Red Flag Warning 33, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 121917
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
317 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008


FLZ054-130000-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.A.0030.080513T1700Z-080513T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-080513T0000Z/
INDIAN RIVER-
317 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-130000-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0030.080513T1700Z-080513T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0034.080513T1700Z-080513T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-080513T0000Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
317 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

VERY DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE INTERIOR OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ047-059-064-141-147-130000-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-080513T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
317 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 121925
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
325 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-130900-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-080513T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0034.080513T1700Z-080513T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
325 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY...

VERY DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE INTERIOR OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-130000-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-080513T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
325 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

VERY LOW RH CONDITIONS AND DRY WESTERLY WINDS WILL KEEP CRITICALLY
LOW RH VALUES IN PLACE ONE TO TWO HOURS PAST DARK. 

A SEA BREEZE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST COAST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVENT CRITICALLY LOW RH CONDITIONS
FROM OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1020 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

.DISCUSSION...
MORNING FOG HAS LIFTED...THOUGH A LOW STRATOCU DECK CONTINUES TO
ADVECT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA.  MORNING SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY LITTLE
MOISTURE ABV H90 WHILE A VERY STRONG W/SW FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE
DEEP S.  STRONG STORM SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR CHICAGO WILL PULL A COLD
FRONT INTO THE WRN FL PANHANDLE THIS AFTN...WHILE A STORM COMPLEX
OVER GA MOVES INTO THE SW ATLC.  THE COMPLEX REPRESENTS THE LIONS
SHARE OF MOISTURE AND ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AND WILL NOT
AFFECT THE CENTRAL PENINSULA.

SHRA/TSRAS PSBL THIS AFTN AS THE FRONT APPROACHES.  HOWEVER... THE
STRONG SW FLOW ALOFT WILL OVERPOWER ANY HOPES FOR AN EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE WHILE THE DRY AIR ALOFT WILL NOT SUPPORT ANYTHING GREATER
THAN ISOLD COVERAGE.  OVERALL THE ZONE FCST LOOKS GOOD.  HOWEVER...A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED SHOULD SFC WINDS INCREASE MUCH
BEYOND THEIR CURRENT SPEEDS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR ALL SITES...SFC WND G25KTS THRU 12/00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
W/SW WINDS AT BUOY009/012 HAVE PICKED UP TO 15-20KTS AND ARE
GENERATING CHOPPY 2-4FT SEAS.  GEOSTROPHIC APPROXIMATION CHARTS
INDICATE THE CURRENT PGRAD WILL SUPPORT UP TO 20KTS. CONDITIONS NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AS THE PGRAD CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  WILL ADD ROUGH SEAS INTO THE
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT WITH THE MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
     EDT MONDAY FOR WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN
     INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

BRAGAW/CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
110 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-112000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
110 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...HIGH WIND IMPACT...
SUSTAINED WEST-SOUTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH WILL GUST AS
HIGH AS 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
CREATE ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES AND THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERS.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHTNING STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PENINSULA. THE MAIN THREATS WILL
BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KNOTS OR MORE ON THE
OFFSHORE WATERS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN 20 KNOTS OR MORE ON THE
OFFSHORE WATERS MONDAY. DRY AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

WIMMER/CRISTALDI