05  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-181230-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
615 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. DUE TO DRIER AIR PRESENT IN THE
MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG OR SEVERE. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT.

THE WET MICROBURST THREAT FOR TODAY IS MODERATE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE COAST AND OFFSHORE
LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING POSSIBLY MAKING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS IF THREATENING WEATHER IS APPROACHING YOUR AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK AND OVER
THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF STATES. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE MOSTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AT
THIS TIME WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT SHOULD NOT BE
REQUIRED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
417 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

ALZ061-MSZ079-172145-
UPPER MOBILE-GEORGE-
417 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER GEORGE AND MOBILE
COUNTIES...

AT 416 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES EAST OF AGRICOLA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 3 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
SHIPMAN THROUGH 445 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING... AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WHICH COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW
LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
426 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0408 PM     TSTM WND GST     IRVINGTON               30.51N 88.24W
06/17/2008  E60.00 MPH       MOBILE             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH ESTIMATED WIND GUST NEAR I-10 AND MCDONALD ROAD

0410 PM     HAIL             6 S MOBILE AIRPORT      30.59N 88.24W
06/17/2008  E0.88 INCH       MOBILE             AL   PUBLIC

&&

KC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
442 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

ALZ062-064-FLZ002-172230-
UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
442 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA
COUNTIES...

AT 440 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF BARRINEAU PARK THE THUNDERSTORM WAS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
BEULAH AND SEMINOLE THROUGH 530 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WHICH COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW
LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
511 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE DEES               30.57N 88.33W
06/17/2008                   MOBILE             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GRAIN SILO BLOWN APART WITH SHEET METAL BLOWN ACROSS
            DAWES ROAD. SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES ALSO DOWN ALONG THE
            ROAD IN THE SAME AREA.

&&

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