Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 021643
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1243 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

FLC111-021730-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080702T1730Z/
ST. LUCIE FL-
1243 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

AT 1243 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR SAINT LUCIE WEST CITY...DRIFTING 
NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
CARLTON...FORT PIERCE SOUTH...AND SAINT LUCIE AIRPORT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2724 8066 2753 8057 2749 8033 2744 8031
      2724 8030
TIME...MOT...LOC 1643Z 139DEG 3KT 2736 8039

$$

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 021652
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1251 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

FLC111-021730-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080702T1730Z/
ST. LUCIE FL-
1251 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

AT 1250 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED
TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR CARLTON...BETWEEN 
INTERSTATE 95 AND STATE ROAD 70...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2730 8035 2732 8064 2733 8063 2735 8063
      2735 8062 2737 8062 2738 8062 2753 8057
      2749 8033
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 126DEG 6KT 2739 8043

$$

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 021716
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
114 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

FLC111-021730-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080702T1730Z/
ST. LUCIE FL-
115 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

AT 115 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED OVER THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE ABOUT 12 MILES WEST OF FORT PIERCE
...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

MOTORISTS ON THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE BETWEEN YEEHAW JUNCTION AND FORT 
PIERCE SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THIS STORM

LAT...LON 2740 8042 2740 8061 2744 8060 2745 8060
      2745 8059 2747 8059 2753 8057 2750 8041
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 140DEG 12KT 2752 8057

$$


CRISTALDI

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 021731
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
130 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

FLC111-021739-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080702T1730Z/
ST. LUCIE FL-
130 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL ST. LUCIE COUNTY 
EXPIRED AT 130 PM EDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE SEVERE STORM 
THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD EXITED THE WARNING AREA...THUS THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN
SAINT LUCIE COUNTY UNTIL 230 PM.

THESE STORMS PRODUCED GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN PORT SAINT LUCIE ALONG 
INTERSTATE 95 AT 1245 PM.


LAT...LON 2740 8042 2740 8061 2744 8060 2745 8060
      2745 8059 2747 8059 2753 8057 2750 8041
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 140DEG 12KT 2756 8061

$$

CRISTALDI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
940 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...

...A FEW STRONG-SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON & EVENING...
...ABOVE NORMAL RAIN CHANCES INTO THE START OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...

CURRENTLY-THRU THIS EVENING...MORNING SOUNDINGS ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA REMAIN MOIST WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER AROUND 1.7 INCHES.  500
MB TEMPS LOOK SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN YESTERDAY AT MINUS 10 DEGREES.
DRYING ALOFT IS EVIDENT TO THE NORTH BUT THERE IS STILL A CLUSTER OF
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A MID LEVEL IMPULSE APPROACHING THE BIG
BEND REGION.  ADDITIONALLY...LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION EAST OF THE
COASTAL WATERS IS OCCURRING IN AREA OF UPPER DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH JET DRAPED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD.

DEBRIS CLOUDINESS LOOKS RATHER THIN FROM CONVECTION IN THE GULF...
WHICH IS QUITE FAR TO OUR SOUTHWEST...SO MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD
RECEIVE PLENTY OF INSOLATION THIS MORNING.  THE CANAVERAL AND TAMPA
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME DRYING JUST ABOVE THE SATURATED
SURFACE-1000 FOOT LAYER. IN FACT...SEVERAL SPOTS HAD MORNING LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S.  SO THIS SHOULD KEEP DEEP CONVECTION FROM RAPIDLY
FIRING.  FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS MIGHT BE THE EXCEPTION AS THE LOW
LEVELS LOOK MORE MOIST.

STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAKENING TODAY AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS AWAY
FROM THE EASTERN SEABOARD.  THERE SHOULD STILL BE ENOUGH SOUTHWEST
FLOW SO THAT STORM PROPAGATION WILL BE BACK TOWARDS THE EAST. SLOWER
STORM MOTION WILL LEAD TO A FEW MORE STORMS PRODUCING 2-3 INCH
DOWNPOURS.

THE COOL TEMPS ALOFT AND POSSIBLY SOME WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
WILL LEAD TO A FEW STRONG-SEVERE STORMS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
WITH A FEW STORMS.  COIN SIZED HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...AND THE
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN THE DOWNDRAFT ENTRAINMENT REGION WILL PRODUCE
STRONG WIND GUSTS TOO.

CURRENT POPS WITH 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTH AND 60 IN THE SOUTH
LOOK GOOD FOR THE DAYTIME.  AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE PAST FEW
DAYS...AREAS OF LINGERING LIGHT RAIN FROM INLAND STORMS SHOULD PUSH
BACK TO THE EAST THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO LCL IFR CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON IN STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME EXTENDED PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN/EMBEDDED THUNDER SHOULD OCCUR AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...TODAY/TONIGHT...NO WIND/SEA CONCERNS OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED
STORMS (SCATTERED SOUTH THIS MORNING).  STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAKER
TODAY BUT A FEW STORMS THAT FORM ON THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD
AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS.  A FEW MAY PUSH INTO THE NEARSHORE
ATLANTIC...ESPECIALLY FROM CANAVERAL NORTHWARD.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

LASCODY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1112 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-022200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1112 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AMPLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES FROM SEA BREEZES...
LAKE BREEZES AND THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS WILL ALLOW SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS STORMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY EVENING. INITIAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST LATE IN THE MORNING SHOULD
SPREAD NORTH AND NORTHWEST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.  THEREAFTER...
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY.  THE GREATEST COVERAGE WILL BE ACROSS THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES AND INLAND PARTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.

THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...BUT STRONG
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL ARE ALSO
EXPECTED. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS AND COIN SIZE HAIL. MOVE INDOORS TO A SAFE LOCATION AT THE
FIRST SIGN OF AN APPROACHING OR DEVELOPING STORM.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
STORM MOTION WILL BE SLOW AND ERRATIC THIS AFTERNOON...SO SEVERAL
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN
A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.  THIS WOULD LEAD TO TEMPORARY PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS THAT HAVE RECENTLY RECEIVED A LOT OF RAINFALL.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
ISOLATED STORMS WILL DRIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN THE FOCUS FOR STORMS WILL SHIFT TO
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY INITIALLY
AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...THEN DURING
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME OF THESE SEA
BREEZE STORMS TO PUSH ACROSS THE COAST FROM CAPE CANAVERAL
NORTHWARD. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
EACH AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

LASCODY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1131 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

FLZ059-064-021615-
MARTIN-ST. LUCIE-
1131 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING EASTERN MARTIN COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

AT 1128 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG STORM OVER HOBE SOUND AND PORT ST LUCIE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STRONG STORMS INCLUDE HOBE SOUND
BEACH...JOHNATHAN DICKINSON STATE PARK...JUPITER ISLAND...PORT
SALERNO AND PORT ST LUCIE.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...WHICH MAY CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

RL