Alert archive / Alabama / Hurricane Local Statements in 2008
Hurricane Local Statement 1, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this hurricane local statement at Aug 22, 2008, 3:11 PM CDT for 10 counties in Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 32 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2008, 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 23, 2008, 10:43 PM CDT
- In force
- 32 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
Counties Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -244 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 917 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WTUS84 KMOB 222011 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 311 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... .AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST...OR JUST NORTHWEST OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-230000- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 311 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO THE WEST...AND NOW INCLUDES ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LINGERING THROUGH SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES. THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OFFSHORE FOR 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OFFSHORE FOR 60 NAUTICAL MILES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST...OR JUST NORTHWEST OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 3 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SATURDAY...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA FROM SATURDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM. MINOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...WINDS... FAY IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. BASED ON THIS TRACK...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. IF FAY DOES NOT START TO WEAKEN AS PREDICTED...THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT 35 TO 45 KNOTS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 40 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA BY SUNDAY MORNING. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS SOUTH OF DESTIN...NAVARRE...AND PENSACOLA SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS TO NEAR 8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS ON SUNDAY. ...INLAND FLOODING... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK THAT MOVES FAY SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ONCE THEY BEGIN...THE PERIODIC HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. SOME AREAS OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS TO AROUND 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THESE MAGNITUDES COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING STARTING SATURDAY EVENING AND LINGERING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY BEING FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 6 PM CDT. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-230000- /O.NEW.KMOB.HU.S.0001.080822T2011Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 311 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LINGERING THROUGH SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST...OR JUST NORTHWEST OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...WINDS... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF FAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK THAT MOVES FAY SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ONCE THEY BEGIN...THE PERIODIC HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. SOME AREAS OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS TO AROUND 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 8 INCHES POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THESE MAGNITUDES COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING STARTING SATURDAY EVENING AND LINGERING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY BEING FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 6 PM CDT. $$ GARMON/BEELER
10 follow-up statements
000 WTUS84 KMOB 230001 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 701 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST...OR 85 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES... MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-230715- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 701 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO THE WEST...AND NOW INCLUDES ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LINGERING THROUGH SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...STORM INFORMATION... ...TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST...OR 85 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES... MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE-HALF TO ONE FOOT BELOW NORMAL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND FLOW THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 3 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SATURDAY...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA FROM SATURDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM. MINOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...WINDS... FAY IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. BASED ON THIS TRACK...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT 35 TO 45 KNOTS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 40 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA BY SUNDAY MORNING. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS SOUTH OF DESTIN...NAVARRE...AND PENSACOLA SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS TO NEAR 8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY. ...INLAND FLOODING... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...FAY MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ONCE THEY BEGIN...THE PERIODIC HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. SOME AREAS OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS TO AROUND 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING STARTING SATURDAY EVENING AND LINGERING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 1 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-230715- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 701 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LINGERING THROUGH SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... ...TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST...OR 85 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES... MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...WINDS... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF FAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...FAY MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ONCE THEY BEGIN...THE PERIODIC HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. SOME AREAS OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS TO AROUND 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING STARTING SATURDAY EVENING AND LINGERING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 1 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING. $$ MEDLINSHEPHERDDALY
000 WTUS84 KMOB 230408 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1108 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WILL APPROACH EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... AT 1030 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR 50 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND WSR-88D VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE RECENT MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY RECONNAISSANCE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-231015- /O.UPG.KMOB.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.1006.080823T0408Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1108 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE MONDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1030 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR 50 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE RECENT MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY RECONNAISSANCE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE-HALF TO ONE FOOT BELOW NORMAL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND FLOW THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 3 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SATURDAY...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA BETWEEN SATURDAY EVENING AND EARLY SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...WINDS... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA BY NOON...THE SPREADING INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS SOUTH OF DESTIN...NAVARRE...AND PENSACOLA SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS TO NEAR 8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF THIS LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND HOW FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 2 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231015- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1108 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE MONDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1030 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR 50 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE RECENT MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY RECONNAISSANCE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...WINDS... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF FAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WESTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF THIS LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND HOW FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 2 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING. $$ MEDLIN
000 WTUS84 KMOB 230713 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 213 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AFTER MIDNIGHT... AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST...OR 20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-240715- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 213 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE MONDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST...OR 20 MILES EAST- NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE-HALF TO ONE FOOT BELOW NORMAL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND FLOW THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 3 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA BETWEEN AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...WINDS... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY NOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA BY NOON...THE SPREADING INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS SOUTH OF DESTIN...NAVARRE...AND PENSACOLA SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS TO NEAR 8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF THIS LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND HOW FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 5 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240715- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 213 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE MONDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST...OR 20 MILES EAST- NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...WINDS... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF FAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WESTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY AND SUNDAY. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF THIS LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND HOW FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 5 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ PURDY
000 WTUS84 KMOB 231033 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 533 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AFTER MIDNIGHT... AT 500 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-241045- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 533 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS STARTING TODAY. PERIODS OF PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE WARNING AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD FINALIZE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS THIS MORNING. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY... ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS... INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL THIS MORNING DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...WINDS... NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATE THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY NOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA COASTAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH BREWTON TO NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241045- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 533 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... WINDY CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ...WINDS... GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BEGIN TODAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THEN WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH BREWTON TO NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ PURDY
000 WTUS84 KMOB 231301 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 801 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AFTER MIDNIGHT... AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-241315- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 801 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS STARTING TODAY. PERIODS OF PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE WARNING AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD FINALIZE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS THIS MORNING. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY... ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS... INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL THIS MORNING DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...WINDS... NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATE THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY NOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA COASTAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH BREWTON TO NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241315- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 801 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... WINDY CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ...WINDS... GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BEGIN TODAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THEN WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH BREWTON TO NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA. THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ PURDY
000 WTUS84 KMOB 231621 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1121 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING... AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-232100- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1121 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE BROAD CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED AT 11 AM JUST NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PERIODS OF PROLONGED HEAVY FLOODING RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN AS WELL AS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE THE MAJOR IMPACT FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THOSE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...WINDS... NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA COASTAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. MARINE AND COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY REMAINING PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IMMEDIATELY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL AT MID DAY DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED... MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF AT AREA BEACHES DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIFE. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD FINALIZE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS IMMEDIATELY. COMPLETE ACTIONS NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS...INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 3 PM CDT TODAY. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-232100- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1121 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE BROAD CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED AT 11 AM JUST NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PERIODS OF PROLONGED HEAVY FLOODING RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE THE MAJOR IMPACT FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THOSE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...WINDS... GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BEGIN TODAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THEN SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 3 PM CDT TODAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KMOB 232006 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 306 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING... AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-240000- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 306 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. AS FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST THROUGH TONIGHT...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL LIKELY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE MAJOR IMPACT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION FROM FAY IS LIKELY TO BE FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. FAY WILL POSE A MODERATE WIND IMPACT TO OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND MARINE INTERESTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS AT 40 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL START TO AFFECT THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING...SPREADING WESTWARD ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN AS WELL AS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER THE WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COMPLETE ACTIONS NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS...INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A MAJOR HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING SUNDAY EVENING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TOWARDS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...WINDS... NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING OVER OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN...NAVARRE AND PENSACOLA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE ALABAMA GULF COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. AGAIN...MARINE AND COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD COMPLETE ANY REMAINING PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES NOW. THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO COMPLETE ANY PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES IS RAPIDLY CLOSING AS TROPICAL STORM FAY APPROACHES FROM THE EAST. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WERE RUNNING ALMOST TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS IN THE SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIVES. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WEST AND NORTHWESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 6 PM CDT TODAY. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240000- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 306 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. AS FAY CONTINUES MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL LIKELY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE MAJOR IMPACT FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS LIKELY TO BE INLAND FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING SUNDAY EVENING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TOWARDS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...WINDS... GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH OVER SOUTH ALABAMA WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY FROM 25 TO 35 MPH THIS EVENING AS THE BROAD CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. GUSTY WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TOWARDS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 6 PM CDT TODAY. $$ GARMON
000 WTUS84 KMOB 232105 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 405 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. SOME WEAKENING OF FAY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-241430- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 405 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AS FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL LIKELY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE MAJOR IMPACT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION FROM FAY IS LIKELY TO BE FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. FAY WILL POSE A MODERATE WIND IMPACT TO OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND MARINE INTERESTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS AT 40 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL START TO AFFECT THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER THIS EVENING...SPREADING WESTWARD TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN AS WELL AS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. SOME WEAKENING OF FAY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COMPLETE ACTIONS NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS...INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A MAJOR HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING SUNDAY EVENING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES INTO MISSISSIPPI. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...WINDS... NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING OVER OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN...NAVARRE AND PENSACOLA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE ALABAMA GULF COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. AGAIN...MARINE AND COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD COMPLETE ANY REMAINING PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES NOW. THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO COMPLETE ANY PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES IS RAPIDLY CLOSING AS TROPICAL STORM FAY APPROACHES FROM THE EAST. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WERE RUNNING ALMOST TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS IN THE SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIVES. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WEST AND NORTHWESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241430- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 405 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AS FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL LIKELY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE MAJOR IMPACT FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS LIKELY TO BE INLAND FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW... MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. SOME WEAKENING OF FAY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING SUNDAY EVENING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES INTO MISSISSIPPI. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ...WINDS... GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY FROM 25 TO 35 MPH THIS EVENING AS THE BROAD CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. GUSTY WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TOWARDS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. $$ GARMON
000 WTUS84 KMOB 240144 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 844 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG OR THE I-10 CORRIDOR IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR VERY NEAR CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY. LITTLE FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES OVER WATER TO THE SOUTH OF THE THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-240945- /O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 844 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR VERY NEAR CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FLOODING AND TORNADOES REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT AS WE ADVANCE INTO THE NIGHT TIME HOURS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... MOBILE AND BALDWIN AS WELL AS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR VERY NEAR CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY. LITTLE FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST ON MONDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A MAJOR HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ALSO STAY TUNED FOR THE ISSUANCE OF TORNADO WARNINGS LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS TOUR LOCAL ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE PRODUCTION OF TORNADOES. HAVING A NOAA WEATHER RADIO HANDY COULD SAVE YOUR LIFE ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... LOCAL REPORTS CONTINUE TO BE RECEIVED CITING THAT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES CONTINUE TO RUN TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL DUE TO A PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND. THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS FAYES CENTER MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD ...MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA LATE BEGINNING THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS IN THE SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIVES. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...WINDS... THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OVER LAND AREAS CLOSE TO THE COAST...AND 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN...NAVARRE AND PENSACOLA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE ALABAMA GULF COASTAL WATERS LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING 1 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IN THE SHORT-TERM. IN THE LONGER TERM...WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST AND ARE NO OCCURRING. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MOST APT TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 11 PM. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240945- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 844 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR VERY NEAR CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FLOODING AND TORNADOES REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT AS WE ADVANCE INTO THE NIGHT TIME HOURS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... INLAND SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE... WASHINGTON AND BUTLER. INLAND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND WILCOX COUNTIES OF ALABAMA UNTIL 3 AM CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR VERY NEAR CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY. LITTLE FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST ON MONDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A MAJOR HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. ALSO STAY TUNED FOR THE ISSUANCE OF TORNADO WARNINGS LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS TOUR LOCAL ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE PRODUCTION OF TORNADOES. HAVING A NOAA WEATHER RADIO HANDY COULD SAVE YOUR LIFE ...WINDS... THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OVER LAND AREAS. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING 1 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IN THE SHORT-TERM. IN THE LONGER TERM... WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST AND ARE NO OCCURRING. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MOST APT TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 11 PM. $$
000 WTUS84 KMOB 240343 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1043 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FAY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING COULD CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS... AT 10 PM CDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...EAST-NORTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 30 MILES NORTH- NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT FAY COULD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY...AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OR EASTERN LOUISIANA ON MONDAY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-240445- /O.CAN.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1043 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM DESTIN FLORIDA TO THE MISSISSIPPI- ALABAMA LINE HAS BEEN CANCELED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS OF 1030 PM CDT...LOCAL TIDE GAGES INDICATE THAT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL WEST OF PENSACOLA PASS. TIDE LEVELS ARE INCREASING EAST OF PENSACOLA PASS DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE WINDS HAVE NOW SHIFTED ONSHORE. THIS TREND WILL SPREAD WESTWARD OVERNIGHT. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD STILL REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY BY THE NWS IN MOBILE. ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS IN THE SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIVES. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND. ...WINDS... THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OVER LAND AREAS CLOSE TO THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...30 KNOT WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN... NAVARRE AND PENSACOLA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE ALABAMA GULF COASTAL WATERS LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING 1 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IN THE SHORT-TERM. IN THE LONGER TERM... WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST AND ARE NO OCCURRING. BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...A FEW RIVERS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE ARE FORECAST TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI RIVERS ARE NOT FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. FOR THE MOST SPECIFIC TIME THAT FLOODING MAY BEGIN ON INDIVIDUAL RIVERS PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING NWS MOBILE ALABAMA WEB SITE: HTTP:WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOVMOB AND SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS FAYS REMNANTS MOVE WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE ARE MOST APT TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM FAY. $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240445- /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1043 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FORM DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA LINE HAS BEEN CANCELED. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING 1 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF FAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IN THE SHORT-TERM. IN THE LONGER TERM... WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST AND ARE NO OCCURRING. BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...A FEW RIVERS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE ARE FORECAST TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI RIVERS ARE NOT FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. FOR THE MOST SPECIFIC TIME THAT FLOODING MAY BEGIN ON INDIVIDUAL RIVERS PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING NWS MOBILE ALABAMA WEB SITE: HTTP:WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOVMOB AND SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS. ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS FAYS REMNANTS MOVE WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE ARE MOST APT TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM FAY. $$ MEDLIN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane local statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane local statement went out at Aug 22, 11:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 22, 11:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1100 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008
.UPDATE...TROPICAL SEASON UNDERWAY AT KMOB...WITH FIRST HLS OF THE
2008 SEASON ISSUED. ENTIRE COASTAL COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS PUT
UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. PRODUCTS UPDATED TO REFLECT.
16
&&
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)HIGHER CLOUDS(CIRRUS) WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES INTO THE
EXTREME NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. FAY IS EXPECTED TO STAY CLOSE
ENOUGH TO LAND TO NOT CHANGE IN STRENGTH MUCH...IF IT MOVES MUCH
FURTHER SOUTH AND SPENDS MORE TIME OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THAN
FORECAST WE WOULD EXPECT A STRONGER STORM...BUT THAT IS NOT THE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME. MAY BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AROUND TODAY BUT SHOULD NOT BEGIN TO SEE MUCH RAIN
UNTIL TONIGHT AS THE RAIN SHIELD AROUND FAY CREEPS INTO THE EASTERN
ZONES OF THE FORECAST AREA. HEAVIEST RAIN NOT EXPECTED UNTIL DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY.
TODAYS WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL IS LOW BUT INCREASING TO MODERATE
OVER THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...HEAVY RAINS SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL
OVER THE EASTERN ZONES...GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK BUT WET TROPICAL STORM FAY APPROACHES THE
WESTERN PANHANDLE. IT LOOKS AS IF IT WILL SPEND A LITTLE TIME JUST
OFFSHORE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST JUST SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY. HEAVY RAIN
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING SLOWLY WEST THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST OF TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS NOT
CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM PREVIOUS...NHC DID MOVE IT ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA A BIT QUICKER BEFORE SLOWING IT DOWN OVER SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI. THIS WOULD PUT AREA IN THE MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND
THE REMNANT LOW AND CHANGE US OVER FROM A HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SITUATION TO A MORE CONVECTIVE TYPE SETUP. STILL
CALLING FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 INCHES POSSIBLE...MAINLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE LOW CENTER. COULD EASILY BE SOME HIGHER
AMOUNTS IF FAY LINGERS TO THE WEST. FLOODING BOTH FLASH AND URBAN
WILL BE LIKELY WITH RIVER FLOODING THE FIRST OF THE WEEK. FLASH
FLOOD WATCH ALREADY UP FOR THE EASTERN ZONES STARTING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY BE EXPANDED WEST LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
/11
.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
AS LONG AS THE REMNANTS OF FAY STAY TO THE WEST THE FORECAST AREA
WILL REMAIN IN A MOIST SOUTH AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO AT LEAST MID WEEK. OF COURSE IF FAY
TURNS OUT TO MOVE FASTER/SLOWER OR MORE NORTHERLY/SOUTHERLY THAN
EXPECTED THE FORECAST WILL NEED ADJUSTMENTS. OTHERWISE WARM AND
HUMID WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THE SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY COULD STILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TO
AGGRAVATE WHAT WILL LIKELY BE SATURATED SOILS. /11
&&
.MARINE...TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE EXTREME
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. NORTHERLY
WINDS AND SEAS WILL STEADILY BUILD LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS FAY
APPROACHES FROM THE EAST. AS A RESULT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND
POSSIBLY ALABAMA LATER TODAY. A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND ROUGH
SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE AREA LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS FAY MOVES OFF TO THE WEST. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE ON
THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF FAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /32
&&
AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE
VICINITY AND POSSIBLY OVER MOB...BFM AND PNS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE AS TROPICAL STORM
FAY APPROACHES FROM THE EAST. /32
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 90 72 85 74 / 20 40 60 70
PENSACOLA 93 75 86 75 / 30 60 60 80
DESTIN 87 74 84 75 / 40 80 70 80
EVERGREEN 86 71 83 73 / 30 60 70 80
WAYNESBORO 91 72 85 71 / 20 30 60 60
CAMDEN 88 72 84 73 / 20 50 70 70
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...
AND ESCAMBIA.
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
MS OUT 20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA
FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 22, 2:25 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 225 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-231900- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 225 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED OVER THE NORTH FLORIDA PENINSULA NORTH NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY. TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST...NEAR OR JUST OFF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST OF APALACHEE BAY TONIGHT. AS TROPICAL STORM FAY APPROACHES THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE EAST... GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS...POSSIBLY UP TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. THIS LOOKS TO MAINLY OCCUR OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA. OVER THE MARINE AREA...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE AND SEAS WILL BUILD INTO TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE DESTIN...WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA BORDER... EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AS TROPICAL STORM FAY REACHES THE FORECAST AREA LATE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT...WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH IN SQUALLS CAN BE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE TROPICAL STORM WITH STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES IN SOME AREAS. WITH FAY FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST...LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UPWARDS OF AROUND 15 INCHES CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...STRETCHING NORTH AND WEST OVER SOME AREAS IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL INCREASE THE RUNOFF POTENTIAL...CREATING RAIN SWOLLEN CREEKS...CULVERTS AND RIVER BEDS. AREA ROADS LOCATED NEAR THESE AREAS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF EXPERIENCING STORM WATER INUNDATION...WHICH WILL POSE A DRIVING HAZARD THIS WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS COULD ALSO PERSIST WELL INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE FORECAST CALLS FOR FAY TO SLOW DOWN OR STALL OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY. OVER THE MARINE AREA...GUSTY WINDS FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED GENERATING VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS...BOTH INSHORE AND OFFSHORE. AS FAY MOVES WEST...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH AND WILL GENERATE ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS...TIDES 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. IT MUST BE NOTED...IF FAY DEVIATES A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK...MORE RESIDENCE TIME OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A STRONGER SYSTEM WHICH BRINGS GREATER IMPACTS TO THE FORECAST AREA. ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK WILL KEEP FAY WEAKER. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SHOULD STAY ALERT ON THE CURRENT POSITION AND FORECAST TRACK OF FAY. STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS WEEKEND.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 5:10 AM CDT | Small Craft Advisory | MOB | 5 hr | |
| Aug 22, 10:46 AM CDT | Tropical Storm Watch | MOB | 12 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Local Statements in Alabama, 2008Hurricane Local Statements in Mississippi, 2008Every hurricane local statement in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.