Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 42, NWS Melbourne, FL

November 17, 20085 counties in Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this red flag warning at Nov 17, 2008, 3:49 AM EST for 5 counties in Florida. It took effect at Nov 17, 2008, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2008, 3:49 AM EST (08:49 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 17, 2008, 11:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 17, 2008, 5:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL

Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2008-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2008-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -18 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1666 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 170849
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
349 AM EST MON NOV 17 2008

 
FLZ141-171000-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.A.0039.081117T1600Z-081117T2200Z/
COASTAL VOLUSIA-
349 AM EST MON NOV 17 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. CRITICAL DURATIONS OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL INLAND TODAY.


$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-144-172200-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0039.081117T1600Z-081117T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0042.081117T1600Z-081117T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.A.0040.081118T1600Z-081118T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
349 AM EST MON NOV 17 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  

A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE EARLY THIS WEEK. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR
HOURS OVER THE WARNING AREA TODAY...AND THIS THRESHOLD IS
EXPECTED TO BE APPROACHED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Nov 16, 9:03 PM EST, 6 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 9:03 PM EST, 6 hours 46 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
903 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

.DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT...UNDER CLEAR SKIES TEMPS ON WAY DOWNWARD THROUGH THE 40S
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MAINLAND WITH A FEW UPR 30S NORTH OF INTERSTATE
FOUR. DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE FALL WILL BE RESTRICTED BY DEWPOINTS
WHICH ARE AVERAGING GENERALLY AROUND 40 TO 43 DEGREES AND UPR 30S IN
NORTHERN SECTIONS. CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WELL WEST OF STATE MOVING
TWD AREA WILL INDUCE WEAK DRAINAGE CONDITIONS. COULD SEE A FEW U30S
WITH SPOTTY FROST IN WIND SHELTERED AREAS AROUND THE OCALA
FOREST...AND WRN LAKE AND ORANGE COS IN BASINS. FORECAST ON TRACK
AND NO UPDT PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR/SKC ALL TAF SITES. SCT MARINE STRATO CU WILL BRUSH THE COAST OF
MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT BUT SHOULD NOT PRESENT ANY
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
BUOY SEA HEIGHTS @ 6FT COMBINED WITH OPPOSING COOL STABLE AIRFLOW ON
THE GULF STREAM CURRENT. WILL CONTINUE ADVISORY FOR THE GULF STREAM
OVERNIGHT. CHOPPY SEAS OVER THE OPEN WATERS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH ON MONDAY WITH EXPECTED CESSATION OF WINDS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MARGINALLY LOW RH TODAY LARGELY REMAINED JUST ABV RED FLAG CRITERIA.
LOW SUN ANGLE AND COOL AFTERNOON TEMPS KEPT RH VALUES JUST ABV
CRITICAL LEVELS AND WINDS REMAINED BELOW CRITERIA AS WELL. WILL
EVALUATE MONDAY WITH DURATION CRITERIA LOW RH POSSIBLE OVER FAR
INTERIOR. WARMER TEMPS AND LOW DEWPOINTS WILL CREATE ANOTHER
DIFFICULT TO ASSESS MARGINAL RED FLAG DAY ONCE AGAIN OVER THE FAR
INTERIOR. WL CONTINUE THE WATCH FOR NEXT SHIFT TO EVALUATE.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60
     NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

JP
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 4:35 AM EST, 23 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
435 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-162100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
435 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS UP TO 10 FEET OFFSHORE
THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS OVERSPREADING THE REGION COMBINED WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL BRING A FIRE SENSITIVE DAY TO EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...COLD WEATHER IMPACT...
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 30S OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR
SECTIONS TONIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW PATCHY FROST TO DEVELOP
LATE NIGHT...MAINLY IN LAKE AND WESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
PERSISTENT DRY AIR WILL ENHANCE FIRE SENSITIVITY THROUGH MID WEEK.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPING DOWN THE PENINSULA WILL RESULT IN
DETERIORATING MARINE CONDITIONS LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

GLITTO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:41 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryMLB60 hr
Nov 17, 3:49 AM ESTFire Weather WatchMLBLake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.