Red Flag Warning 30, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 051810
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
210 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2008

FLZ041-044>046-053-144-052300-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0028.080506T1700Z-080506T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0031.080506T1700Z-080506T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080505T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
210 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY. MIN RHS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ058-052300-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0031.080506T1700Z-080506T2300Z/
OKEECHOBEE-
210 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. MIN RHS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ141-147-052300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080505T2300Z/
COASTAL VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
210 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

INLAND SECTIONS OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND COASTAL VOLUSIA WILL
SEE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST BY 3 PM
AND PUSH ONLY SLOWLY INLAND.

THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AT OR BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS. A DEVELOPING SEA
BREEZE WILL RESULT IN SHORTER DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

$$

15

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
842 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2008

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...RADAR INDICATING PLENTY OF SMALL BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS
THAT SHOULD KEEP TRIGGERING SHOWERS FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO. RULED
THUNDER OUT SINCE IT WAS VERY DRY BETWEEN 700MB AND 300MB. LATEST
SERIES OF SURFACE AND 850MB HEIGHT ANALYZES PLACES RIDGE AXIS OVER
CENTRAL FLORIDA. EXPECTING THE WINDS TO GO LIGHT/CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT
WHEN ANY LEFTOVER DEBRIS CLOUDS CLEAR OUT AND THE ATMOSPHERE
DECOUPLES. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON LOCAL CONDITIONS ALONG THE
BEACH LINE/STATE ROUTE 528 IN EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF A SMOKE/FOG MIXTURE WHERE THERE WERE AFTERNOON BRUSH
FIRES. WILL NEED TO UPDATE CURRENT OVERNIGHT FORECAST TO REMOVE
PRECIP/POP.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITION AFTER EVENING SHOWERS CEASE. EXPECT MVFR
MIST AND SCT FL020-025 CLOUDS TOWARD SUNRISE MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...BUOYS RECORDING SEAS 4 FEET OR LESS AND SUSTAINED WINDS
AROUND 10 KNOTS. CURRENT GRIDS SHOW WINDS INCREASING A LITTLE
OVERNIGHT AS WEAKENING BOUNDARY MOVES DOWN THE PENINSULA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AFTN AFD...WILL INTRODUCE A WATCH FOR MONDAY FOR THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF
THE FORECAST AREA AS DRYING TREND EMCOMPASSES THE AREA. LOW RH
DURATION MAY LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO WEST
WINDS AND LOWER DEWPOINTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS WEEK.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...NONE.

&&

WIMMER/GLITTO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1056 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2008

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-042200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1056 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...A FEW STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SLIGHTLY HIGHER MOISTURE COMBINED WITH WIND BOUNDARY COLLISIONS WILL
WILL GENERATE ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER INTERIOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE
COAST AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND AND INTERACTS
WITH AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE
EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. STORMS WILL BE STRONGEST ACROSS THE NORTH
AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH ISOLATED WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL BE CAPABLE OF BRINGING STORMS ACROSS THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERS OF VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES.
STORMS THAT CROSS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS
ALONG WITH DEADLY CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR 90 THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
NORTHERN INTERIOR WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP TO
NEAR 35 PERCENT FOR AN HOUR OR TWO. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY FOR A PORTION OF THE
INLAND AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

PENDERGRAST